EPISODE · Dec 3, 2025 · 23 MIN
Michael Burry’s Warning, AI Math Reality, and the Hollowing Out of “Core”
from The Pain Trade Podcast · host Michael A. Gayed, CFA
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Seth Cogswell, Managing Partner at Running Oak Capital, to break down Michael Burry’s warnings about depreciation manipulation, inflated AI earnings, and the concentration risk dominating today’s market. From the speed of chip innovation to the widening gap between revenue and AI CapEx, Cogswell explains why valuations at the top of the S&P 500 may be far more stretched than investors realize — and why diversified, valuation-discipline strategies could be the antidote to extreme concentration. In this episode: – Why extending depreciation cycles may be inflating mega-cap earnings – How today’s top 10 S&P names are valued above the peak of the tech bubble – What investors misunderstand about investing in AI – Why Running Oak has reduced tech exposure despite an AI revolution – How passive flows have hollowed out the core of the U.S. equity market Lead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise. #RunningOak #Markets #TechValuations #AIBubble #PassiveInvesting #RiskManagement #Equities #Investing Support the show
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In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Seth Cogswell, Managing Partner at Running Oak Capital, to break down Michael Burry’s warnings about depreciation manipulation, inflated AI earnings, and the concentration risk dominating today’s market. From the speed of chip innovation to the widening gap between revenue and AI CapEx, Cogswell explains why valuations at the top of the S&P 500 may be far more stretched than investors realize — and why diversified, valuation-discipline str...
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Michael Burry’s Warning, AI Math Reality, and the Hollowing Out of “Core”
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