″🟩 Russian drone hits Romanian apartment block, Ebola deaths rise at slower pace, Anthropic surpasses OpenAI valuation || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #22/2026″ by Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, Tolga Bilge

Executive summary Geopolitics: A Russian drone hit an apartment building in Romania, injuring two people. Israel continues to strike Lebanon and Gaza. Will at least 10,000 deaths in Gaza and Lebanon be attributed to Israeli military action between June 1 and September 1, 2026? Our forecasters think there's a 19% (7% to 35%) chance. Biorisk: Reported Ebola deaths continued to rise, though at a slower pace. There are currently between 220 and 300 suspected deaths. Will at least two countries besides the DRC have at least 1,000 confirmed and suspected cases of Bundibugyo Ebolavirus by the end of 2026? Our forecasters think there's a 37% (20% to 50%) chance. Will there be more than 20,000 confirmed and suspected cases of Ebola in the current outbreak by the end of 2026? Forecasters think there's a 55% (35% to 70%) chance. Technology and AI: Anthropic surpassed OpenAI's valuation in its latest funding round. What is the chance that Anthropic's valuation will exceed that of OpenAI by at least 50% on June 1, 2027? Our forecasters estimate that there's a 35% (20% to 51%) probability. Economy: Will the hourly Brent crude oil futures [...] ---Outline:(00:22) Executive summary(02:11) Geopolitics(02:14) Middle East(03:55) Europe(05:00) Asia-Pacific(05:33) The Americas(05:36) Latin America(05:59) The United States(07:12) Africa(07:25) Technology and artificial intelligence(11:27) Biorisk(14:00) Economy The original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: June 1st, 2026 Source: https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/russian-drone-hits-romanian-apartment --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.