Why the Yield Curve Inversion Is Breaking Up

The yield curve has been inverted for over two years, but something changed this week: the two-year Treasury yield dropped below the three-month bill for the first time since 2023. Lucas and Luna unpack what this partial normalization means for the Fed, for recession signals, and for your portfolio. They walk through the specific yield levels as of June 8, 2026 — the two-year at 3.62%, the ten-year at 4.54%, the thirty-year at 5.00% — and explain why the curve is steepening even as short rates fall. They compare today's inversion structure to past cycles and ask whether this is the beginning of the end of the Fed's hiking cycle or just another head fake. #YieldCurve #Treasury #FederalReserve #Inversion #Steepening #TwoYearYield #TenYearYield #ThirtyYearYield #RecessionSignal #BondMarket #FixedIncome #MonetaryPolicy #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #TheEconomicForecastPodcast #June2026 #RateOutlook Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo