The Open Bell — Ep. 004 — 1 Jul 2026

Today on The Open Bell: Oil just posted its worst quarter since the pandemic, down 38% in three months, and the story isn't just cheap petrol: it's that a collapse this big reshapes everything from Saudi Arabia's government budget to how hard the Fed has to fight inflation. The Fed's own internal forecasts spooked markets badly enough last week that traders now price a one-in-three chance of a rate hike in July, which matters to anyone with a mortgage, a business loan, or the vague hope that borrowing was about to get cheaper. Japan's central bank is sitting at its highest interest rate since 1995 and the yen is still falling, because when the US looks like it might tighten even further, every other currency gets dragged along for the ride. Hosted by Alex Monroe. New episodes every weekday morning at theopenbell.co Not investment advice. For informational purposes only. --- Chapters: 00:00 Introduction 00:20 Brent Crude Slides Below $70, Sealing 38% Quarterly Collapse 02:54 Fed Rate-Hike Odds Surge to 36% After Hawkish June Dot Plot 05:15 Japan's BOJ Holds at 1.00% as Fed Divergence Pushes Yen Lowe 07:13 Closing thoughtsSupport the show