″🟩 Rising China-Japan tensions, Iran seizes oil tanker, AI-directed cyberattacks disrupted || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #46/2025″ by Nuño Sempere, belikewater, Vidur Kapur, Tolga Bilge

Executive summary Top items: Geopolitics: The Japanese PM said that any Chinese invasion of Taiwan could potentially prompt a Japanese intervention. Pakistan accused India and then Afghan nationals of being behind a terror attack. Iran seized a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, while the Houthis signalled an end to their attacks on vessels in the Red Sea. Tech and AI: Anthropic said that it disrupted an AI-orchestrated cyber espionage campaign. Economy: The President of the New York Federal Reserve convened an emergency meeting with top Wall Street dealers to discuss signs of stress in money markets. Forecasts: Forecasters estimate that there's a 61% (45% to 75%) chance that the governments of Pakistan and Afghanistan will resume peace talks by the end of March 2026. They think there's a 70% (50% to 90%) chance that the Houthis will refrain from attacking ships in the Red Sea through the end of March 2026. They believe there's a 73% (50% to 90%) chance that the US will carry out an attack on Venezuelan territory before the end of 2025, and a 47% (20% to 70%) chance that Nicolás Maduro will still be [...] ---Outline:(00:21) Executive summary(01:51) Geopolitics(01:54) Asia(04:44) Middle East(06:50) The Americas(06:53) Latin America(09:23) United States(10:26) Africa(10:37) Europe(11:04) Technology and artificial intelligence(13:28) Economy(14:20) Biorisks(14:50) Climate --- First published: November 17th, 2025 Source: https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/rising-china-japan-tensions-iran --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.