PODCAST · business
Lead-Lag Live
by Michael A. Gayed, CFA
Lead-Lag Live is your front-row seat to unscripted, real-time conversations with the sharpest minds in finance, economics, and investing.Hosted by Michael A. Gayed, CFA — publisher of The Lead-Lag Report and a widely followed voice on macro strategy — each episode features candid discussions with top portfolio managers, economists, ETF strategists, best-selling authors, and market practitioners. No scripts. No teleprompters. Just raw insight from people who move markets.Every week, we go deep on the themes that matter most: macro trends, interest rates and Fed policy, equity and bond markets, ETF strategies, geopolitical risk, asset allocation, commodities, currencies, and the interplay between risk-on and risk-off positioning.Whether you manage billions or are just getting started, Lead-Lag Live delivers actionable analysis and frameworks you can use — not surface-level market commentary.Originally broadcast live on X Spaces, every conversation is av
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The Great Unwind: Capital Cycles, Concentration Risk, and What Comes Next | Lead-Lag Live
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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The 60/40 Portfolio Is Dead: Risk Parity in a World on Fire | The 60/40 Portfolio Is Dead: Risk Parity in a World on Fire on Lead-Lag Live
The 60/40 Portfolio Is Dead: Risk Parity in a World on Fire joins Michael A. Gayed, CFA to discuss the 60/40 portfolio is dead: risk parity in a world on fire. Topics covered in this episode: - The 60/40 Portfolio Is Dead: Risk Parity in a World on Fire - Market insights from The 60/40 Portfolio Is Dead: Risk Parity in a World on Fire - Practical takeaways for listeners GUEST: The 60/40 Portfolio Is Dead: Risk Parity in a World on Fire --- Subscribe on YouTube: https://youtube.com/@leadlagmedia Host: Michael A. Gayed, CFA Lead-Lag Live brings on top investors, traders, and economists to discuss the most pressing issues in markets. Disclaimer: This podcast is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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943
Consistently Not Stupid: Why Boring Compounders Win When Chaos Reigns | Consistently Not Stupid: Why Boring Compounders Win When Chaos Reigns on Lead-Lag Live
Consistently Not Stupid: Why Boring Compounders Win When Chaos Reigns joins Michael A. Gayed, CFA to discuss consistently not stupid: why boring compounders win when chaos reigns. Topics covered in this episode: - Consistently Not Stupid: Why Boring Compounders Win When Chaos Reigns - Market insights from Consistently Not Stupid: Why Boring Compounders Win When Chaos Reigns - Practical takeaways for listeners GUEST: Consistently Not Stupid: Why Boring Compounders Win When Chaos Reigns --- Subscribe on YouTube: https://youtube.com/@leadlagmedia Host: Michael A. Gayed, CFA Lead-Lag Live brings on top investors, traders, and economists to discuss the most pressing issues in markets. Disclaimer: This podcast is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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The Rise of the Machines: Humanoids, AI, and the New Global Arms Race | The Rise of the Machines: Humanoids, AI, and the New Global Arms Race on Lead-Lag Live
The Rise of the Machines: Humanoids, AI, and the New Global Arms Race joins Michael A. Gayed, CFA to discuss the rise of the machines: humanoids, ai, and the new global arms race. Topics covered in this episode: - The Rise of the Machines: Humanoids, AI, and the New Global Arms Race - Market insights from The Rise of the Machines: Humanoids, AI, and the New Global Arms Race - Practical takeaways for listeners GUEST: The Rise of the Machines: Humanoids, AI, and the New Global Arms Race --- Subscribe on YouTube: https://youtube.com/@leadlagmedia Host: Michael A. Gayed, CFA Lead-Lag Live brings on top investors, traders, and economists to discuss the most pressing issues in markets. Disclaimer: This podcast is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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941
Lead-Lag Live: Luke Oliver, KraneShares — KMLM Managed Futures | KMLM Managed Futures on Lead-Lag Live
KMLM Managed Futures joins Michael A. Gayed, CFA to discuss lead-lag live: luke oliver, kraneshares — kmlm managed futures. Topics covered in this episode: - Lead-Lag Live: Luke Oliver, KraneShares — KMLM Managed Futures - Market insights from KMLM Managed Futures - Practical takeaways for listeners GUEST: KMLM Managed Futures --- Subscribe on YouTube: https://youtube.com/@leadlagmedia Host: Michael A. Gayed, CFA Lead-Lag Live brings on top investors, traders, and economists to discuss the most pressing issues in markets. Disclaimer: This podcast is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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940
Lead-Lag Live: Brendan Ahern, KraneShares — KSPY & China | KSPY & China on Lead-Lag Live
KSPY & China joins Michael A. Gayed, CFA to discuss lead-lag live: brendan ahern, kraneshares — kspy & china. Topics covered in this episode: - Lead-Lag Live: Brendan Ahern, KraneShares — KSPY & China - Market insights from KSPY & China - Practical takeaways for listeners GUEST: KSPY & China --- Subscribe on YouTube: https://youtube.com/@leadlagmedia Host: Michael A. Gayed, CFA Lead-Lag Live brings on top investors, traders, and economists to discuss the most pressing issues in markets. Disclaimer: This podcast is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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939
Lead-Lag Live: Alex Shahidi, Evoke Advisors — RPAR Risk Parity ETF | RPAR Risk Parity ETF on Lead-Lag Live
RPAR Risk Parity ETF joins Michael A. Gayed, CFA to discuss lead-lag live: alex shahidi, evoke advisors — rpar risk parity etf. Topics covered in this episode: - Lead-Lag Live: Alex Shahidi, Evoke Advisors — RPAR Risk Parity ETF - Market insights from RPAR Risk Parity ETF - Practical takeaways for listeners GUEST: RPAR Risk Parity ETF --- Subscribe on YouTube: https://youtube.com/@leadlagmedia Host: Michael A. Gayed, CFA Lead-Lag Live brings on top investors, traders, and economists to discuss the most pressing issues in markets. Disclaimer: This podcast is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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938
This ETF Lets You Buy SpaceX and Anthropic Right Now
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937
Physical AI Is a $40 Trillion Market — S&P Top 10 Already 40% Concentrated
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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936
Shiller CAPE at 2000 Bubble Levels — Households 30% Over-Allocated to Stocks
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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The Old Rules of Portfolio Construction Are Dead — New Playbook for RIAs in 2026
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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933
Consistently Not Stupid: The Investing Mistakes That Actually Kill Returns | Seth Cogswell
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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932
Anthropic IPO, Claude & the AI Unemployment Wave Nobody’s Talking About | Derek Yan
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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931
The 60/40 Portfolio Is DEAD — Here's What Replaces It | Alex Shahidi
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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930
The Great AI Unwind — Which Companies Survive the Adoption Phase? | Kai Wu
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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926
Humanoid Robots Will Replace Millions of Workers — Are You Invested? | Derek Yan
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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925
Consistently Not Stupid: Why Boring Compounders Win When Chaos Reigns
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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924
The 60/40 Portfolio Is Dead: Risk Parity in a World on Fire
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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923
He Beat Stage 3 Cancer — Then Fought in the Ring | Aram Babikian
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922
The Great Unwind: Capital Cycles, Concentration Risk, and What Comes Next
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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921
The Hidden Asset Class Beating Stocks? Carbon Credits Explained
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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919
Oil Could Hit $150: John Love on the Strait of Hormuz Crisis, Iran War & Energy Shocks
Oil just hit $100 for the first time since 2022. Could it go to $150?John Love of USCF Investments joins Melanie Schaffer on Lead-Lag Live at Future Proof Miami to break down the biggest oil shock since 1973. With 20% of the world's oil supply at risk through the Strait of Hormuz, Iran vowing to keep the waterway closed, and crude spiking 36% in six days — this is the most consequential energy crisis in decades.In this episode, John explains:Why this oil shock is more dangerous than the 1973 Arab oil embargoHow 6% of global supply has already been shut in — and 20% is at riskThe Iran war scenario: drone warfare, small boat threats, and the new AyatollahWhat happens to oil prices if Trump calls off the war vs. prolonged conflictStrategic petroleum reserves: why a coordinated G7 release may not be enoughChina-Taiwan risk: why China quietly built up reserves over the past yearThe Iraq War playbook: could oil see a 33% single-day drop on resolution?Where to invest in commodities through USCF InvestmentsThis interview was recorded live at Future Proof Miami on March 10, 2026, as oil prices surged past $100/barrel amid the escalating Iran conflict.Links & Resources:USCF Investments: uscfinvestments.comLead-Lag Media: leadlagmedia.comThe Lead-Lag Report: theleadlag.reportSubscribe: theleadlag.report/subscribeDISCLAIMER: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.Support the show
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918
Oil Could Hit 150 - John Love on the Strait of Hormuz Crisis
John Love of USCF Investments joins Lead-Lag Live to discuss oil prices and the Strait of Hormuz crisis.Support the show
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917
Europe’s Rebirth: Herve Van Caloen on Germany’s Military & Tech Shift
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Hervé Van Caloen, President of Mercator Investment Management, to discuss why Europe’s long-standing political and economic models are breaking down — and why that might be exactly what the continent needs for a revival.From Germany’s historic decision to become Europe’s largest military power by 2029 to the shift toward a “two-tier” European Union, Van Caloen explains how a new reality of realism is replacing years of complacency.We also explore the investment opportunities emerging from this shift, looking beyond traditional sectors to uncover hidden opportunities in European defense, semiconductor equipment, and biotech.In this episode:• The End of Complacency – Why the invasion of Ukraine shattered the old French-German leadership model.• Germany’s Military Pivot – How massive defense spending is fueling a revival in German technology and cybersecurity.• The Two-Tier Europe – Chancellor Merz’s vision for a streamlined, decision-oriented European Union.• Investment Frontiers – Why defense leaders like Rheinmetall, Thales, and BAE, along with semiconductor giant ASML, are key players.• Cutting the Red Tape – The urgent need for Europe to return to its 1992 free-market roots and reduce overregulation.Previous Episode: https://youtu.be/hN2qCZv9irYLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#Investing #Europe #Geopolitics #DefenseStocks #Semiconductors #Germany #EuropeanUnion #MarketAnalysis #LeadLagLive #ASML #Biotech #EconomySupport the show
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916
Dollar Decline vs Market Concentration: Henry Greene on Emerging Markets Tech & the Next AI Winners
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Henry Greene, Investment Strategist at KraneShares, to discuss how a weakening U.S. dollar and global AI capital spending could reshape leadership in technology markets.From Taiwan and South Korea’s semiconductor dominance to China’s growing AI innovation ecosystem, Greene explains why emerging markets technology may offer exposure to the same growth themes investors love in the U.S. — but with lower multiples and broader diversification.In this episode:– Why dollar weakness is a tailwind for emerging markets– How Taiwan and Korea benefit from AI CapEx– China’s role in large language model innovation– The case for diversifying beyond top-heavy US tech– How KEMQ captures emerging markets technology exposureLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#EmergingMarkets #AIInvesting #Semiconductors #USdollar #GlobalMarkets Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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915
Embodied AI in Action: Derek Yan on Humanoid Robotics, KOID ETF & the Physical AI Shift
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Derek Yan, Senior Investment Strategist at KraneShares, to explore why humanoid robotics is moving from research labs into real-world deployment — and what that means for investors.From embodied AI and general-purpose robotics to global supply chain dynamics between the U.S. and China, Yan explains why the KraneShares Global Humanoid and Embodied Intelligence ETF (KOID) focuses on the full ecosystem — not just headline mega-cap names — and even brings KOID, a working humanoid robot, into the interview to demonstrate the theme in real time.In this episode:– What “embodied AI” actually means– Why humanoids are reaching an inflection point now– How labor shortages are accelerating adoption– Why the “body” of robotics may hold the most value– How KOID captures the entire humanoid value chainLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#HumanoidRobotics #EmbodiedAI #ArtificialIntelligence#FutureOfWork #ThematicInvestingSupport the show
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914
The AI Trade Is Global: Derek Yan on Dollar Weakness, EM Tech, and Hidden Concentration Risk
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Derek Yan, Senior Investment Strategist at KraneShares, to explore how the next phase of the AI boom may be driven by emerging market technology companies rather than US mega caps alone.With nearly 40 percent of the S&P 500 concentrated in just ten names, Derek explains why investors may be underexposed to critical parts of the global AI supply chain, including semiconductor manufacturing, memory production, and materials essential to infrastructure buildout.We also discuss how a weakening US dollar has historically acted as a powerful tailwind for emerging market equities and why improving fundamentals, lower valuations, and AI-linked demand could position EM technology for a multi-year cycle of outperformance.In this episode:– Why S&P 500 concentration is near decade highs– How emerging markets drive AI manufacturing– Why memory chips are a bottleneck in AI growth– How a weaker dollar benefits EM equities– Where advisors may be missing diversificationLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#ArtificialIntelligence #EmergingMarkets #Semiconductors#StockMarket #SP500 #KEMQSupport the show
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Truth Is the Battleground: Peter Todd on Ukraine, Information Warfare, and the Epstein Files
In this special episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Peter Todd, Founder of OpenTimestamps, for a conversation that goes far beyond Bitcoin volatility or market narratives.Peter joins us directly from Kyiv, where he has been working on the ground to support Ukrainian units through targeted fundraising efforts including delivering repaired and donated 4x4 vehicles to frontline teams and supporting interceptor drone initiatives designed to stop attacks on civilian infrastructure.But this discussion also touches on something larger. As debates over the Epstein files dominate online discourse, Peter explains how even truthful information can be used as a form of informational warfare by diverting attention away from conflicts that are unfolding in real time. In a world where deepfakes, AI generated media, and manufactured receipts can spread within minutes, tools like OpenTimestamps are being used to prove that digital evidence existed in the past and has not been recently modified.From Bitcoin’s role in enabling anonymous charitable donations to the use of cryptographic timestamping to document events in wartime, this episode explores how technology, trust, and truth intersect in an increasingly uncertain geopolitical environment and how viewers can directly support verified aid efforts in Ukraine through organizations working on interceptor drones and frontline logistics.In this episode:– Why Bitcoin drawdowns may be less important than geopolitical risk– How truthful information can still be weaponized– Why the Epstein debate may be crowding out more urgent realities– How OpenTimestamps helps verify digital evidence– How viewers can directly support Ukrainian aid effortsLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.X:https://x.com/peterktoddhttps://opentimestamps.org/#EpsteinFiles #Trump #Bitcoin #UkraineWar #Geopolitics #Crypto #InformationWarfare #WarInUkraine #GlobalConflict #BreakingNewsSupport the show
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The AI Trade Is Shifting: Adoption, Infrastructure Risk, and Hidden Concentration in the S&P 500
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Kai Wu, Founder and CIO of Sparkline Capital, to break down why the AI boom may be entering a new phase and why investors concentrated in infrastructure stocks could be taking more risk than they realize.With nearly half of the S&P 500 tied directly or indirectly to AI infrastructure buildout, Kai explains the dangers of crowded positioning, excessive capital spending, and valuation expansion. Drawing on historical technology cycles from railroads to the internet, he outlines why the biggest long-term winners often aren’t the builders, but the early adopters who use new technology to gain efficiency and market share.We also dive into enterprise adoption rates, proof-of-ROI versus hype-driven AI mentions on earnings calls, and how to distinguish companies generating measurable productivity gains from those simply telling the story.In this episode:– Why the AI cycle may be shifting from buildout to adoption– How only about 10 percent of firms are currently using AI in production– The valuation risk embedded in infrastructure-heavy portfolios– Why early adopters may outperform the AI builders– How advisors can rethink AI exposure without abandoning the themeLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#AI #StockMarket #SP500 #NVDA #TechStocks #TeslaSupport the show
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911
Rotation vs Concentration: Michael Germano on Cyclicals, Commodities, and the AI Risk Trade
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Michael Germano, Founder and Wealth Manager at Key Sage Wealth, to discuss whether markets are entering a major rotation after years of mega-cap tech dominance.From signs of mean reversion and passive-driven distortions to the case for a commodity supercycle and a weakening U.S. dollar, Germano explains why investors may want to rethink concentration risk and reassess exposure to AI-driven valuations.In this episode:– Why mega-cap tech may be “long in the tooth”– How passive flows have created market inefficiencies– The case for a structural commodity supercycle– What a weaker dollar means for portfolios– How wealthy investors compound capital using lending strategiesLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#MarketRotation #Commodities #AI #AssetAllocation #WealthManagementSupport the show
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Hype vs Deployment: Derek Yan on Humanoid Robotics, KOID ETF, and the Global AI Arms Race
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Derek Yan, Senior Investment Strategist at KraneShares, to discuss whether humanoid robotics is a real commercialization story or just the next overhyped thematic trade.From factory deployment by Tesla, BMW, and Amazon to China’s aggressive industrial push, Yan explains why embodied AI may represent the next structural shift in automation — and how the KraneShares Global Humanoid and Embodied Intelligence ETF $KOID captures the full ecosystem beyond mega-cap names like Nvidia and Tesla.In this episode:– Why humanoid robotics is already entering commercialization– How equal weighting avoids mega-cap concentration– What Morgan Stanley’s trillion-dollar projections really mean– Why China exposure is a feature, not a bug– The key milestones that signal mass deployment is comingLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#HumanoidRobotics #EmbodiedAI #ArtificialIntelligence #ThematicInvesting #EmergingTech #ETFSupport the show
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Playing Offense With Wealth: Grant Cardone on Bitcoin, Real Estate, and Conviction
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Grant Cardone for a wide-ranging and unusually candid conversation on Bitcoin, real estate, and what it really means to invest with conviction.Grant is blunt about one thing most people never admit: even after buying Bitcoin for years, he doesn’t pretend certainty. He openly talks about the discomfort of drawdowns, the difference between conviction and having a low cost basis, and why buying through volatility matters more than sounding confident online. Rather than selling a perfect narrative, he’s honest about doubt, risk, and why not investing at all is the bigger danger.From Bitcoin as a technology of money to real estate as a long-term cash-flow engine, Grant explains how wealthy investors think about scale, units, and holding assets through cycles instead of trading headlines.In this episode:– Why Grant says saving money destroys wealth– How he thinks about Bitcoin without pretending certainty– The difference between conviction and a cheap entry price– Why wealthy investors focus on units, not price– How Bitcoin and real estate play different roles in long-term wealthLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#GrantCardone #Bitcoin #WealthBuilding #InvestingMindset #FinancialFreedom #StockMarket#RealEstate #Crypto Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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Markets, Rates & ETF Innovation | A Conversation with GraniteShares
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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3 Rate Cuts, Small Caps Surge & 9% Income? | Jay Hatfield's 2025 Market Outlook
Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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Trust Is Gone: Ted Oakley on Inflation, Fed Failure, and Why Energy Looks Undervalued
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Ted Oakley, Founder of Oxbow Advisors, to break down why inflation remains sticky, why investors should be skeptical of Federal Reserve guidance, and where real value may be emerging beneath the surface of today’s market.With more than four decades of experience advising high-net-worth investors, Ted explains why mega-cap stocks now represent concentration risk, why energy is one of the cheapest areas in the market, and how separating base capital from investment capital helps investors survive volatile cycles.In this episode:– Why Ted says the Fed is consistently late and unreliable– What the latest CPI and PPI data reveal about persistent inflation– Why mega-cap stocks may carry more risk than reward– How energy offers income and value in an uncertain macro backdrop– Why separating base capital from risk capital matters in downturnsLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#Inflation #FederalReserve #EnergyStocks #MarketRisk #IncomeInvesting #StockMarket #Macro #PortfolioStrategy #InvestingSupport the show
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Leverage Without Speculation: David Dziekanski on Return Stacking, Income ETFs, and Portfolio Risk
This video is sponsored by Quantify Funds and contains discussion of exchange-traded funds sponsored by Quantify Funds. Quantify Funds paid the creator a flat fee for this endorsement and unscripted interview. This compensation gives the creator an incentive to recommend Quantify Funds, resulting in a material conflict of interest. Quantify Funds did not produce, review, approve, or redistribute this content and is not responsible for the opinions or statements expressed by the content creator. The creator is not a client or investor of Quantify Funds. Any views expressed are those of the creator and do not necessarily reflect the views of Quantify Funds.This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Investors should consider a fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before investing.In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with David Dziekanski, Founder and Portfolio Manager at Quantify Funds, to explain how return stacking reframes leverage from a short-term trading tool into something investors can actually buy and hold.From combining Bitcoin and gold to stacking income strategies on top of equities, Dziekanski breaks down how diversification, embedded rebalancing, and structural design can deliver income and exposure without relying on extreme yield or constant investor intervention.In this episode:– Why leverage is dangerous without diversification– How return stacking embeds rebalancing inside the ETF– Why ultra-high yield ETFs often destroy total returns– How income strategies can replace parts of fixed income– Where these products fit in modern portfolio constructionLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#ETFInvesting #PortfolioConstruction #RiskManagement #Leverage #Bitcoin #Gold #StockMarketSupport the show
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Commodities Are Back: John Love on Energy Shocks, Precious Metals, and the New Risk Premium
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with John Love, President and CEO of USCF, to break down why commodities are re-emerging as a critical part of portfolios as markets face inflation uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and supply fragility.From a historic spike in natural gas driven by extreme weather to renewed risk premiums in oil, gold, and silver, John explains how commodity markets are being reshaped by geopolitics, tariffs, and structural supply dynamics and why broad exposure alone may not be enough.In this episode:– Why natural gas markets proved more fragile than expected– How weather shocks and infrastructure strain drive outsized moves– Why oil continues to carry an elevated geopolitical risk premium– What’s fueling record highs in gold and explosive moves in silver– How investors can think about targeted commodity exposure versus broad indexesLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.Support the show
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Diversification Is Misunderstood: Alex Shahidi on Inflation Risk, Portfolio Balance, and Investing Into 2026
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Alex Shahidi, Managing Partner and Co-Chief Investment Officer at Evoke Advisors, to break down why markets heading into 2026 are forcing investors to rethink diversification, risk, and portfolio construction.With inflation remaining sticky, political uncertainty rising, and stocks and bonds often moving together during inflation shocks, Alex explains why the traditional 60/40 framework falls short and what true diversification actually looks like in an environment defined by wide-ranging macro outcomes.Throughout the conversation, we discuss how his work around balanced asset allocation and risk parity has evolved from theory into practice, including the thinking behind the RPAR ETFs available at RPAR Risk Parity ETF. , the broader research and conversations he hosts each week on Insightful Investor , and how this framework is implemented in real client portfolios at Evoke Advisors . Alex also shares perspectives he’s written about through his Forbes Finance Council contributions and the ideas explored more deeply in his book: Risk Parity: How to Invest for All Market Environments and Balanced Asset Allocation: How to Profit in Any Economic Climate.In this episode:– Why inflation uncertainty changes how diversification actually works– How stocks and bonds can fail at the same time during inflation shocks– What investors misunderstand about risk parity and balance– Why assets like commodities and gold need meaningful weight to matter– How to think about portfolio construction when outcomes are highly uncertainLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.Support the show
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902
Discipline vs Mania: Seth Cogswell on 1999 Parallels, AI Excess, and Why Risk Is Being Ignored
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Seth Cogswell, Managing Partner at Running Oak Capital, to break down why today’s market feels increasingly speculative and why disciplined investing is being left behind.From meme-style factor leadership and zombie-company outperformance to extreme concentration and AI spending risk, Cogswell explains why chasing returns tends to end the same way and how investors can position for when the cycle turns.In this episode:– Why the last eight months looked like a speculative outlier– How high volatility and low quality leadership distorts portfolios– How AI spending can flip from narrative to accountability– Where discipline fits when clients still want growth exposureLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#stockmarket #MarketBubble #AI #RiskManagement #PortfolioConstruction #Macro #Investing Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show
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Equity Isn’t Ownership: Kaitlyn Walsh on Stock Options, Tax Traps, and the Mistakes Employees Regret
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Kaitlyn Walsh, Wealth Advisor and Equity Analyst, to break down what employees actually own when they receive stock options and why misunderstanding equity compensation can lead to costly mistakes.From incentive stock options and vesting schedules to fair market value, AMT exposure, and record-keeping errors, Walsh explains the decisions that matter most before, during, and after an equity grant and why timing, taxes, and planning can make or break outcomes.In this episode:– Why stock options are not the same as owning shares– How strike price and fair market value really work– The biggest vesting and exercise mistakes employees make– When stock options can trigger unexpected tax bills– Why poor record keeping can cost real money years laterLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#StockOptions #Equity #PersonalFinance #WealthPlanning #TaxPlanning #FinancialEducation #Investing #MoneySupport the show
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Inside Xtrackers XAIX: Why Most AI ETFs Get It Wrong and How XAIX Does It Better
Artificial intelligence is driving one of the largest capital spending cycles in market history, yet most AI investment strategies focus on surface level exposure rather than true innovation. In this Lead-Lag Deep Dive, Melanie Schaeffer sits down with Aram Babikian of Xtrackers to examine how AI investing is evolving and why research intensity and patent activity may matter more than headlines.The discussion breaks down the structure behind XAIX, an AI focused ETF designed around companies that are actively building, protecting, and monetizing innovation. Babikian explains how patent filings and R and D spending act as forward looking signals, why unexpected companies like major banks appear in AI portfolios, and how this approach differs from more crowded thematic strategies.They also explore how XAIX fits alongside broader technology exposure, the tradeoffs between concentration and diversification, and how advisors think about incorporating AI into portfolios amid volatility, regulation, and rapid technological change.In this episode:Why AI investing is not the same as buying tech stocksHow patent activity and R and D spending identify true innovatorsWhy non tech companies can be major AI beneficiariesHow XAIX differs from broader thematic AI exposureHow investors think about sizing AI allocations responsiblyLead-Lag Deep Dive is a weekly series that breaks down the forces reshaping global markets. Each episode goes beneath the surface of one critical theme, examining how strategies are built, where risks hide, and what matters most for investors across cycles and asset sizes. Subscribe for research-driven insight beyond the noise.#AI #ArtificialIntelligence #ThematicInvesting #ETFS #PortfolioStrategy #Finance #MacroTrendsSupport the show
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899
Global Rotation Underway: Hervé Van Caloen on Japan’s Revival, Semiconductors, and Defense Spending
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Hervé Van Caloen**, Owner and Portfolio Manager at **Mercator Investment Management, to break down why global markets outside the United States are entering a powerful new phase of leadership.From Japan’s aggressive stimulus and corporate reform push to structural dominance in semiconductors, defense technology, space, and energy infrastructure, Van Caloen explains how capital is rotating toward regions and industries aligned with long-term geopolitical and economic realities.In this episode:– Why Japan’s stock market continues to hit record highs– How semiconductors have become global oligopolies with pricing power– Why defense and space spending are entering a multi-year upcycle– How infrastructure and electricity demand are driven by AI growth– Why global diversification may matter more as U.S. valuations stretchLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.Support the show
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898
Why Power Is the Real Bottleneck in AI, Drones & Telecom | KULR CEO
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, Melanie Schafer sits down with Michael Mo, CEO of KULR Technology Group (NYSE: KULR), to explore why energy reliability is emerging as the critical constraint behind AI, robotics, drones, telecom infrastructure, and next-generation data centers.Fresh off CES and following KULR’s newly announced $30M telecom battery supply agreement, Mo explains how high-power, high-safety battery systems are becoming mission-critical as electrification accelerates. From NASA-proven thermal technologies to lithium-ion replacements for legacy lead-acid systems, KULR is positioning itself at the center of multiple multi-year secular growth trends.The conversation covers AI data center power resilience, UAV and drone electrification, telecom backup systems, and why battery safety, reliability, and domestic supply chains matter more than ever as power demand explodes.In this episode:– Why power—not chips—may be the next AI bottleneck– KULR’s NASA-derived battery safety and thermal technologies– The Cooler One platform and growth across drones, robotics, and aviation– Replacing lead-acid batteries in telecom with lithium-based solutions– Energy-as-a-Service and reducing total cost of ownership– AI data center battery buffers and GPU-level power protection– Scaling execution with a debt-free balance sheet and strong cash positionLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the leaders shaping markets at the intersection of technology, energy, and investing. Subscribe for insights that cut through the noise.#AIInfrastructure #EnergyStorage #BatteryTechnology #Drones #Telecom #DataCenters #Electrification #KULR #MarketOutlook #CleanEnergy #InvestingSupport the show
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897
The Bailout Economy: Luke Lloyd on AI, Liquidity, and Why Retirement Thinking Is Broken
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Luke Lloyd, President and CEO of Lloyd Financial Group, for a candid conversation on markets, mindset, and the economic forces shaping investor behavior.From why retirement is not a finish line but a reinvention, to how AI, government liquidity, and bailouts are reshaping wealth outcomes, Lloyd explains why investors must adapt both financially and psychologically to a system increasingly driven by intervention rather than pure capitalism.In this episode:– Why retirement is about purpose, not an age or account balance– How AI accelerates the wealth divide and changes labor markets– Why government bailouts now shape market cycles– The role of liquidity in driving risk, speculation, and asset prices– Why owning assets matters more than timing marketsLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise#LeadLagLive #StockMarket #AI #LukeLloyd #FederalReserve #Psychology #MarketOutlook #Macro #RetirementPlanningSupport the show
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896
How Geopolitics and National Security Are Changing Tech Investing
In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Aram Babikian, Head of Xtrackers Wealth at DWS, to explore how rising geopolitical tensions are reshaping technology investing and why national security has become a core investment lens.From US–China decoupling and critical technologies to AI, quantum computing, and supply-chain risk, Babikian explains how investors can gain exposure to future-facing innovation while actively de-risking portfolios from geopolitical entanglements.In this episode:– What “critical technologies” mean for investors– How US–China competition is changing capital flows– Why geopolitical risk now matters in portfolio construction– How the CRTC ETF screens for national security alignment– Why some mega-cap tech names are excluded—and others included– How to think about strategic tech as a core allocationLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise.#Geopolitics #NationalSecurity #AIInvesting #TechnologyStocks #ETFInvesting #MarketRisk #PortfolioStrategy #CriticalTechnologiesSupport the show
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ABOUT THIS SHOW
Lead-Lag Live is your front-row seat to unscripted, real-time conversations with the sharpest minds in finance, economics, and investing.Hosted by Michael A. Gayed, CFA — publisher of The Lead-Lag Report and a widely followed voice on macro strategy — each episode features candid discussions with top portfolio managers, economists, ETF strategists, best-selling authors, and market practitioners. No scripts. No teleprompters. Just raw insight from people who move markets.Every week, we go deep on the themes that matter most: macro trends, interest rates and Fed policy, equity and bond markets, ETF strategies, geopolitical risk, asset allocation, commodities, currencies, and the interplay between risk-on and risk-off positioning.Whether you manage billions or are just getting started, Lead-Lag Live delivers actionable analysis and frameworks you can use — not surface-level market commentary.Originally broadcast live on X Spaces, every conversation is av
HOSTED BY
Michael A. Gayed, CFA
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