UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Firing amidst a ceasefire'

Iran launched attacks against US naval vessels, and the United Arab Emirates. The US launched airstrikes against Iran. The Washington Post reports the US CIA believes Iran’s government can avoid additional economic hardship for several months, and that Iran still holds substantial stocks of missiles and launchers. This suggests less pressure on Iran to do a deal with the US—implying the US must compromise further, or the Strait of Hormuz will be closed longer than markets expect.