Prediction markets forecasted the US-Israeli attacks on Iran...how? episode artwork

EPISODE · Mar 6, 2026 · 15 MIN

Prediction markets forecasted the US-Israeli attacks on Iran...how?

from The Chris and Amy Show on KMOX

Kate Knibbs, senior writer for Wired, joins Chris and Amy with a look at prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. She explains how the online platforms work and how the lack of regulation can raise a lot of eyebrows, especially when bets can be made on global events like the war in Iran. "It's hard to predict what's going to happen with prediction markets,'" jokes Knibbs.

Episode metadata supplied by the publisher feed · Published Mar 6, 2026

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Wired Senior Writer Kate Knibbs joins Chris and Amy with a look at polymarkets. She explains how the online platforms work, and how it relates to gambling and the legality of the concept. 'It's hard to predict what's going to happen with prediction markets,' jokes Knibbs.

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Prediction markets forecasted the US-Israeli attacks on Iran...how?

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