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EPISODE · Jan 7, 2026 · 38 MIN

Our Outlook for 2026

from The DeFi Report · host Michael Nadeau

📣THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/ https://thedefireport.io/ https://x.com/the_defi_report https://x.com/JustDeauIt ---- Today on The DeFi Report, we’re mapping the 2026 setup: shifting fiscal flows, tighter liquidity, and why rate cuts are not automatically bullish for crypto. Mike stays risk off (80 percent cash) while he watches for the signals that would force a pivot, falling real yields, a dovish Fed, and Bitcoin reclaiming key levels. We also break down where we are in the market cycle, why a counter rally could be a trap, and what Mike’s $65K fair value target implies for positioning this year. ---- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 1:10 Setup for 2026 5:54 Macro & Liquidity Setup 8:46 2022 Comparison 11:40 U.S. Liquidity Cycle Insights 13:20 Bitcoin & Interest Rates 16:34 Labor Market Insights 18:49 Real Estate Trends 21:04 Midterm Year Implications 23:30 Asset Allocation Cycle 26:18 Crypto Cycle Analysis 29:38 Transition Phase in Crypto 34:23 Geopolitical X Factor 37:12 Closing & Disclaimers ---- Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

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Our Outlook for 2026

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