ISMS 21: CPI Collapsing Across the Globe

Will the global CPI slowdown continue?Global MarketsGlobal CPI is falling fast in both DM and EMsEconomies across the world have a GDP of about US$90trn and an average CPI of 6.2%DM CPI was 5.7%EM CPI was 6.9%World CPI was 6.2%, down 0.4ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 0.8pptsDM CPI was 5.7%, down 0.9ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 0.8pptIt has moved from being in line with World CPI last year; to the current 0.5ppt discountEM CPI was 6.9%, which is about flat vs. one year ago; MoM it was down 0.8pptIt has moved from being in line with the World CPI last year; to the current 0.7ppt premiumDeveloped RegionsDM Americas CPI is falling fast, DM Europe is sliding, DM Asia is on a steady riseDM Americas is the largest, with US$25trn of GDP and 4.9% CPIDM Europe has US$14.9trn GDP and 7.1% CPIDM Pacific has US$7.6trn GPD and 4.7% CPIDM Americas CPI is falling fast, DM Europe is sliding, DM Asia is on a steady riseDM Americas CPI was 4.9%, down 3.4ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 1ppts.It has moved from a 1.7ppts premium to World CPI last year; to the current 1.3ppts discountDM Europe CPI was 7.1%, up 0.9ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 1.1ppts.It has moved from a 0.5ppts discount to World CPI last year; to the current 0.9ppts premiumDM Pacific CPI was 4.7%, up 2.4ppts from one year ago; MoM it was up 0.4ppts.It has moved from a 4.4ppts discount to World CPI last year; to the current 1.5ppts discountEmerging RegionsEM Europe and Asia CPI falling; Middle East & Africa, and Frontier markets are still on fireEM Americas had a small GDP of US$3.8trn and CPI of 7%EM Asia had a massive GDP of US$25.7trn and 1.9% CPIEM Europe had a small US$3.9trn GDP and a massive 17.7% CPIEmerging Middle East & Africa had a tiny US$1.7trn GDP and a high 11.5% CPIFrontier markets had a US$2.9trn GDP and an extremely high 31.2% CPIEM Europe and Asia CPI falling; Middle East & Africa, and Frontier markets are still on fireEM Americas CPI was 7%, down 2.4ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 0.8ppts.It has moved from a 2.6ppts premium to World CPI last year; to the current 0.7ppts premiumEM Asia CPI was 1.9%, down 0.6ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 0.4ppts.It has moved from a 4.1ppts discount to World CPI last year; to the current 4.3ppts discountEM Europe CPI was 17.7%, down 6.1ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 5ppts.It has moved from a 17.1ppts premium to World CPI last year; to the current 11.4ppts premiumEM ME&A CPI was 11.5%, up 6.4ppts from one year ago; MoM it was up 0.4ppts.It has moved from a 1.5ppts discount to World CPI last year; to the current 5.3ppts premiumFrontier CPI was 31.2%, up 14.7ppts from 1yr ago; MoM up 0.3pptsIt has moved from a 9.9ppts premium to World CPI last year; to the current 25ppts premium. This region was up YoY and MoMDeveloped CountriesOnly US CPI fell YoY; all top 5 DM countries, except Japan, fell MoM; UK CPI is double the USTop five DM countriesUS GDP was US$23trn, CPI of 5.0%Japan US$4.9trn and 3.9% CPIGermany US$4.2trn and 7.5% CPIUK: US$3.2trn, 10.2%France: US$2.9trn/5.8%USA CPI was 5%, down 3.5ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 1ppts.It has moved from a 1.8ppts premium to World CPI last year; to the current 1.2ppts discountJapan CPI was 3.9%, up 2.7ppts from one year ago; MoM it was up 0.6ppts.It has moved from a 5.5ppts discount to World CPI last year; to the current 2.3ppts discountGermany CPI was 7.5%, up 1.9ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 1.3ppts.It has moved from a 1.1ppts discount to World CPI last year; to the current 1.3ppts premiumUK CPI was 10.2%, up 3.1ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 0.4ppts.It has moved from a 0.4ppts premium to World CPI last year; to the current 4ppts premiumFrance CPI was 5.8%, up 1.3ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 0.6ppts.It has moved from a 2.1ppts discount to World CPI last year; to the current 0.4ppts discountEmerging CountriesBig CPI fall in Russia, China, and India; more minor falls in Korea and BrazilChina: US$17.5trn/0.6%India: US$3.2trn/5.6%Korea: US$1.8trn/4.3%Russia: US$1.8trn/3.6%Brazil: US$1.6trn/4.7%China CPI was 0.6%, down 0.9ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 0.3ppts.It has moved from a 5.2ppts discount to World CPI last year; to the current 5.6ppts discountIndia CPI was 5.6%, down 1.5ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 0.8ppts.It has moved from a 0.4ppts premium to World CPI last year; to the current 0.6ppts discountKorea CPI was 4.3%, up 0.2ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 0.6ppts.It has moved from a 2.6ppts discount to World CPI last year; to the current 2ppts discountRussia CPI was 3.6%, down 12.9ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 7.5ppts.It has moved from a 9.8ppts premium to World CPI last year; to the current 2.7ppts discountBrazil CPI was 4.7%, down 6.5ppts from one year ago; MoM it was down 0.9ppts.It has moved from a 4.5ppts premium to World CPI last year; to the current 1.6ppts discount Click here to get the PDF with all charts and graphs Andrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 PointsAndrew’s online programsValuation Master ClassThe Become a Better Investor CommunityHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketFinance Made Ridiculously SimpleFVMR Investing: Quantamental Investing Across the WorldBecome a Great Presenter and Increase Your InfluenceTransform Your Business with Dr. Deming’s 14 PointsAchieve Your GoalsConnect with Andrew Stotz:astotz.comLinkedInFacebookInstagramTwitterYouTubeMy Worst Investment Ever Podcast