Tuesday - September 29, 2026

Brian Szytel reviews modest market declines (Dow -131, S&P -0.15%, Nasdaq -0.10%) with major indexes still up YTD, and focuses on the bond selloff pushing the 10-year yield to about 5.24% amid speculation about 6%. He argues higher yields reflect both higher nominal growth near 6% and a Fed intent on reducing its balance sheet, with limited ability for Treasury financing tactics to meaningfully lower yields. He notes consumer confidence missed (81 vs. 89), JOLTS openings dipped slightly (7.1M vs. 7.2M), and Case-Shiller home prices rose 0.3% monthly but lag inflation amid high mortgage rates and weak price discovery. He answers why rates rise despite higher oil: the Fed targets elevated PCE/core inflation by tightening to cool broad-based price pressures. 00:00 Market Close Recap 00:29 Why Yields Are Rising 02:17 Fed Put and Bond Vigilantes 03:16 Where Rates May Settle 03:37 Today’s Economic Data 04:33 Housing Market Reality Check 05:21 Why Hike With High Oil 07:04 Wrap Up and Thanks Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com