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Will Flávio Bolsonaro Pull Off The Ultimate Upset? (#34) episode artwork

Sep 24, 2026 58 min

Will Flávio Bolsonaro Pull Off The Ultimate Upset? (#34)

from Podgecaste Brazil Hosted by Podgecaste Brazil

Discussed: * The Path to The Planalto #02. Read it now. * Will ‘Tight Washout Theory’ survive? * Key battlegrounds in Minas Gerais and São Paulo seem to be shifting in Flávio’s favor. Will it be enough to win? * Evaluating the possibilities of a flip between the first and second rounds. * Flávio’s effectiveness in on-the-ground campaigning. * While Nikolas Ferreira shepherds the base, Flávio turns his attention to presenting a safe pair of hands * Social media campaigning is a dying force in Brazilian politics. * Less Twitter beefs; more polls. * Podcasts are also irrelevant in politics. Except for this one, of course. * Old Testament Lula makes a brief appearance on the campaign trail. * The case against attributing wild events to election outcomes. * Will there be a late September surprise? * Lula heads to New York for the UN General Assembly. * “It’s about Montes Claros, not Manhattan.” * When Lula goes on Amanpour, to whom exactly is he speaking? * Vying for the Rory Stewart endorsement. * Exchanging shirts with Mamdani. * Is there any chance of a debate featuring Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro before the first round? * And much more! This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit podgecaste.substack.com

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Will Flávio Bolsonaro Pull Off The Ultimate Upset? (#34)

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