The $45,000 Bitcoin Everyone Fears Is Getting Less Likely episode artwork

EPISODE · Jul 22, 2026 · 51 MIN

The $45,000 Bitcoin Everyone Fears Is Getting Less Likely

from The Bitcoin Layer · host The Bitcoin Layer

In this episode, Nik walks through the latest bitcoin research from Johan Bergman, head of bitcoin research at The Bitcoin Layer, using the charts inside TBL Pulse. He explains Johan's state grid, which plots bitcoin on valuation and trend, and why the framework currently places bitcoin in disbelief territory, a zone where, together with capitulation, bitcoin has spent roughly 40% of its life. Nik covers why bulls bracing for $45,000 are facing data that makes it less likely, and why the 200-day moving average near $73,000 stands as the final boss of the downtrend. He closes on why not retesting the realized price this cycle would signal a maturing bitcoin market. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

Episode metadata supplied by the publisher feed · Published Jul 22, 2026

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The $45,000 Bitcoin Everyone Fears Is Getting Less Likely

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