Trends From A Thirty Year Trader

FOR THE RECORD- this episode was recorded on Aug 21 2024. And just so happens to mention why Daren Blonski, CFP® typically in his experience advises against big portfolio moves in September/October. But why? Believe it or not, after years of doing this, Daren has noticed some unbelievably, potentially HUMAN excuses and cycles in the stock market. Often referred to as "Seasonality" these tropes are not a rule, but seem to be true more often than not. What's the "santa rally"? Why would things "go away in May"? And why is Fall potentially a "fall" ? Hosts Dano Weir and Daren Blonski, CFP® dig in on the seasonality of the market in this episode of It's All Money. Book your Wealth Analysis right here Full video available on our YouTube Channel CHAPTERS 0:00 Cold Open: The Trading Rule Daren Won't Explain (Yet) 1:28 Why Market Psychology Matters More Than the Numbers 4:08 What This Episode Is Really About: Demystifying Seasonality 5:25 Retail vs. Institutional Investors: Who Really Moves the Market 7:31 What Is Market Seasonality, and Does the Data Back It Up? 8:05 Systemic Risk vs. Asymmetric Risk, Explained 8:39 The Monthly Return Chart: Why January Looks Like New Year's Resolutions 10:33 California Reservoirs, Sunshine, and Emotional Investing 11:32 The September/October Selloff, and Why It Happens Almost Every Year 12:53 Trading Volume and the Slow Summer Market ('The August Float') 14:12 Why the Market Often Rallies Into Year-End 16:21 'Sell in May' and Other Trading Sayings, Tested 17:35 Why Surviving Downturns Matters More Than Timing Them 18:55 The Role of a Financial Planner When Emotions Take Over 20:18 The West Coast Trading Day and Where 'False Signals' Come From 25:55 The Vanguard Study on Behavioral Coaching ('Advisor's Alpha') References: https://www.thestreet.com/dictionary/retail-investors https://www.investing.com/analysis/sell-in-may-and-walk-away-not-this-year-121730