″🟡 US-Iran stalemate continues, Putin says Ukraine war may come to an end, White House considers AI executive order || Global Risks Weekly Roundup #19/2026″ by Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, Tolga Bilge

Executive summary Geopolitics: Donald Trump called Iran's response to the US’ latest peace proposal “totally unacceptable”. Vladimir Putin hinted that the Russia-Ukraine war may be nearing an end. Will Russia and Ukraine end the war with a signed agreement by the end of 2026? Our forecasters think there's a 35% (25% to 50%) chance. Technology and AI: The White House is reportedly considering introducing an executive order mandating that the government reviews new AI models before they are released to the public. Will the US Federal Government through executive order or legislation regulate the release of all new AI models from frontier laboratories by November 3rd, 2026? Our forecasters believe there's a 32% (27% to 40%) probability. Economy: The S&P 500's rebound since late March has been driven by the smallest number of stocks on record, namely a handful of Big Tech stocks. Will the tech companies Alphabet, Nvidia, Amazon, Broadcom, and Apple account for at least 65% of overall growth of the S&P 500 in Q4 of 2026? Our forecasters think there's a 33% (15% to 60%) chance. Biorisk: Passengers who were on the cruise ship associated with the hantavirus outbreak are [...] ---Outline:(00:22) Executive summary(02:40) Geopolitics(02:43) Middle East(03:35) Europe(04:37) The Americas(04:40) Latin America(05:02) The United States(05:35) Asia-Pacific(06:12) Technology and artificial intelligence(07:46) Economy(09:13) Biorisk(11:44) Nature and climate --- First published: May 11th, 2026 Source: https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/us-iran-stalemate-continues-putin --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.