″🟩 Iran War persists with more US troops killed, Chinese startup releases Kimi K3, Ebola continues to spread || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #29/2026″ by Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, Tolga Bilge

Executive summary Geopolitics: The US continued its nightly strikes on Iranian territory, while Iran retaliated against Gulf states and against US bases in Jordan and Iraq, killing at least three US servicemembers. Saudi Arabia and the Iran-backed Houthis ended a four-year truce, and the Houthis announced a naval blockade against Saudi Arabia, which could disrupt shipping in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Will the US place 1,000 or more boots on the ground in Iran before September 2026? Our forecasters think there's a 19% (10% to 45%) chance. Will a new temporary or permanent ceasefire agreement be reached and put into effect between Iran and the US before September 2026? The team believes there's a 53% (21% to 70%) probability. Will the price of Brent crude oil reach $100 per barrel before 2027? Our forecasters believe there's a 68% (60% to 80%) chance. Will the Houthis attempt to seize or sink at least one ship before September 2026? Forecasters think there's a 69% (51% to 77%) chance. Technology and AI: Chinese startup Moonshot AI launched Kimi K3, an open-weight model that approaches frontier models produced by OpenAI and Anthropic in its capabilities. [...] ---Outline:(00:22) Executive summary(02:23) Geopolitics(02:26) Middle East(04:34) Europe(07:35) Asia(09:13) United States(12:05) Technology and artificial intelligence(15:01) Biorisk(18:05) Economy(18:39) Climate and nature --- First published: July 20th, 2026 Source: https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/iran-war-persists-with-more-us-troops --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.