UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Inflation bonanza'

May US headline consumer price inflation is expected to rise as the price of the Iran war is being passed through relatively quickly to consumers. A supply shock might have a delayed effect (with profit margins being squeezed), but the very visible cause of price increases and the precedents of the pandemic supply shocks and tariffs make it easier for firms to pass on higher costs without delay (limiting damage to profits, so long as demand does not falter).