《思考,快与慢》S302预测的迷雾 episode artwork

EPISODE · Jul 25, 2016 · 9 MIN

《思考,快与慢》S302预测的迷雾

from 开浩御书房 · host 开浩御书房

在《失控》一书中提到过这样的论调,未来如果一旦被准确预测,那么未来就不会发生了,这个论调有点类似哲学的判断,我们如果相信那些不可能出现的可能,这本身就是一个悖论,很多成功者也会在事后放大自己当初的预测能力,下意识隐瞒自己幸运和凑巧的成分,这让预测未来这个冲动,变得那么迷人,那么朦胧,但是这种朦胧的背后,到底是晴空万里呢?还是无底的深渊呢?我们或许更应该思考一下这个问题吧!

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《思考,快与慢》S302预测的迷雾

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