Staying in the AI Flow: Insights from ~400 Public and ~45 Private companies in AI

Send us Fan MailOn this episode of the WTR Small‑Cap Spotlight, James Kisner, Technology Analyst at Water Tower Research, joins Tim Gerdeman, Vice Chair, Co‑Founder, and Chief Marketing Officer of Water Tower Research, to discuss the latest insights from WTR’s suite of AI research products. Kisner walks through key themes from the newest AI Flow Newsletter, describing what he calls a “whiplash” month — from viral bear‑case essays and a 4,000‑person layoff explicitly citing AI, to OpenAI’s record‑breaking $110B capital raise and the Pentagon’s unprecedented supply‑chain risk designation for Anthropic.He also breaks down the AI Flow Index, which tracks the stock performance of roughly 400 public companies and shows a striking five‑month divergence: semiconductors up nearly 60% since launch while software has declined about 26%. Kisner then introduces the new AI Flow Private Pools Newsletter, which tracks approximately 45 private AI companies with a combined market value of about $1.73 trillion, highlighting notable valuation shifts — including Anthropic’s standout $92 billion single‑month gain.