EPISODE · May 25, 2026 · 1H 8M
Things Are Going to Get Even Crazier: The Macro Regime Shift | Andreas Steno Larsen
from Monetary Matters with Jack Farley · host Jack Farley
Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm Andreas Steno Larsen, macro researcher from Real Vision, joins Max Wiethe on Other People’s Money to discuss the shifting macro regime where inflation has returned and is pushing US Treasury yields over 5%. They discuss the market’s expectation for interest rate hikes and how the new Fed chair Kevin Warsh will react to this environment. They also discuss the other dominant force in markets right now, the AI buildout. Steno Larsen argues that things are going to get crazier before the cycle turns later this year, but in the meantime the shortages in the AI supply chain are creating unappreciated winners in the technology sector. Follow Andreas Steno Larsen on X: https://x.com/AndreasSteno Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:50 Inflation and the Big Macro Shift 01:43 Transitory Inflation Debate 04:19 Bond Trade Timing 06:13 Steep Curve Playbook 09:41 Why Steepening Helps 12:24 Strong Dollar EM Risk 14:35 HFGM Unlimited Funds 16:51 India Data Versus Rupee 18:24 Energy Supply Countdown 21:23 LatAm Underperformance 23:27 AI Inflation Link 26:52 Korea Semis Surge 28:26 Momentum with Earnings 30:39 Quantum Hype Warning 32:24 Semis Cycle Peak Question 34:47 Late Cycle Winners Flip 39:01 IPO Supply and Rotation 43:35 Valuation Metrics Reframed 46:11 Hidden Scarcity Trade 49:21 Goods Inflation Returns 51:15 AI Jobs and Robotics 54:07 White Collar Disruption Map 59:53 LLMs and Bad Facts 01:04:47 Momentum vs. Value Edge 01:06:15 Rapid Fire Outlook and Wrap
What this episode covers
Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm Andreas Steno Larsen, macro researcher from Real Vision, joins Max Wiethe on Other People’s Money to discuss the shifting macro regime where inflation has returned and is pushing US Treasury yields over 5%. They discuss the market’s expectation for interest rate hikes and how the new Fed chair Kevin Warsh will react to this environment. They also discuss the other dominant force in markets right now, the AI buildout. Steno Larsen argues that things are going to get crazier before the cycle turns later this year, but in the meantime the shortages in the AI supply chain are creating unappreciated winners in the technology sector. Follow Andreas Steno Larsen on X: https://x.com/AndreasSteno Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:50 Inflation and the Big Macro Shift 01:43 Transitory Inflation Debate 04:19 Bond Trade Timing 06:13 Steep Curve Playbook 09:41 Why Steepening Helps 12:24 Strong Dollar EM Risk 14:35 HFGM Unlimited Funds 16:51 India Data Versus Rupee 18:24 Energy Supply Countdown 21:23 LatAm Underperformance 23:27 AI Inflation Link 26:52 Korea Semis Surge 28:26 Momentum with Earnings 30:39 Quantum Hype Warning 32:24 Semis Cycle Peak Question 34:47 Late Cycle Winners Flip 39:01 IPO Supply and Rotation 43:35 Valuation Metrics Reframed 46:11 Hidden Scarcity Trade 49:21 Goods Inflation Returns 51:15 AI Jobs and Robotics 54:07 White Collar Disruption Map 59:53 LLMs and Bad Facts 01:04:47 Momentum vs. Value Edge 01:06:15 Rapid Fire Outlook and Wrap
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Things Are Going to Get Even Crazier: The Macro Regime Shift | Andreas Steno Larsen
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