結局AGIっていつできるの？専門家の予測をまとめてみた

AI界の最前線で活躍する4人の巨頭：アルトマン、ハサビス、ルカン、アモデイが予測するAGI（汎用人工知能）の到来時期と影響を徹底解説。あなたの未来への備えは十分ですか？00:00 オープニング：衝撃のAGI予測02:57 AGIとは何か？基本解説03:43 なぜAGIの予測が重要なのか06:14 サム・アルトマン（OpenAI）の超楽観予測10:11 デミス・ハサビス（DeepMind）の慎重な楽観論13:17 クイズ：現在のAIに足りない能力は？15:55 ヤン・ルカン（Meta）の懐疑的見解18:50 ダリオ・アモデイ（Anthropic）の実務エンジニア的見解25:58 まとめ：専門家の見解比較Sam Altman: "We Know How to Build AGI by 2025" - YouTubehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cz6cuGKR_JoHow OpenAI's Sam Altman Is Thinking About AGI and Superintelligence in 2025 - TIMEhttps://time.com/7205596/sam-altman-superintelligence-agi/OpenAI chief Sam Altman: 'This is genius-level intelligence' - Financial Timeshttps://www.ft.com/content/a3d65804-1cf3-4d67-ac79-9b78a10b6dccSam Altman's Predictions for How the World Will Change Due to AI - Business Insiderhttps://www.businessinsider.com/openai-sam-altman-predictions-how-ai-could-change-the-world-2025-1Demis Hassabis Is Preparing for AI's Endgame - TIMEhttps://time.com/7277608/demis-hassabis-interview-time100-2025/Google DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis on AGI and AI in the Military - TIMEhttps://time.com/7280740/demis-hassabis-interview/Google DeepMind CEO tells students to brace for change - Business Insiderhttps://www.businessinsider.com/google-deepmind-ceo-advice-college-students-ai-change-2025-5Google DeepMind on what's next for Gemini, AGI, self-awareness - 9to5Googlehttps://9to5google.com/2025/04/21/demis-hassabis-gemini-next/9to5GoogleYann LeCun（Meta Chief AI Scientist）Meta’s AI Chief Yann LeCun on AGI, Open-Source, and AI Risk - TIMEhttps://time.com/6694432/yann-lecun-meta-ai-interview/Interview with Yann LeCun (Oct. 12th, 2024) - Reddithttps://www.reddit.com/r/mlscaling/comments/1g34vgl/interview_with_yann_lecun_oct_12th_2024/Yann LeCun's Predictions of AGI, LLaMA 3, Woke AI, Robots.. - Meta-Quantumhttps://meta-quantum.today/?p=2711Kara Swisher and Meta's Yann LeCun Interview - YouTubehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UmxlgLEscBsDario Amodei（Anthropic CEO）Transcript for Dario Amodei: Anthropic CEO on Claude, AGI & the Future - Lex Fridman Podcasthttps://lexfridman.com/dario-amodei-transcript/Anthropic's CEO Just Predicted AGI by 2026: Could He Be Right? - YouTubehttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=13WkoB8RcJYAnthropic chief: 'By next year, AI could be smarter than all humans' - The Timeshttps://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/anthropic-chief-by-next-year-ai-could-be-smarter-than-all-humans-crslqn90nAnthropic chief says AI could surpass “almost all humans at almost everything” shortly after 2027 - Ars Technicahttps://arstechnica.com/ai/2025/01/anthropic-chief-says-ai-could-surpass-almost-all-humans-at-almost-everything-shortly-after-2027/