Predicting the Presidency with Dr. Allan Lichtman

Host Grace Cowan is joined today by Dr. Allan Lichtman, renowned historian, author, commentator, professor of history at American University and co-creator of The Keys to the White House. Developed in collaboration with Russian scientist Vladimir Keilis-Borok, this predictive model has accurately determined the outcomes of nine presidential elections since 1984. In this bracing discussion they touch upon possible scenarios pertaining to the upcoming elections. Dr. Lichtman also addresses his book, 13 Cracks: Repairing American Democracy After Trump, highlighting loopholes in the American political system which may threaten our democracy. 00:00 Introduction to Frogmore Stew 00:26 Understanding the Presidential Primaries 01:22 Introducing Dr. Allan Lichtman and his 13 Keys to the White House 01:56 The Origin Story of the 13 Keys 03:39 Explaining the 13 Keys 06:15 Discussing the Impact of Incumbency and Party Battles 07:44 The Role of Scandals and Foreign Policy in Elections 09:18 The Influence of Third Parties 11:53 The Importance of Governing Well 18:06 The Impact of Internal Party Battles 19:39 Threats to Democracy 22:05 Closing Remarks Copyright 2025 Grace Cowan Allan Lichtman - YouTube Faculty Profile: Allan Lichtman | American University, Washington, DC Allan Lichtman - Wikipedia The Poets of Rhythm - South Carolina