All Episodes
Astral Codex Ten Podcast — 1000 episodes
The Quest For Caffeine You Can Have At Night
The Foothills Of Bay Area House Party
MacGregor The Bridge Builder
Open Questions On Open Weights
The Beauty Of Settled Science
Does Forecasting Have Room At The Top?
Your Book Review: The Epic Of Gilgamesh
Highlights From The Discourse On The Hugging Face Incident
Links For July 2026 (Part 2)
Psychology Research Is Mostly Fine
The Hugging Face Incident
Your Book Review: Breakdown In Pakistan
Links For July 2026 (Part 1)
Contra Pritchard On Liberal Happiness
Your Book Review: Great And Desperate Cures
Against "Stochastic Terrorism"
AI Chip Regulation Is Not A Dystopian Surveillance State
Introducing Plan A
Your Book Review: The Book Of Abraham
The AI Superforecasters Are Here
Chip Off The Old Block
The Metaculus Threat To Democracy Index
Should People Avoid Whole-Body Screening Info?
Preliminary Thoughts On The Midjourney Scanner
Waiting For The Miracle
Never Cross a River Four Feet Deep on Average
My AI Opinions
Book Review: The Dialectical Imagination
Use AI This Election
New Paradigms Won't Save You
The Types Of Candidate You Find In The California Gubernatorial Race
The Sigmoids Won't Save You
Nostalgebraist's Hydrogen Jukeboxes
Three Model Organisms For Taste
Contra Everyone On Taste
What Deontological Bars?
Your Attempt To Solve Debate Will Not Work
Links For April 2026
Half A Month Of Consolation Writing Advice
Orban Was Bad, Even Though We Don't Have A Perfect Word For His Badness
Against The Concept Of Telescopic Altruism
A Buddhist Sun Miracle?
How Natural Tradeoff And Failure Components?
Every Debate On Pausing AI
Being John Rawls
Support Your Local Collaborator
Shameless Guesses, Not Hallucinations
Last Rights
SEIU Delenda Est
Mantic Monday: Groundhog Day
"All Lawful Use": Much More Than You Wanted To Know
Next-Token Predictor Is An AI's Job, Not Its Species
The Pentagon Threatens Anthropic
Malicious Streetlight Effects Vs. "Directional Correctness" - A Semi-Non-Apology
Book Review Contest Rules 2026
Crime As Proxy For Disorder
Record Low Crime Rates Are Real, Not Just Reporting Bias Or Improved Medical Care
What Happened With Bio Anchors?
Political Backflow From Europe
Links For February 2026
Moltbook: After The First Weekend
Best Of Moltbook
Slightly Against The "Other People's Money" Argument Against Aid
Highlights From The Comments On Scott Adams
The Dilbert Afterlife
Mantic Monday: The Monkey's Paw Curls
SOTA On Bay Area House Party
The Permanent Emergency
Highlights From The Comments On Boomers
You Have Only X Years To Escape Permanent Moon Ownership
Highlights From The Comments On Vibecession
ACX/Metaculus Prediction Contest 2026
Against Against Boomers
The Pledge
Links For December 2025
Vibecession: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
The Good News Is That One Side Has Definitively Won The Missing Heritability Debate
Why AI Safety Won't Make America Lose The Race With China
The New AI Consciousness Paper
Suggest Questions For Metaculus/ACX Forecasting Contest
What Happened To SF Homelessness?
In What Sense Is Life Suffering?
The Bloomer's Paradox
Writing For The AIs
Links For October 2025
Model City Monday 10/27/25
Highlights From The Comments On Fatima
Tech PACs Are Closing In On The Almonds
Non-Book Review Contest 2025 Winners
ACX Grants Results 2025
Fascism Can't Mean Both A Specific Ideology And A Legitimate Target
The Fatima Sun Miracle: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
Your Review: The Russo-Ukrainian War
Sources Say Bay Area House Party
Your Review: Project Xanadu - The Internet That Might Have Been
Defining Defending Democracy: Contra The Election Winner Argument
Your Review: The Synaptic Plasticity and Memory Hypothesis
Book Review: If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
Links For September 2025
Your Review: Participation in Phase I Clinical Pharmaceutical Research
What Is Man, That Thou Art Mindful Of Him?
Open Letter To The NIH
In Search Of AI Psychosis
Your Review: Ollantay
My Responses To Three Concerns From The Embryo Selection Post
Your Review: Dating Men In The Bay Area
In Defense Of The Amyloid Hypothesis
Highlights From The Comments On Liberalism And Communities
Your Review: My Father's Instant Mashed Potatoes
Should Strong Gods Bet On GDP?
Your Review: Joan of Arc
Suddenly, Trait-Based Embryo Selection
My Heart Of Hearts
Your Review: The Astral Codex Ten Commentariat ("Why Do We Suck?")
Apply For An ACX Grant (2025)
Press Any Key For Bay Area House Party
Your Review: Islamic Geometric Patterns In The Metropolitan Museum Of Art
Book Review: Arguments About Aborigines
Your Review: Of Mice, Mechanisms, and Dementia
Practically-A-Book Review: Byrnes on Trance
Now I Really Won That AI Bet
Your Review: School
Highlights From The Comments On Missing Heritability
Links For July 2025
Contra Skolnick On Schizophrenia Microbes
Your Review: Alpha School
Missing Heritability: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
Open Questions For Future ACX Grants Rounds
ACX Grants 1-3 Year Updates
The Claude Bliss Attractor
"But" vs. "Yes, But"
If It's Worth Your Time To Lie, It's Worth My Time To Correct It
P-Zombies Would Report Qualia
Choose Nonbook Review Finalists 2025
Bayes For Everyone
Sorry, I Still Think MR Is Wrong About USAID
Moments Of Awakening
Contra MR On Charity Regrants
The Evidence That A Million Americans Died Of COVID
The Other COVID Reckoning
Book Review: Selfish Reasons To Have More Kids
In Search Of /r/petfree
Highlights From The Comments On AI Geoguessr
Testing AI's GeoGuessr Genius
Moldbug Sold Out
The Populist Right Must Own Tariffs
AI Futures: Blogging And AMA
Links For April 2025
Highlights From The Comments On POSIWID
Come On, Obviously The Purpose Of A System Is Not What It Does
My Takeaways From AI 2027
AI 2027 (Full Recording with Footnotes and Text Boxes)
Introducing AI 2027
The Colors Of Her Coat
"Deros And The Ur-Abduction" In Asterisk
More Drowning Children
Misophonia: Beyond Sensory Sensitivity
OpenAI Nonprofit Buyout: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
The Ozempocalypse Is Nigh
What Happened To NAEP Scores?
Everything-Except-Book Review Contest 2025
Why Should Intelligence Be Related To Neuron Count?
Links For February 2025
Why I Am Not A Conflict Theorist
Highlights From The Comments On Tegmark's Mathematical Universe
Lives Of The Rationalist Saints
Tegmark's Mathematical Universe Defeats Most Proofs Of God's Existence
Only About 40% Of The Cruz "Woke Science" Database Is Woke Science
Deliberative Alignment, And The Spec
1DaySooner's Trump II Health Policy Proposals
Money Saved By Canceling Programs Does Not Immediately Flow To The Best Possible Alternative
Model City Monday 2/3/25
Why Recurring Dream Themes?
ACX Survey Results 2025
Everyone's A Based Post-Christian Vitalist Until The Grooming Gangs Show Up
Try The 2025 ACX/Metaculus Forecasting Contest
Links For January 2025
Highlights From The Comments On Lynn And IQ
How To Stop Worrying And Learn To Love Lynn's National IQ Estimates
Bureaucracy Isn't Measured In Bureaucrats
On Priesthoods
It's Still Easier To Imagine The End Of The World Than The End Of Capitalism
H5N1: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
Why Worry About Incorrigible Claude?
Claude Fights Back
Links For December 2024
Highlights From The Comments On Prison
Indulge Your Internet Addiction By Reading About Internet Addiction
Friendly And Hostile Analogies For Taste
Book Review: From Bauhaus To Our House
Prison And Crime: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
Against The Generalized Anti-Caution Argument
How Did You Do On The AI Art Turing Test?
The Early Christian Strategy
Book Review: The Rise Of Christianity
Congrats To Polymarket, But I Still Think They Were Mispriced
Links For November 2024
Mantic Monday: Judgment Day
ACX Endorses Harris, Oliver, Or Stein
The Case Against California Proposition 36
Notes From The Progress Studies Conference
Secrets Of The Median Voter Theorem
ACX Local Voting Guides
Book Review: Deep Utopia
AI Art Turing Test
Book Review Contest 2024 Winners
SB 1047: Our Side Of The Story
Triple Tragedy And Thankful Theory
Against The Cultural Christianity Argument
Preliminary Milei Report Card
How Often Do Men Think About Rome?
Your Book Review: The Ballad of the White Horse
Sakana, Strawberry, and Scary AI
Mantic Monday 9/16/24
Your Book Review: Nine Lives
Links For September 2024
Contra DeBoer On Temporal Copernicanism
Your Book Review: The Pale King
Highlights From The Comments On "Sorry You Feel That Way"
Interview Day At Thiel Capital
Your Book Review: The History of the Rise and Influence of the Spirit of Rationalism in Europe
In Defense Of "I'm Sorry You Feel That Way"
Your Book Review: The Complete Rhyming Dictionary and Poet's Craft Book (1936 Edition)
The Compounding Loophole
Lukianoff And Defining Cancel Culture
Your Book Review: Silver Age Marvel Comics
Why Does Ozempic Cure All Diseases?
Your Book Review: How the War Was Won
Highlights From The Comments On Nietzsche
Altruism And Vitalism As Fellow Travelers
Your Book Review: Two Arms and a Head
Matt Yglesias Considered As The Nietzschean Superman
Your Book Review: Real Raw News
Links for July 2024
Some Practical Considerations Before Descending Into An Orgy Of Vengeance
Your Book Review: How Language Began
Highlights From The Comments On Mentally Ill Homeless People
Consciousness As Recursive Reflections
Your Book Review: The Family That Couldn't Sleep
Lifeboat Games And Backscratchers Clubs
Details That You Should Include In Your Article On How We Should Do Something About Mentally Ill Homeless People
Your Book Review: Don Juan
Prediction Markets Suggest Replacing Biden
Your Book Review: Dominion
My 2024 Presidential Debate
Clarification On "Fake Tradition Is Traditional"
Your Book Review: Autobiography Of Yukichi Fukuzawa
Fake Tradition Is Traditional
Failure To Replicate Anti-Vaccine Poll
Nobody Can Make You Feel Genetically Inferior Without Your Consent
Unsong Available In Paperback
Contra Stone On EA
Links for May 2024
A Theoretical "Case Against Education"
What Is Going On In IFS?
Book Review: The Others Within Us
Choose Book Review Finalists 2024
Profile: The Far Out Initiative
Mantic Monday 5/13/24
Highlights From The Comments On Hanson And Health Care
The Emotional Support Animal Racket
Asterisk/Zvi on California's AI Bill
Highlights From The Comments On "The Origin Of Woke"
Book Review: The Origins Of Woke
Response to Hanson On Health Care
Survey Results: PMS Symptoms
Desperately Trying To Fathom The Coffeepocalypse Argument
Contra Hanson On Medical Effectiveness
Ye Olde Bay Area House Party
Updates on Lumina Probiotic
Highlights From The Comments On The Lab Leak Debate
Links For April 2024
Spring Meetups Everywhere 2024
Practically-A-Book Review: Rootclaim $100,000 Lab Leak Debate
In Continued Defense Of Non-Frequentist Probabilities
The Mystery Of Internet Survey IQs
In Partial Grudging Defense Of Some Aspects Of Therapy Culture
Verses On Five People Being Killed By A Falling Package Of Foreign Aid
Mantic Monday 3/11/24
Spring Meetups Everywhere 2024 - Call For Organizers
How Should We Think About Race And "Lived Experience"?
ACX Grants Followup Impact Market
Who Predicted 2023?
Book Review Contest Rules 2024
Links For February 2024
Less Utilitarian Than Thou
Who Does Polygenic Selection Help?
Highlights From The Comments On Polyamory
Mantic Monday 2/19/24
X Fact Check: Does Gender Integration Moderate Politics?
Love And Liberty
Sam Altman Wants $7 Trillion
ACX Grants Results 2024
Evolution Explains Polygenic Structure
You Don't Hate Polyamory, You Hate People Who Write Books
It's Fair To Describe Schizophrenia As Probably Mostly Genetic
Seems Like Targeting
Mantic Monday 1/29/24
The Psychopolitics Of Trauma
Some Unintuitive Properties Of Polygenic Disorders
Should The Future Be Human?
Subscrive Drive 2024 + Free Unlocked Posts
Links For January 2024
Against Learning From Dramatic Events
AI Sleeper Agents
Highlights From The Comments On Capitalism & Charity
The Road To Honest AI
Does Capitalism Beat Charity?
Singing The Blues
In The Long Run, We're All Dad
Son Of Bride Of Bay Area House Party
Apply For An ACX Grant (2024)
Defying Cavity: Lantern Bioworks FAQ
Beyond "Abolish The FDA"
Mantic Monday 12/4/23
Links For November 2023
Contra DeBoer On Movement Shell Games
In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruism
God Help Us, Let's Try To Understand AI Monosemanticity
Book Review: I See Satan Fall Like Lightning
Does Anaesthesia Prove Ketamine Placebo?
Followup: Quests And Requests
Hardball Questions For The Next Debate
Highlights From The Comments On Kidney Donation
Quests And Requests
Dictator Book Club: Chavez
Mantic Monday 10/30/23
My Left Kidney
Impact Market Mini-Grants Results
Pause For Thought: The AI Pause Debate
How Are The Gay Younger Brothers Doing?
Links For September 2023
Book Review: The Alexander Romance
Highlights From The Comments On Elon Musk
Book Review Contest 2023 Winners
Book Review: Elon Musk
Highlights From The Comments On Last Week's Model Cities Post
Vote In The 2023 Book Review Contest
Contra Kirkegaard On Evolutionary Definitions Of Mental Illness
Model City Monday 9/4/23: California Dreamin'
My Presidential Platform
Your Book Review: Zuozhuan
Here's Why Automaticity Is Real Actually
Highlights From The Comments On Fetishes
Mantic Monday 8/28/23
Your Book Review: Why Nations Fail
Meetups Everywhere 2023: Times & Places
Highlights From The Comments On Dating Preferences
More Thoughts On Critical Windows
Critical Periods For Language: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
What Can Fetish Research Tell Us About AI?
Your Book Review: The Mind Of A Bee
Bride Of Bay Area House Party
In Defense Of Describable Dating Preferences
Your Book Review: The Weirdest People in the World
Highlights From The Comments On Putin
Links for August 2023
Your Book Review: The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich
More Memorable Passages From "The Man Without A Face"
Dictator Book Club: Putin
Meetups Everywhere Fall 2023 - Call For Organizers
Mantic Monday 7/31/23: Room Temperature Superforecaster
Your Book Review: On the Marble Cliffs
Bad Definitions Of "Democracy" And "Accountability" Shade Into Totalitarianism
Highlights From The Comments On Social Model Of Disability
We're Not Platonists, We've Just Learned The Bitter Lesson
Your Book Review: The Laws of Trading
Highlights From The Comments On British Economic Decline
The Extinction Tournament
Contra The xAI Alignment Plan
Your Book Review: The Educated Mind
Contra The Social Model Of Disability
Why Match School And Student Rank?
Your Book Review: Secret Government
Links For July 2023
Tales Of Takeover In CCF-World
Your Book Review: Safe Enough?
Is There An Illusion Of Moral Decline?
Sure, Whatever, Let's Try Another Contra Caplan On Mental Illness
Every Flashing Element On Your Site Alienates And Enrages Users
"Through A Glass Darkly" In Asterisk Magazine
Your Book Review: Public Citizens
Davidson On Takeoff Speeds
Your Book Review: Njal's Saga
Your Incentives Are Not The Same As Media Companies'
The Canal Papers
Your Book Review: Man's Search for Meaning
Attempts To Put Statistics In Context, Put Into Context
Highlights From The Comments On The Academic Job Market
Your Book Review: Why Machines Will Never Rule the World
Links For May 2023
All Medications Are Insignificant In The Eyes Of God And Traditional Effect Size Criteria
Are Woo Non-Responders Defective?
Your Book Review: Lying for Money
Hypergamy: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
Mantic Monday 5/22/23
Your Book Review: Cities And The Wealth Of Nations/The Question Of Separatism
Why Is The Academic Job Market So Weird?
Galton, Ehrlich, Buck - An exploding generational bomb
Highlights From The Comments On Long COVID And Bisexuality
Highlights From The Comments On Housing Density And Prices
Constitutional AI: RLHF On Steroids
Raise Your Threshold For Accusing People Of Faking Bisexuality
Replication Attempt: Bisexuality And Long COVID
Change My Mind: Density Increases Local But Decreases Global Prices
Highlights From The Comments On Nerds And Hipsters
Mantic Monday 4/24/23
Links For April 2023
Contra Kriss On Nerds And Hipsters
[CLASSIC POST] Book Review: The Hungry Brain
Highlights From The Comments On IRBs
Book Review: From Oversight To Overkill
Spring Meetups Everywhere 2023
Book Review: The Arctic Hysterias
Most Technologies Aren't Races
Highlights From The Comments On Telemedicine Regulations
MR Tries The Safe Uncertainty Fallacy
The Government Is Making Telemedicine Hard And Inconvenient Again
Turing Test
Half An Hour Before Dawn In San Francisco
Why Do Transgender People Report Hypermobile Joints?
Why I Am Not (As Much Of) A Doomer (As Some People)
Links For March 2023
Give Up Seventy Percent Of The Way Through The Hyperstitious Slur Cascade
Issue Two Of Asterisk
Kelly Bets On Civilization
Impact Market Mini-Grants Update
Against Ice Age Civilizations
OpenAI's "Planning For AGI And Beyond"
Highlights From The Comments On Geography Of Madness
Announcing Forecasting Impact Mini-Grants
Book Review: The Geography Of Madness
Grading My 2018 Predictions For 2023
Declining Sperm Count: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
Trying Again On Fideism
Contra Kavanagh On Fideism
Ro-mantic Monday 2/13/23
Links For February 2023
Crowds Are Wise (And One's A Crowd)
Mostly Skeptical Thoughts On The Chatbot Propaganda Apocalypse
Book Review Contest Rules 2023
Response To Alexandros Contra Me On Ivermectin
Mantic Monday 1/30/2023
Janus' Simulators
You Don't Want A Purely Biological, Apolitical Taxonomy Of Mental Disorders
Who Predicted 2022?
ACX Survey Results 2022
Which Political Victories Cause Backlash?
SSC Survey Results On Schooling Types
2023 Subscription Drive + Free Unlocked Posts
Conspiracies of Cognition, Conspiracies Of Emotion
Highlights From The Comments On The Media Very Rarely Lying
Stage 2 Of Prediction Contest
Even More Bay Area House Party
How Do AIs' Political Opinions Change As They Get Smarter And Better-Trained?
Take The 2022 ACX Survey!
Sorry, I Still Think I Am Right About The Media Very Rarely Lying
Links For December 2022
Selection Bias Is A Fact Of Life, Not An Excuse For Rejecting Internet Surveys
[Classic] Abraham Lincoln, Ape-Man
Fact Check: Do All Healthy People Have Mystical Experiences?
The Media Very Rarely Lies
Prediction Market FAQ
2023 Prediction Contest
Perhaps It Is A Bad Thing That The World's Leading AI Companies Cannot Control Their AIs
Highlights From The Comments On Bobos In Paradise
Why I'm Less Than Infinitely Hostile To Cryptocurrency
Know Your GABA-A Receptor Subunits
Book Review: First Sixth Of Bobos In Paradise
Highlights From The Comments On Semaglutide
Can This AI Save Teenage Spy Alex Rider From A Terrible Fate?
Semaglutidonomics
"Is Wine Fake?" In Asterisk Magazine
Mantic Monday: Twitter Chaos Edition
The Psychopharmacology Of The FTX Crash
Contra Resident Contrarian On Unfalsifiable Internal States
Can People Be Honestly Wrong About Their Own Experiences?
Highlights From The Comments On Brain Waves
Highlights From The Comments On My California Ballot
ACX Grants: Project Updates
My California Ballot 2022
Moderation Is Different From Censorship
Highlights From The Comments On Jhanas
Book Review: Malleus Maleficarum
Nick Cammarata On Jhana
Highlights From The Comments On Supplement Labeling
From The Mailbag
Book Review: Rhythms Of The Brain
Another Bay Area House Party
Mantic Monday 10/17/22
Highlights From The Comments On The Central Valley
Links For October 2022
Highlights From The Comments On Columbus Day
A Columbian Exchange
[Classic] You're Probably Wondering Why I've Called You Here Today
LA and San Diego Meetups This Weekend
How Trustworthy Are Supplements?
CHAI, Assistance Games, And Fully-Updated Deference
Universe-Hopping Through Substack
Highlights From The Comments On Unpredictable Reward
From Nostradamus To Fukuyama
Highlights From The Comments On Billionaire Replaceability
Why Is The Central Valley So Bad?
Janus' GPT Wrangling
Bay Area Meetups This Weekend (September 17-18 2022)
Unpredictable Reward, Predictable Happiness
I Won My Three Year AI Progress Bet In Three Months
Links For September 2022
Book Review Contest 2022 Winners
The Prophet And Caesar's Wife
Billionaires, Surplus, And Replaceability
Your Book Review: Kora In Hell
Meetups Everywhere 2022: Times & Places
Highlights From The Comments On The Repugnant Conclusion And WWOTF
Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions
Book Review: What We Owe The Future
Your Book Review: 1587, A Year Of No Significance
Highlights From The Comments On Subcultures
Skills Plateau Because Of Decay And Interference
Meetups Everywhere 2022 - Call For Organizers
Mantic Monday 8/15/22
Your Book Review: God Emperor Of Dune
Will Nonbelievers Really Believe Anything?
A Cyclic Theory Of Subcultures
Why Not Slow AI Progress?
Your Book Review: Exhaustion
Absurdity Bias, Neom Edition
Slightly Against Underpopulation Worries
Model City Monday 8/1/22
Your Book Review: Viral
Links For July '22
Highlights From The Comments On Criticism Of Criticism Of Criticism
Forer Statements As Updates And Affirmations
ELK And The Problem Of Truthful AI
Your Book Review: The Society Of The Spectacle
Criticism Of Criticism Of Criticism
Your Book Review: The Righteous Mind
Impact Markets: The Annoying Details
Book Review: The Man From The Future
Mantic Monday 7/11/22
Your Book Review: The Outlier
Highlights From The Comments On The 2020 Homicide Spike
Nobody Knows How Well Homework Works
Study: Ritalin Works, But School Isn't Worth Paying Attention To
Your Book Review: The Internationalists
Links For June
Highlights From The Comments On San Fransicko
What Caused The 2020 Homicide Spike?
Model City Monday 6/27/22
Your Book Review: Public Choice Theory And The Illusion Of Grand Strategy
Book Review: San Fransicko
Your Book Review: The Future Of Fusion Energy
Peer Review: Nightmares
Mantic Monday 6/13/22
Your Book Review: The Dawn Of Everything
Somewhat Contra Marcus On AI Scaling
Against "There Are Two X-Wing Parties"
Which Party Has Gotten More Extreme Faster?
My Bet: AI Size Solves Flubs
Your Book Review: The Castrato
Birth Order Effects: Nature vs. Nurture
A Guide To Asking Robots To Design Stained Glass Windows
Your Book Review: The Anti-Politics Machine
In Partial, Grudging Defense Of The Hearing Voices Movement
California Gubernatorial Candidates From Z to Z
Willpower, Human and Machine
Your Book Review: Making Nature
Lavender's Game: Silexan For Anxiety
Link: Troof On Nootropics
Contra Dynomight On Sexy In-Laws
Your Book Review: Consciousness And The Brain
Book Review: The Gervais Principle
Mantic Monday 5/9/22
Berkeley Meetup This Saturday
Why Do People Prefer My Old Blog's Layout To Substack's?
Every Bay Area House Party
Highlights From The Comments On Xi Jinping
Book Review: A Clinical Introduction To Lacanian Psychoanalysis
Initial Conditions
Contra Hoffman On Vitamin D Dosing
Highlights From The Comments On "Sadly, Porn"
Mantic Monday 4/18/22
Irvine Meetup This Monday
Links For April
Obscure Pregnancy Interventions: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
Men Will Literally Have Completely Different Mental Processes Instead Of Going To Therapy
Deceptively Aligned Mesa-Optimizers: It's Not Funny If I Have To Explain It
Spring Meetups In Seventy Cities
Dictator Book Club: Xi Jinping
Highlights From The Comments On Self-Determination
Yudkowsky Contra Christiano On AI Takeoff Speeds
The Low-Hanging Fruit Argument: Models And Predictions
Idol Words
Who Gets Self-Determination?
Information Markets, Decision Markets, Attention Markets, Action Markets
Highlights From The Comments On Justice Creep
Contra Hoel On Aristocratic Tutoring
Mantic Monday 3/21/22
Highlights From The Comments On Zulresso
Justice Creep
Mantic Monday 3/14/22
Ukraine Thoughts And Links
Progesterone Megadoses Might Be A Cheap Zulresso Substitute
Advice For Unwoke Academic?
Zounds! It's Zulresso and Zuranolone!
What Are We Arguing About When We Argue About Rationality?
Microaddictions
Ukraine Warcasting
Austin Meetup Correction
Biological Anchors: A Trick That Might Or Might Not Work
Links For February
Play Money And Reputation Systems
Austin Meetup Next Sunday
The Gods Only Have Power Because We Believe In Them
Book Review: Sadly, Porn
Mantic Monday: Ukraine Cube Manifold
Highlights From The Comments On Motivated Reasoning And Reinforcement Learning
ACX Grants ++: The Second Half
So You Want To Run A Microgrants Program
Heuristics That Almost Always Work
Two Small Corrections And Updates
The Passage Of Polymarket
Book Review Contest Rules 2022
ACX Grants ++: The First Half
Why Do I Suck?
Motivated Reasoning As Mis-applied Reinforcement Learning
Predictions For 2022
Highlights From The Comments On Health Care Systems
Against That Poverty And Infant EEGs Study
Bounded Distrust
Grading My 2021 Predictions
Resubmit And Summarize Your Proposals For Grants ++
Book Review: Which Country Has The World's Best Health Care?
Practically-A-Book Review: Yudkowsky Contra Ngo On Agents
There's A Time For Everyone
Highlights From The Comments On "Don't Look Up"
Movie Review: Don't Look Up
Lewis Carroll Invented Retroactive Public Goods Funding In 1894
Links For December
ACX Grants Results
Mantic Monday: Dogs In Wizard Hats
Highlights From The Comments On Diseasonality
Addendum To "No Evidence" Post
Addendum To Luvox Post
The FDA Has Punted Decisions About Luvox Prescription To The Deepest Recesses Of The Human Soul
Mantic Monday: Let Me Google That For You
The Phrase "No Evidence" Is A Red Flag For Bad Science Communication
Ancient Plagues
Does Georgism Work, Part 3: Can Unimproved Land Value be Accurately Assessed Separately From Buildings?
Does Georgism Work? Part 2: Can Landlords Pass Land Value Tax on to Tenants?
Does Georgism Work? Is Land Really A Big Deal?
Diseasonality
Model City Monday 12/6/21
Book Review: Lifespan
MM: Omicron Variant
[Classic] The Virtue of Silence
Links For November
Pascalian Medicine
Highlights From The Comments On Ivermectin
Highlights From The Comments On The FDA And Paxlovid
When Will The FDA Approve Paxlovid?
Highlights From The Comments On Great Families
Ivermectin: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
Mantic Monday 11/15
Apply For An ACX Grant
Highlights From The Comments On Orban
Secrets Of The Great Families
Model City Monday 11/8/21
Dictator Book Club: Orban
Non-Cognitive Skills For Educational Attainment Suggest Benefits Of Mental Illness Genes
Mantic Monday 11/1/21
Jhanas and the Dark Room Problem
Epistemic Minor Leagues
Chilling Effects
Links For October
Highlights From The Comments On Kids And Climate Change
Please Don't Give Up On Having Kids Because Of Climate Change
Highlights From The Comments On Modern Architecture
Book Review: The Scout Mindset
Whither Tartaria?
Links For September
Lisbon Meetup This Saturday
Book Review: The Revolt Of The Public
Book Review: Modi - A Political Biography
Washington DC Meetup This Saturday
The Unbearable Semiheaviness Of Being
Too Good To Check: A Play In Three Acts
New York Meetup This Monday
Boston Meetup This Sunday
Long COVID: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
On Hreha On Behavioral Economics
Berkeley Meetup This Saturday
Highlights From The Comments On Missing School
If You're So Smart, Why Aren't You Governor Of California?
Carbon Costs Quantified
Meetups Everywhere 2021: Times And Places
Highlights From The Comments On Aducanumab
Links For August
Kids Can Recover From Missing Even Quite A Lot Of School
Blindness, Schizophrenia, and Autism
Contra Hanania On Partisanship
(Outdoor, Careful) Meetups Everywhere 2021 - Seeking Organizers
Eight Hundred Slightly Poisoned Word Games
Contra Drum On The Fish Oil Story
Details Of The Infant Fish Oil Story
Highlights From The Comments On Acemoglu And AI
Adumbrations Of Aducanumab
What Should We Make Of Sasha Chapin's Claim That Taking LSD Restored His Sense Of Smell After COVID?
Model City Monday 8/2/21
Updated Look At Long-Term AI Risks
When Does Worrying About Things Trade Off Against Worrying About Other Things?
Contra Acemoglu On...Oh God, We're Doing This Again, Aren't We?
Mantic Monday 7/26
Links For July
Things I Learned Writing The Lockdown Post
Highlights From The Comments On "Crazy Like Us"
Peer Review Request: Ketamine
Please Take The Reader Survey
Book Review: Crazy Like Us
Reader Survey Final Check-In
Use Prediction Markets To Fund Investigative Reporting
[Your Book Review] Disunited Nations vs. Dawn Of Eurasia
Book Review Contest: Winners
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