“Global Risks Weekly Roundup #13/2025: Bombing Iran, Turkey protests, mpox vaning.” by Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Tolga Bilge, Vidur Kapur

Executive summary Tensions between the US and Iran continued, as Iran replied to Trump's letter demanding that a new nuclear agreement be reached, and the US directed more military assets to positions near Iran. Last week, we estimated that there is a 1 in 3 chance that the US will strike Iran by the end of April, but have since lowered our estimate a bit. There are large-scale demonstrations in Turkey, although our forecasters assign only a ~4% chance that Erdoğan will be out of power by the end of the year. Food is running out in Gaza as Israel's blockade continues, and some demonstrators protested against Hamas. The Chinese state and media appear to be emphasizing more anti-Taiwan-independence sentiment, in a way reminiscent [...] ---Outline:(01:24) Geopolitics(01:27) Middle East(01:52) 1 in 3 chance that US will strike Iran by end of April(04:50) Europe(06:54) Asia-Pacific(08:01) The Americas(10:08) Africa(10:49) Tech(12:54) Biorisks(13:40) Global economy --- First published: March 31st, 2025 Source: https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/global-risks-weekly-roundup-132025 --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.