“Sleepwalking into Crisis”: Why The Oil Market Hasn’t Imploded Yet | Kpler’s Matt Smith episode artwork

EPISODE · Jun 7, 2026 · 1H 8M

“Sleepwalking into Crisis”: Why The Oil Market Hasn’t Imploded Yet | Kpler’s Matt Smith

from Monetary Matters with Jack Farley · host Jack Farley

Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN): https://teucrium.com/corn In this episode of Monetary Matters, host Jack sits down with Matt Smith, the Director of Research at Kepler, to analyze how the global oil market is sleepwalking into a major supply crisis four months into the Iran war conflict. With the Strait of Hormuz closed for over three months, approximately 11 million barrels per day of crude supply have been removed from the market, forcing a global reduction of 9 million barrels per day in refinery runs. Smith explains that China's sudden decision to halt buying and scale back its own refinery operations temporarily freed up 4.5 million barrels per day for the global market, masking the true severity of the physical shortage. Meanwhile, the United States has acted as a primary buffer by heavily exporting refined products overseas, which has caused domestic inventories—particularly at the Cushing pricing hub—to deplete rapidly toward critical operational bottoms. Despite these deep structural deficits, headline benchmarks remain under $100 due to seasonal demand lulls and political interventions, leaving the trading market in a temporary state of complacency. Ultimately, Smith warns that a major market breakdown could occur as early as July when these dwindling stockpiles finally run dry and force a dramatic price response. This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are  Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today.  Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs  CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn  This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at  https://teucrium.com/corn. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and  instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past  performance does not guarantee future results.  For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the  respective Fund Prospectus before investing.  CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading  Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds,  which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the  Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading,  LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT.  PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with  Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC.

Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN): https://teucrium.com/corn In this episode of Monetary Matters, host Jack sits down with Matt Smith, the Director of Research at Kepler, to analyze how the global oil market is sleepwalking into a major supply crisis four months into the Iran war conflict. With the Strait of Hormuz closed for over three months, approximately 11 million barrels per day of crude supply have been removed from the market, forcing a global reduction of 9 million barrels per day in refinery runs. Smith explains that China's sudden decision to halt buying and scale back its own refinery operations temporarily freed up 4.5 million barrels per day for the global market, masking the true severity of the physical shortage. Meanwhile, the United States has acted as a primary buffer by heavily exporting refined products overseas, which has caused domestic inventories—particularly at the Cushing pricing hub—to deplete rapidly toward critical operational bottoms. Despite these deep structural deficits, headline benchmarks remain under $100 due to seasonal demand lulls and political interventions, leaving the trading market in a temporary state of complacency. Ultimately, Smith warns that a major market breakdown could occur as early as July when these dwindling stockpiles finally run dry and force a dramatic price response. This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are  Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today.  Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs  CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn  This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at  https://teucrium.com/corn. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and  instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past  performance does not guarantee future results.  For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the  respective Fund Prospectus before investing.  CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading  Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds,  which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the  Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading,  LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT.  PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with  Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC.

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“Sleepwalking into Crisis”: Why The Oil Market Hasn’t Imploded Yet | Kpler’s Matt Smith

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This episode was published on June 7, 2026.

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Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN): https://teucrium.com/corn In this episode of Monetary Matters, host Jack sits down with Matt Smith, the Director of Research at Kepler, to analyze how the global oil market is sleepwalking into a...

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