JF 4049: Construction Costs, Sector Shifts and Stagflation Odds ft. John Chang episode artwork

EPISODE · Oct 5, 2025 · 38 MIN

JF 4049: Construction Costs, Sector Shifts and Stagflation Odds ft. John Chang

from The Best Ever CRE Show · host Joe Fairless

On this week’s episode of The Horizon, John Chang unpacks how shifting government policies around tariffs, immigration, and a potential shutdown could shape commercial real estate over the next several years. He explains why rolling tariffs are inflationary rather than transitory, how tighter immigration reduces labor supply and pushes wages higher, and why delayed government data complicates the Fed’s rate-cut path. John also maps sector-level ripple effects, from construction and value-add cost pressures to hospitality and retail demand, while noting strong household balance sheets and tactical opportunities for investors who position near policy beneficiaries like domestic steel. He closes with a pragmatic takeaway: uncertainty raises risk, but it also creates investable dislocations for informed operators. This is a limited time offer, so head over to aspenfunds.us/bestever to download the investor deck—or grab their quick-start guide if you’re brand new to oil and gas investing. Get 50% Off Monarch Money, the all-in-one financial tool at www.monarchmoney.com with code BESTEVER Join the Best Ever Community  The Best Ever Community is live and growing - and we want serious commercial real estate investors like you inside. It’s free to join, but you must apply and meet the criteria.  Connect with top operators, LPs, GPs, and more, get real insights, and be part of a curated network built to help you grow. Apply now at ⁠www.bestevercommunity.com⁠ Podcast production done by ⁠Outlier Audio⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

On this week’s episode of The Horizon, John Chang unpacks how shifting government policies around tariffs, immigration, and a potential shutdown could shape commercial real estate over the next several years. He explains why rolling tariffs are inflationary rather than transitory, how tighter immigration reduces labor supply and pushes wages higher, and why delayed government data complicates the Fed’s rate-cut path. John also maps sector-level ripple effects, from construction and value-add cost pressures to hospitality and retail demand, while noting strong household balance sheets and tactical opportunities for investors who position near policy beneficiaries like domestic steel. He closes with a pragmatic takeaway: uncertainty raises risk, but it also creates investable dislocations for informed operators. This is a limited time offer, so head over to aspenfunds.us/bestever to download the investor deck—or grab their quick-start guide if you’re brand new to oil and gas investing. Get 50% Off Monarch Money, the all-in-one financial tool at www.monarchmoney.com with code BESTEVER Join the Best Ever Community  The Best Ever Community is live and growing - and we want serious commercial real estate investors like you inside. It’s free to join, but you must apply and meet the criteria.  Connect with top operators, LPs, GPs, and more, get real insights, and be part of a curated network built to help you grow. Apply now at ⁠www.bestevercommunity.com⁠ Podcast production done by ⁠Outlier Audio⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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JF 4049: Construction Costs, Sector Shifts and Stagflation Odds ft. John Chang

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This episode was published on October 5, 2025.

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On this week’s episode of The Horizon, John Chang unpacks how shifting government policies around tariffs, immigration, and a potential shutdown could shape commercial real estate over the next several years. He explains why rolling tariffs are...

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