“The US Executive vs Supreme Court Deportations Clash” by Nuño Sempere episode artwork

EPISODE · Apr 21, 2025 · 15 MIN

“The US Executive vs Supreme Court Deportations Clash” by Nuño Sempere

from Sentinel Minutes

Forecaster perspectives Sentinel forecasters in aggregate assess as “83% true” (65% to 100%) the statement that the Trump administration has disobeyed the Supreme Court so far. On the one hand, the Trump administration has done nothing to “facilitate” bringing Abrego García back to the US, and the White House's tweet shown above clearly indicates that it won’t try to; on the other hand, it could yet still do so when the current news cycle subsides. On April 17th, forecasters estimated a 66% chance (50% to ~100%) that Abrego García will not be brought back to the US within the next 60 days (by June 17). Our forecasters estimate a 14% (range, 10% to 25%) probability that Trump will invoke the Insurrection Act by July [...] ---Outline:(00:11) Forecaster perspectives(03:19) Summary of events(03:34) The Abrego García US Supreme Court case.(05:45) Developments since the Abrego García Supreme Court case(08:16) Next steps for the court case(09:45) Plans for further deportations(11:38) The Insurrection Act(12:58) Implications and recommendations --- First published: April 21st, 2025 Source: https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/the-us-executive-vs-supreme-court --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

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“The US Executive vs Supreme Court Deportations Clash” by Nuño Sempere

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This episode was published on April 21, 2025.

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Forecaster perspectives Sentinel forecasters in aggregate assess as “83% true” (65% to 100%) the statement that the Trump administration has disobeyed the Supreme Court so far. On the one hand, the Trump administration has done nothing to...

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