EPISODE · Jun 21, 2026 · 9 MIN
Week Ends on a Cautious Note
from MPC Markets Morning Call · host MPC Markets
US cash markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth, but global stocks stalled heading into the weekend as US-Iran peace talks opened at Bürgenstock, Switzerland. Mark Gardner breaks down the 14-point memorandum of understanding, what's likely to pass and what isn't, and why crude oil may be the standout risk-reward trade right now — with downside of 5–10% versus upside of 10–25% if negotiations collapse.This episode covers:— US-Iran talks at Bürgenstock: Vance, Araghchi, and the 60-day negotiating window— Why Israel and Lebanon remain the wild card for any lasting deal— S&P 500 futures down 0.62%, US tech futures down 1%, oil up 2.5% as of recording— The case for energy as a portfolio hedge at extended US equity levels — Chevron, oil futures, and single-digit PE names— Fed, ECB, and RBA hawkishness hammering precious metals — gold under pressure— Australian CPI (Wednesday) and employment data (Thursday) — the numbers the RBA is watching— Metcash (MTS) full-year earnings today; BHP Jansen potash cost blowout fallout— Micron earnings Thursday morning — can memory prices justify the Philadelphia Semiconductors rally?— US core PCE price index, final GDP, and Michigan sentiment later in the weekMentioned: Software Survivors 2.0 webinar, Bulls vs Bears weekly podcast (Anthropic and OpenAI deep dive with Kai Chen and Jonathan Takadena)🎧 Subscribe: Spotify | Apple Podcasts | YouTube📧 Contact: mpcmarkets.com.au#MorningCall #USIranTalks #StraitOfHormuz #CrudeOil #ASX200 #FedRateHike #AustralianCPI #Micron #BHP #EnergyStocks #PortfolioHedge #MPCMarkets
What this episode covers
US cash markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth, but global stocks stalled heading into the weekend as US-Iran peace talks opened at Bürgenstock, Switzerland. Mark Gardner breaks down the 14-point memorandum of understanding, what's likely to pass and what isn't, and why crude oil may be the standout risk-reward trade right now — with downside of 5–10% versus upside of 10–25% if negotiations collapse.This episode covers:— US-Iran talks at Bürgenstock: Vance, Araghchi, and the 60-day negotiating window— Why Israel and Lebanon remain the wild card for any lasting deal— S&P 500 futures down 0.62%, US tech futures down 1%, oil up 2.5% as of recording— The case for energy as a portfolio hedge at extended US equity levels — Chevron, oil futures, and single-digit PE names— Fed, ECB, and RBA hawkishness hammering precious metals — gold under pressure— Australian CPI (Wednesday) and employment data (Thursday) — the numbers the RBA is watching— Metcash (MTS) full-year earnings today; BHP Jansen potash cost blowout fallout— Micron earnings Thursday morning — can memory prices justify the Philadelphia Semiconductors rally?— US core PCE price index, final GDP, and Michigan sentiment later in the weekMentioned: Software Survivors 2.0 webinar, Bulls vs Bears weekly podcast (Anthropic and OpenAI deep dive with Kai Chen and Jonathan Takadena)🎧 Subscribe: Spotify | Apple Podcasts | YouTube📧 Contact: mpcmarkets.com.au#MorningCall #USIranTalks #StraitOfHormuz #CrudeOil #ASX200 #FedRateHike #AustralianCPI #Micron #BHP #EnergyStocks #PortfolioHedge #MPCMarkets
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Week Ends on a Cautious Note
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