“Iran nuclear talks survive, Claude 4 release, trade tensions reignite | Global Risks Weekly Roundup #21/2025.” by Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, Tolga Bilge

...and the short term-chance of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan this year and the next. Executive summary The fifth round of nuclear talks between the US and Iran concluded with no agreement, but the two sides agreed to meet again. US intelligence suggests that Israel may strike Iranian nuclear sites, with or without Trump's blessing, if the talks break down. Forecasters estimate a 22% chance of a US and/or Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear sites by the end of August. Anthropic released their latest and most powerful AI model, Claude 4, and activated their ASL-3 safety protections for the first time. Pre-release testing revealed some worrying but rare tendencies, while users have already started to jailbreak the model. Trump threatened to impose tariffs [...] ---Outline:(00:24) Executive summary(01:25) Geopolitics(01:28) Middle East(04:22) Asia-Pacific(06:10) Europe(08:46) United States(09:56) Africa(10:05) Technology(13:21) Global economy --- First published: May 26th, 2025 Source: https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/iran-nuclear-talks-survive-claude --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.