Omicron estimates

UK case surge has started, R is 3 to 5 https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10316627/Covid-cases-hit-463-000-Christmas-Eve-3-population-isolation.html?ito=email_share_article-top Guy's and St Thomas's Hospital trust 10% off with Covid Chris Whitty Omicron wave, going to peak very quickly Infections doubling every 2 to 3 days NHS, reduction in supply and increase in demand more records would be broken Omicron as well as delta? https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-59664383 Number of omicron infections is rising very fast Delta cases are flat and that Delta is not going away, but being built on If doubling time is every 3 days Christmas Eve, cases + 462,704 Next few days, 2 million testing positive Forced into 10 days isolation Their contacts may also be symptomatic Testing capacity exceeded (Country currently averaging 790,000 PCR tests a day) Professor Andrew Hayward (SAGE) Outbreak spreading faster than tests can keep up If you think about getting a year's worth of rain over a month, then you're going to get flooding and potentially severe flooding, no matter how much you've shored up your defences Professor David Spiegelhalter (statistician) Reduced socialisation will slow spread down If it kept on this doubling every two days, you get to 11 million on Christmas Day, and the entire country on New Year's Eve Now, this is not sensible Millions of people are going to catch this over the next few weeks and months That we know that's going to happen It could be considerably better than last winter, it could be worse Zoe study https://covid.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-time Official UK data https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases https://www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/news/2021/modelling-potential-impact-omicron-england Actual in hospital data London in hospital data Majority of cases in London are Omicron https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare?areaType=nhsRegion&areaName=London South Africa now Cases are rising steeply in all provinces Cases in the 4th wave are higher than the peaks in all previous waves Hospitalisations and deaths are not currently following this trend and, are still relatively low Most admissions to hospitals are still for unvaccinated people Pfizer Boosters have been approved and can be given 6 months after full vaccination The first people will be eligible at the end of December https://www.nicd.ac.za/diseases-a-z-index/disease-index-covid-19/surveillance-reports/daily-hospital-surveillance-datcov-report/ https://www.nicd.ac.za/diseases-a-z-index/disease-index-covid-19/surveillance-reports/covid-19-special-reports/the-initial-and-daily-covid-19-effective-reproductive-number-in-south-africa/ Black dog I'm living in South Africa. The masses of our population live in townships and are unvaccinated. There are no masks or any social distancing ever since the "pandemic" started. The Elephant 🐘 is in the room and is being ignored. We're only 25-30% fully vaccinated. 16 seater minibus 🚐 taxis commute the masses of the people daily, no masks or social distancing. Hospitalizations and deaths are way lower than a year ago. Natural Immunity needs to come back to the discussion and needs to stop being downplayed or disregarded by the MSM. World Health Organization Omicron is spreading across the globe at an unprecedented rate https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-59656385 Dr Tedros Surely, we have learned by now that we underestimate this virus at our peril. Even if Omicron does cause less severe disease, the sheer number of cases could once again overwhelm unprepared health systems UK government response to vitamin D deficiency https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/people-at-higher-risk/free-vitamin-d-supplements-for-people-at-high-risk/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices