Oreshnik is Back - but is it Just Another Hollow Threat from Putin?

Edition No213 | 03-08-2025 - Russia’s new missile, Oreshnik—the "hazelnut" makes a comeback. Why now, and should we take these threats seriously? Putin has announced “mass production” of the missile complex, teased deployment in Belarus, and claimed it can “dual” U.S. defenses. But how real is it? What threat does Europe face? And how much is psychological propaganda and bluff?On August 1, 2025, President Putin announced alongside Belarus’s Lukashenko that “Preparatory work is ongoing, and most likely we will be done with it before the year’s end”, saying the first Oreshniki and their systems have entered service. That same day regime supporting outlets reported “serial production of the latest Oreshnik medium‑range missile system is under way,” with range up to 3,425 miles (5,500 km), able to strike Europe and parts of the US. (New York Post)Analysts remain skeptical. Oreshnik appears based on the RS‑26 Rubezh—functionally repackaged, not radically new. As one expert put it, it was "a series of old technologies ... put together in a new way"—perhaps only 10 % of which was new. (Wikipedia) U.S. officials emphasize it's still experimental, and Russia likely only has a limited number of them.So, while mass‑production is claimed, in truth it may mean only a small initial batch—and more psychological signalling than industrial capacity. Of course, the choice of warhead is just as important, in terms of what impact the munition can have. ----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain----------SOURCES: * Euronews (Aug 1, 2025, deployment announcement)* AP News (deployment in Belarus)* Business Insider (mass-production claims & analysis)* Wikipedia (Oreshnik detailed history & capabilities)* RUSI and RIAC commentary (technical & strategic analysis)* Foreign Policy on submunition threat* Le Monde on Dnipro deployment* Kyiv Independent / Zelensky parts warning* The Guardian on missile escalation context* The Sunday Times via Times (UK vulnerability gap)----------TRUSTED CHARITIES ON THE GROUND:Save Ukrainehttps://www.saveukraineua.org/Superhumans - Hospital for war traumashttps://superhumans.com/en/UNBROKEN - Treatment. Prosthesis. Rehabilitation for Ukrainians in Ukrainehttps://unbroken.org.ua/Come Back Alivehttps://savelife.in.ua/en/Chefs For Ukraine - World Central Kitchenhttps://wck.org/relief/activation-chefs-for-ukraineUNITED24 - An initiative of President Zelenskyyhttps://u24.gov.ua/Serhiy Prytula Charity Foundationhttps://prytulafoundation.orgNGO “Herojam Slava”https://heroiamslava.org/kharpp - Reconstruction project supporting communities in Kharkiv and Przemyślhttps://kharpp.com/NOR DOG Animal Rescuehttps://www.nor-dog.org/home/----------