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Is The (xG) Table Lying?

An episode of the The Double Pivot: Soccer analysis, analytics, and commentary podcast, hosted by Mike Goodman and Michael Caley, titled "Is The (xG) Table Lying?" was published on September 23, 2021 and runs 43 minutes.

September 23, 2021 ·43m · The Double Pivot: Soccer analysis, analytics, and commentary

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It's five matches into the season and everyone knows the table is lying... but is the xG table lying? More specifically, what can statistics tell us this early in the season, what does it mean that statistics "become reliable" after a certain period of time, and how does this inform how we're thinking about Tottenham and Chelsea and Arsenal and Everton? Caley's R2 charts: https://cartilagefreecaptain.sbnation.com/2015/10/19/9295905/premier-league-projections-and-new-expected-goals Support th...

It's five matches into the season and everyone knows the table is lying... but is the xG table lying? More specifically, what can statistics tell us this early in the season, what does it mean that statistics "become reliable" after a certain period of time, and how does this inform how we're thinking about Tottenham and Chelsea and Arsenal and Everton?

Caley's R2 charts: https://cartilagefreecaptain.sbnation.com/2015/10/19/9295905/premier-league-projections-and-new-expected-goals

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