″🟩 Iran drought warning, rebels agree to Sudan ceasefire, Trump tariffs threatened || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #45/2025″ by Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, Tolga Bilge

Executive summary Top items: Geopolitics: Iran's President warned that the capital Tehran may need to be evacuated within the next few months if severe water shortages don’t ease. The main rebel group in Sudan agreed to a US-proposed ceasefire, while a UN-backed monitor confirmed that famine is present in the Sudanese town of El Fasher. Tech and AI: Google's Gemini 3 is likely to be widely deployed by the end of the year, and it may be state-of-the-art on some benchmarks. Economy: The US Supreme Court hinted that it would rule against most of Trump's second-term tariffs. Forecasts: Forecasters estimate that there's a 25% chance (18% to 35%) that any form of ceasefire between Sudan's government and the rebel Rapid Support Forces (RSF) will be in place on January 1, 2026. They think there's a 13% chance (6.0% to 25%) that at least 500K people will be evacuated from Iran's capital Tehran by the end of January. And they believe there's a 71% chance (55% to 90%) that the Supreme Court will rule that Trump's use of a 1977 law to impose the majority of his second term tariffs was [...] ---Outline:(00:20) Executive summary(01:45) Geopolitics(01:47) Middle East(06:02) Africa(06:54) The Americas(06:57) South America(08:24) United States(09:18) Europe(09:39) Asia(10:04) Technology and artificial intelligence(12:39) Economy --- First published: November 10th, 2025 Source: https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/iran-drought-warning-rebels-agree --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.