Labour Is Headed for a Landslide Victory

Part I: Professor Anthony Pickles (@polgambling), an expert on political gambling, does a deep dive into Keir Starmer and precisely how many seats Labour and the Conservatives are likely to win in UK's upcoming elections. Part II: Vegas bookmaker Alex Chan (@ianlazaran) explains how professional bettors are driving irrational odds in the VP markets. Part III: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) discusses why opponents of election betting have the upper hand in Washington. Timestamps 0:09: Pratik introduces segment on UK elections 2:01: Pratik introduces segment with Alex Chan on VP odds 3:17: Pratik introduces segment on event contract regulation 5:55: Segment on UK elections begins 6:12: Anthony's background 8:17: Keir Starmer's background 10:16: Starmer's odds of becoming Prime Minister 11:01: How many seats Conservatives and Labour will win 22:04: Why Sunak and the Conservatives are unlikely to make a comeback 28:37: Why Sunak called an early election 30:54: Labour seat totals 34:03: Right-wing bias in the markets? 36:59: Discussion of class politics 39:27: Segment with Chan begins 39:46: VP odds on Tulsi Gabbard and Vivek Ramaswamy 40:48: "Juice" in sportsbooks 41:46: Regulation segment begins 42:56: Incentives in the current CFTC rulemaking 45:00: Need for a counter-lobby on event contracts Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter: @ssgamblers Trade on Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market, at Polymarket.com