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Oct 30, 2026 31 min

Lula's Second Chance Could Be Different

from The Missing Piece [International] Hosted by The Missing Piece

Brazil has made history: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has secured an unprecedented fourth term, narrowly defeating Flávio Bolsonaro in a runoff that underscored a deeply divided nation. For Lula, the future hinges on balancing ambitious social agendas against a hostile, right-dominated Congress and pressing fiscal constraints. On the global stage, Lula's victory complicates Washington's regional strategy. While Trump initially backed the Bolsonaro family, he later struck a warmer tone, calling Lula a leader he gets along with—even as the two remain at odds over trade and sovereignty. Meanwhile, Brazil's economic gravity is undeniable: China remains its dominant partner, absorbing nearly 30% of exports and deeply embedding itself in Brazil's infrastructure and energy sectors. For Lula, maintaining that lucrative ties while asserting strategic autonomy will define his next four years. Guest Info: Kurt Weyland is the Mike Hogg Professor in Liberal Arts in government at the University of Texas at Austin. His research interests include democratization and authoritarian rule, social policy and policy diffusion, and populism in Latin America and Europe. Book name:Democracy's Resilience to Populism's Threat: Countering Global Alarmism

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Lula's Second Chance Could Be Different

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This episode was published on October 30, 2026.

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