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Confounded Interest - Anthony B. Sanders

by Anthony B. Sanders

Online Course Notes For Financial Markets And Real Estate

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Episodes

  1. US Producer Price Index Cools To 9.8% YoY In July As M2 Money Growth Cools And Recession Probability Increases

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/08/11/us-producer-price-index-cools-to-9-8-yoy-in-july-as-m2-money-growth-cools-and-recession-probability-increases/

  2. What Biden Meant When He Said Zero Inflation (July CPI Rose 0% In July) While REAL Earnings Growth Remains Negative And Rent CPI Soars

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/08/10/what-biden-meant-when-he-said-zero-inflation-july-cpi-rose-0-in-july-while-real-earnings-growth-remains-negative-and-rent-cpi-soars/

  3. US July Inflation Remains Hot (CPI At 8.5% YoY) While Real Weekly Wage Growth Remains Burned (-3.6% YoY) Mortgage Refi Apps Down -82% YoY While Mortgage Purchase Apps Down -19% YoY)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/08/10/us-july-inflation-remains-hot-cpi-at-8-5-yoy-while-real-weekly-wage-growth-remains-burned-3-6-yoy-mortgage-refi-apps-down-82-yoy-while-mortgage-purchase-apps-down-19-yoy/

  4. Labor Blues! US Labor Productivity Declines -4.6% In Q2 As Unit Labor Costs Sizzles At 10.8% (Fed Balance Sheet Still Out In Force)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/08/09/labor-blues-us-labor-productivity-declines-4-6-in-q2-as-unit-labor-costs-sizzles-at-10-8-fed-balance-sheet-still-out-in-force/

  5. Simply Unaffordable! Gap Between Real Home Price Growth (+11.17% YoY) And Real Wage Growth (-2.15% YoY) Near Highest Since 1988 (REAL 30Y Mortgage Rate Is Now -3.23%)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/08/07/simply-unaffordable-gap-between-real-home-price-growth-11-17-yoy-and-real-wage-growth-2-15-yoy-near-highest-since-1988-real-30y-mortgage-rate-is-now-3-23/

  6. Weekend Update! US Treasury Yield Curve Inversion Worsens Screaming Impending Recession, 30Y Mortgage Rate Rises To 5.6% (5/1 ARM Rate Rises To 4.21%)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/08/06/weekend-update-us-treasury-yield-curve-inversion-worsens-screaming-impending-recession-30y-mortgage-rate-rises-to-5-6-5-1-arm-rate-rises-to-4-21/

  7. US 10-year Treasury Yield Surges +14 Basis Points As Strange Jobs Report Spurs Fed Rate Hike Fears

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/08/05/us-10-year-treasury-yield-surges-14-basis-points-as-strange-jobs-report-spurs-fed-rate-hike-fears/

  8. ‘Sizzling’ US Jobs Data (+528k) Make Case for Bigger Fed Rate Increases (Real Avg Hourly Earnings Growth Sinks To -3.8173 And US Treasury Yield Curve Inverts Further To -37.6, Most Inverted Since 2000

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/08/05/sizzling-us-jobs-data-528k-make-case-for-bigger-fed-rate-increases-real-avg-hourly-earnings-growth-sinks-to-3-8173-and-us-treasury-yield-curve-inverts-further-to-37-6-most-inv/

  9. US 30Y Mortgage Rates On Rise Again, Bankrate 30Y Rate UP 92% Under Biden/Powell (US Yield Curve Inversion Worsens, Worst Inversion Since 2000)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/08/04/us-30y-mortgage-rates-on-rise-again-bankrate-30y-rate-up-92-under-biden-powell-us-yield-curve-inversion-worsens-worst-inversion-since-2000/

  10. Zoltan!

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/08/03/zoltan/

  11. Mr. Freeze! June JOLTs Job Openings Cool -5.4% From May, Home Price Growth Cools As Fed Tightens

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/08/02/mr-freeze-june-jolts-job-openings-cool-5-4-from-may-home-price-growth-cools-as-fed-tightens/

  12. Slowing! Home Price Growth Slows To +17.3% YoY As PMI Dropping Towards Contraction And Mortgage Payments Rise 62.3% YoY

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/08/01/slowing-home-price-growth-slows-to-17-3-yoy-as-pmi-dropping-towards-contraction-and-mortgage-payments-rise-62-3-yoy/

  13. Schumer/Manchin Bill With $327 Billion In New Taxes Could Cause Further Recession And Increase Taxes On Americans Making Under $400,000 (US 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Further Inverts)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/08/01/schumer-manchin-bill-with-327-billion-in-new-taxes-could-cause-further-recession-and-increase-taxes-on-americans-making-under-400000-us-10y-2y-yield-curve-further-inverts/

  14. Misery! PCE Deflator Rises To 6.8% YoY, Highest In 40 Years As Rents, Food, Gasoline Explode In Price (Taylor Rule Suggests Fed O/N Rate Of 17.78%)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/30/misery-pce-deflator-rises-to-6-8-yoy-highest-in-40-years-as-rents-food-gasoline-explode-in-price-taylor-rule-suggests-fed-o-n-rate-of-17-78/

  15. Consumer Sentiment Remains Very Depressed (University of Michigan Sentiment Index Rises Slightly To A Depressed 51.5 While Buying Conditions For Housing Rose Slightly To A Depressed 47.0)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/29/consumer-sentiment-remains-very-depressed-university-of-michigan-sentiment-index-rises-slightly-to-a-depressed-51-5-while-buying-conditions-for-housing-rose-slightly-to-a-depressed-47-0/

  16. Sink The Mortgage Market! US Mortgage Rates Decline To 5.57%

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/28/sink-the-mortgage-market-us-mortgage-rates-decline-to-5-57/

  17. Slipped Into Darkness! The US Economy Slumps Into Recession (GDP Price Growth Worse Than Expected) Stagflation Alert!!

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/28/slipped-into-darkness-the-us-economy-slumps-into-recession-gdp-price-growth-worse-than-expected-stagflation-alert/

  18. Alarm! US New Home Sales Plunge -17.4% YoY As Fed Tightens Noose And Recession Alarms Sound (Median Prices Fall -9.47% YoY)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/26/alarm-us-new-home-sales-plunge-17-4-yoy-as-fed-tightens-noose-and-recession-alarms-sound-median-prices-fall-9-47-yoy/

  19. Too Much Fed Stimulus! Case-Shiller National Home Price Index Soars At 19.75% YoY In May Thanks To “Slowhand” Powell And The Never-Shrinking Balance Sheet (Red States Soaring Faster Than Blue States)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/26/too-much-fed-stimulus-case-shiller-national-home-price-index-soars-at-19-75-yoy-in-may-thanks-to-slowhand-powell-and-the-never-shrinking-balance-sheet-red-states-soaring-faster-than-blue-states/

  20. Recession Warning? Total US Foreclosures Starts UP 440.91% YoY In June (Black Knight)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/25/recession-warning-total-us-foreclosures-starts-up-440-91-yoy-in-june-black-knight/

  21. Inflation And The Fed Ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC Meeting (Will Fed 75 BPS Increase Tame Inflation With Inverted Yield Curve? Or Will Biden/Congress Raise Taxes To Fight Inflation?)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/25/inflation-and-the-fed-ahead-of-wednesdays-fomc-meeting-will-fed-75-bps-increase-tame-inflation-with-inverted-yield-curve-or-will-biden-congress-raise-taxes-to-fight-inflation/

  22. Biden’s Tots? US Composite PMI Declines To 47.5 Despite Fed INCREASING Monetary Stimulus

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/22/bidens-tots-us-composite-pmi-declines-to-47-5-despite-fed-increasing-monetary-stimulus/

  23. Don’t Listen To The (Central) Bank? The Fed Is Only Tightening Their Target Rate, Not Unwinding Their Enormous Balance Sheet (Eurozone 10Y Yields Tank Nearly 20 Basis Points)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/22/dont-listen-to-the-central-bank-the-fed-is-only-tightening-their-target-rate-not-unwinding-their-enormous-balance-sheet-eurozone-10y-yields-tank-nearly-20-basis-points/

  24. Not Always Sunny! Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Plunges To -12.30 In July As Atlanta Fed GDPNow Retreats To -1.6% For Q2 (Will The Fed Stop QT?)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/21/not-always-sunny-philadelphia-fed-business-outlook-plunges-to-12-30-in-july-as-atlanta-fed-gdpnow-retreats-to-1-6-for-q2-will-the-fed-stop-qt/

  25. Fahrenheit 8.6! ECB Raises Main Refinancing Rate For First Time Since 2011 To Fight 8.6% Eurozone Inflation (0.5% Rate Hike Will Hardly Cool Eurozone Inflation, Lagarde!)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/21/fahrenheit-8-6-ecb-raises-main-refinancing-rate-for-first-time-since-2011-to-fight-8-6-eurozone-inflation-0-5-rate-hike-will-hardly-cool-eurozone-inflation-lagarde/

  26. Green Sacrifice! Ford Plans Up to 8,000 Job Cuts to Help Fund Investments in EVs (Gasoline Prices UP 55% Under Biden, Food UP 22%, Mortgage Rates UP 87%)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/21/green-sacrifice-ford-plans-up-to-8000-job-cuts-to-help-fund-investments-in-evs-gasoline-prices-up-55-under-biden-food-up-22-mortgage-rates-up-87/

  27. Heartaches By The Number! Mortgage Applications Declined For Third week In A Row, Lowest Level Since 2000 (Applications DOWN -71% Under Biden, Mortgage Rates UP 99%)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/20/heartaches-by-the-number-mortgage-applications-declined-for-third-week-in-a-row-lowest-level-since-2000-applications-down-71-under-biden-mortgage-rates-up-99/

  28. NOT Beautiful! US Mortgage Rates Decline Slightly To 5.73% As Fed Raises Rates And Recession Probability Increases (30Y Rate UP 99% Under Biden)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/19/not-beautiful-us-mortgage-rates-decline-slightly-to-5-73-as-fed-raises-rates-and-recession-probability-increases-30y-rate-up-99-under-biden/

  29. Goin’ Down! US Housing Starts Drop -6.3% YoY In June Thanks To Fed Tightening (1-Unit Starts Dropped -8% MoM, Multifamily Starts Soared 15% MoM)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/19/goin-down-us-housing-starts-drop-6-3-yoy-in-june-thanks-to-fed-tightening-1-unit-starts-dropped-8-mom-multifamily-starts-soared-15-mom/

  30. Doom Loop? The US Dollar Is Booming, But Will A Doom Loop Follow? (US Treasury Yield Curve Inverted At -20 BPS)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/18/doom-loop-the-us-dollar-is-booming-but-will-a-doom-loop-follow-us-treasury-yield-curve-inverted-at-20-bps/

  31. Buckaroo! Why The Fed Won’t Be Able To Contain Inflation (Taylor Rule Suggests A Target Rate Of 23.30%, A Bridge Too Far)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/17/buckaroo-why-the-fed-wont-be-able-to-contain-inflation-taylor-rule-suggests-a-target-rate-of-23-30-a-bridge-too-far/

  32. Soothe Me? US Q2 Real GDP Sinks To -1.5% As Fed Tightens The Monetary Noose

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/16/soothe-me-us-q2-real-gdp-sinks-to-1-5-as-fed-tightens-the-monetary-noose/

  33. Simply Unaffordable? Or Is The Fed Killing-off Housing In Its Quest To Crush Inflation? (REAL Home Price Growth Is 12% YoY While REAL Wage Growth Is -3.95% YoY)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/16/simply-unaffordable-or-is-the-fed-killing-off-housing-in-its-quest-to-crush-inflation-real-home-price-growth-is-12-yoy-while-real-wage-growth-is-3-95-yoy/

  34. Biden’s Limbo Rock! US Consumer Confidence Remains Depressed 51.1 With Inflation Ravaging Households, Housing Sentiment Even Worse At 45 (Biden Approval At 38.1%)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/15/bidens-limbo-rock-us-consumer-confidence-remains-depressed-51-1-with-inflation-ravaging-households-housing-sentiment-even-worse-at-45-biden-approval-at-38-1/

  35. The Core? Flexible Price Inflation Rises To 18.74% While Core Inflation Plunges To 8.40%, “Fats” Waller Backing 75 Basis Point Hike (30Y Mortgage Rate Rises To 5.83%)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/15/the-core-flexible-price-inflation-rises-to-18-74-while-core-inflation-plunges-to-8-40-fats-waller-backing-75-basis-point-hike-30y-mortgage-rate-rises-to-5-83/

  36. Bottle Of Wine? Strong US Dollar And Soaring Inflation Is A Brutal Cocktail For S&P 500 Firms (Will The Fed Pivot To QE Again?)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/14/bottle-of-wine-strong-us-dollar-and-soaring-inflation-is-a-brutal-cocktail-for-sp-500-firms-will-the-fed-pivot-to-qe-again/

  37. Fed Fireball? US PPI Final Demand UP +11.3% YoY As Fed May Raise Rates 100 Basis Points At July 27th FOMC Meeting (Stocks In A Sea of Red)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/14/fed-fireball-us-ppi-final-demand-up-11-3-yoy-as-fed-may-raise-rates-100-basis-points-at-july-27th-fomc-meeting-stocks-in-a-sea-of-red/

  38. Small Business Optimism Crashes As Inflation Rises To 9.1% YoY (REAL Avg Weekly Earnings Plunge To -4.4% YoY)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/13/small-business-optimism-crashes-as-inflation-rises-to-9-1-yoy-real-avg-weekly-earnings-plunge-to-4-4-yoy/

  39. Alarm! US Mortgage Purchase Applications Tank 14% From Previous Week As Fed Turns Up Rate Heat (Refi Applications Index Down 80% YoY)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/13/alarm-us-mortgage-purchase-applications-tank-14-from-previous-week-as-fed-turns-up-rate-heat-refi-applications-index-down-80-yoy/

  40. The Shallows! Traders Fully Price 75-Basis-Point Fed Hike at July Meeting As Mortgage Rates Decline Slightly (Fed Fighting Inflation At All Costs!)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/13/the-shallows-traders-fully-price-75-basis-point-fed-hike-at-july-meeting-as-mortgage-rates-decline-slightly-fed-fighting-inflation-at-all-costs/

  41. The Great Divide … In Affordability! REAL Rents Rising At 6.16% YoY As REAL Hourly Earnings Declining At -3.47% YoY (Growing Homelessness And Rise In Home Sale Transactions)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/12/the-great-divide-in-affordability-real-rents-rising-at-6-16-yoy-as-real-hourly-earnings-declining-at-3-47-yoy-growing-homelessness-and-rise-in-home-sale-transactions/

  42. Hurt So Good? Copper Down -27% Since March 3rd, Bitcoin Down -70% Since Nov ’21 (Is The Fed Killing Off The Economy Or Just Removing “Free Money”?)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/11/hurt-so-good-copper-down-27-since-march-3rd-bitcoin-down-70-since-nov-21-is-the-fed-killing-off-the-economy-or-just-removing-free-money/

  43. Inflation Nation! Fed’s 5Y Forward Breakeven Inflation Rate Plunges To Lowest Of Biden’s Presidency As Fed Hikes Rates (Mortgage Rates Resume Soaring)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/10/inflation-nation-feds-5y-forward-breakeven-inflation-rate-plunges-to-lowest-of-bidens-presidency-as-fed-hikes-rates-mortgage-rates-resume-soaring/

  44. Money! About That June Jobs Report (The Fed’s Balance Sheet Still Out In Force!)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/09/money-about-that-june-jobs-report-the-feds-balance-sheet-still-out-in-force/

  45. Slowing! Jobs Friday Shows Decline In Jobs Added, Real Avg Hourly Earnings Growth Now -3.25% YoY (NOT The Strongest Economy In History!)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/08/slowing-jobs-friday-shows-decline-in-jobs-added-real-avg-hourly-earnings-growth-now-3-25-yoy-not-the-strongest-economy-in-history/

  46. US Mortgage Rates Fall To 5.30% As Q2 Real GDP Falls To -1.9% (The Economy Is Falling To Pieces)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/07/us-mortgage-rates-fall-to-5-30-as-q2-real-gdp-falls-to-1-9-the-economy-is-falling-to-pieces/

  47. Alarm! Challenger Job Cuts Rise 58.8% YoY As Real Wage Growth Is Negative At -3.34% YoY (10Y-2Y Yield Curve SCREAMS Recession)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/07/alarm-challenger-job-cuts-rise-58-8-yoy-as-real-wage-growth-is-negative-at-3-34-yoy-10y-2y-yield-curve-screams-recession/

  48. Sloth-Slow? Fed Expected To Raise Target Rate 75 Basis Points Today As Recession Fears Grow (Trying To Force A Recession??)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/06/sloth-slow-fed-expected-to-raise-target-rate-75-basis-points-today-as-recession-fears-grow-trying-to-force-a-recession/

  49. Darkness, Darkness! Recession Fears Push Mortgage Rates Down And MBA Purchase/Refi Applications Up (Home Prices Up 20.9% YoY In May)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/06/darkness-darkness-recession-fears-push-mortgage-rates-down-and-mba-purchase-refi-applications-up-home-prices-up-20-9-yoy-in-may/

  50. Bidenflation Strikes! Dow Down 2% As Recession Fears Grow (Check Out M1 Money Growth!)

    This episode is also available as a blog post: http://confoundedinterest.net/2022/07/05/bidenflation-strikes-dow-down-2-as-recession-fears-grow-check-out-m1-money-growth/

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ABOUT THIS SHOW

Online Course Notes For Financial Markets And Real Estate

HOSTED BY

Anthony B. Sanders

CATEGORIES

business investing

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Online Course Notes For Financial Markets And Real Estate

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