Matt Turk on why corporate history matters with Target Hospitality $TH

Matt Turk joins the podcast to discuss his thesis on Target Hospitality Corp. (NASDAQ: TH), one of North America's largest providers of vertically integrated modular accommodations and value-added hospitality services. Links: https://www.bamsec.com/filing/114036124014503/4?cik=1859285 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=31s6todiuM8 Matt's YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@given2trade4 Chapters: [0:00] Introduction + Episode sponsor: Fundamental Edge [1:53] What's going on with Target Hospitality $TH and why its interesting to Matt [8:18] $TH Corporate history and why it's important / 2020 letter compared to 2024 letter from Arrow Group [31:22] History cont'd of $TH with Arrow Group / why this situations reminds Andrew of $HRT situation [39:11] Government contract / tail risks [41:54] Bull case / comparables / rollups [49:13] Additional risks [58:50] Likelihood of closing and talking through potential buyout prices[1:04:50] Final thoughts Today's sponsor: Fundamental Edge You’ve probably heard about the Analyst Academy from Fundamental Edge by now. So instead of repeating the basics, let’s talk a minute about what the Academy is and is not. The Analyst Academy is a practical course on the tools and skillsets required to succeed in the buy-side analyst seat. The instructors have experience from firms such as Maverick Capital, DE Shaw, Citadel, Balyasny and ExodusPoint. But what is the Academy NOT? It’s NOT a course on stock-picking. It IS a rigorous guide to learning a process. It’s NOT a guide to pod shop investing. The Academy attracts a wide range of equity investors, from multi-managers to long only to family offices. Rather than teaching a particular style, Fundamental Edge equips learners with the essential skills required to hit the ground running and support their PM. It’s NOT a financial modeling course. Modeling is, of course, part of the curriculum and plays a central role. But the Academy is more than that. It teaches idea generation, thesis communication and how to add value as an analyst. To learn more and access a 10% discount code, go to fundamentedge.com/YAVP