How Long Recessions Last

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It's official, we reached a bear market in stocks. But when and how long will a pending recession last? How do you know an official recession has been declared? What is a recession? Two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth NBER vs GDP 2 quarters decline Calculate GDP C + I + G + (X – M) Annualizing GDP quarterly growth rate Cyclical, Structural, or Event Driven Bear Markets Supply Shocks vs Demand Shocks Recoveries: U Shaped vs. V Shaped vs. L Shaped Mentioned in this Episode: Percent change real GDP growth rates https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPGDPAI Historical recessions from the NBER https://www.nber.org/cycles.html HBR Harvard Business Review economic shocks of coronavirus https://hbr.org/2020/03/understanding-the-economic-shock-of-coronavirus Forbes on bear markets https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2020/03/17/keep-calm-bear-markets-are-temporary/#388b279230ba Podcast deconstructing GDP and Inflation https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/broken-pie-chart/e/56922114 Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr Contact Derek www.razorwealth.com

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How Long Recessions Last

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