All Episodes

S&P 500 6000 | Bitcoin Strategic Reserve? | Why Bond Yields May Go Higher | Fed Rate Cuts Near All-Time Highs Bullish?

Unemployment Bad News? | Markets After Elections | Earnings Beats | Trump vs. Harris Election Analysis

Goldman Makes News With 3% S&P Target | Markets Too Concentrated? | What If Mortgage Rates Don't Fall? | Gold Returns Examined

Small Caps Get Their Day | Buffett's Apple Blunder? | Bull Market Length | Nvidia Cisco Comparison | Netflix Options Volatility

Where Markets Go After All-Time Highs by VIX Level | Crazy Earnings Estimates | CPI is Rarely 2% | Latest Interest Rate Probabilities

VIX Too High at All-Time Market Highs? | Employment Surprises | Interest Rate Cut Expectations Drop| No More Port Strike | Technical Analysis on Markets

S&P 500 Going to 7000? | NAV Erosion Myth | Fed HAS Cut Rates at All-Time Highs| China & Emerging Markets Surge | Answering Audience Questions

Fed Goes Big | Market Performance After Rate Cuts | Election Volatility in VIX Futures Is a Crowded Trade | Year End S&P 500 Predictions

Fed Decision Primer | CPI Disappoints? | Market Breakout or Breakdown? | Market Pricing in Too Many Cuts?

Will There or Won't There Be a Recession? | Size of First Fed Rate Cut?| Stocks Get Cheaper | Why VIX is Tough to Trade

All the News is Out? |Nvidia Earnings Breakdown | Implied Volatility and Earnings for Nvidia | Is the Long Bond Trade Getting Crowded?

Jay Powell & The "Good Ship Transitory" | Price Caps Proposed by Politicians | Huge Employment Revisions | US Dollar Breaking Down?

Fastest Correction Ever? | VIX Index Collapse Post Spike| Will Fed Push Back on 50 bps Interest Rate Cut? | Latest CPI Inflation Analysis and Soft, Hard, or No Landing?

Panic Overdone? | VIX 3rd Highest Spike Ever | How the Strategies Held Up | Short Volatility Trades

Market Volatility | Yen Carry Trade Unwind to Blame? | High Yield Holds Up

Is Trump or Harris Better for the Stock Market? |Answering Options Questions | Why Do People Sell Covered Calls?

Mag 7 Pauses| Everything Else Takes Its Turn | VIX Seasonality | High Yield Spread

Market Returns After 1st Rate Cut? | AI Revolution Like 1990s Internet? | What If They're Wrong on Rates?

Economy Weaking? | What Makes Markets Go Up or Down? | Tesla Goes Up and Option Volatility Up | Economic Surprise Index

Is Nvidia in a Bubble? | Don't Give Up on the Bull Market Yet? | French Election Implied Volatility | Shipping Containers

Volatility Problem | Probability S&P 500 Goes Up or Down 9.8% | Cracks in Economy? | Earnings Estimates Rise

Market Crash? | Fed Meeting Dot Plots | Inflation Break | Apple's AI Breakout |

GameStop Option Bets | S&P Too Top Heavy? | Nvidia Passes Apple | Upcoming Banking Problems from Mortgages?

Crazy VIX Bets Due to Election? | Market Reversal | Home Ownership Affordability Today | Shiller PE

Nvidia Earnings Recap | Get Over It Rates are Staying Higher | Despite Rates Home Prices Up YoY | AI Mentions in Earnings Calls | What VVIX and VIX Did

GameStop Options Activity Prior to Roaring Kitty Reemergence | S&P 500 Makes New High | 90% of the Time No Recession or Stagflation | When Covered Calls Get Called Away Early

Goldilocks Stock Market and What Could Derail It? | Interest Rates Aren't Historically High | Cheap to Hedge the Downside Now with Options

Reinvesting High Dividends Deep Dive | Unemployment & the Fed | Option Time Value Explained | Shareholder Yield

Now Its 1 Fed Rate Cut? | Nvidia Options Volatility Implied Move at Earnings | Sell in May and Go Away in Election Years? | Inflation Higher Than 1970s?

Market Correction | Mortgage Rates Higher | No Thanks 24-Hour Trading | Synthetic Options

Market Selloff | No Rate Cuts? | Bitcoin vs Gold | CPI Inflation Sticky | VIX Curve

Buying At All-time Highs Better? | S&P 500 Returns After Last Hike | Developed International Beats the S&P | How To Tell Whether Options Are Expensive

Most Record Highs Since 2013 | The Fed No Rush to Cut? | VVIX and VIX Super Quiet | Value vs Growth | Cocoa More Valuable than Gold?

The Fed Gets Bullish? | Markets Don't Go Down Just Because They Go Up | Yield Curve Inversion Record | Bitcoin Halving

Michael Saylor is Right on Bitcoin? |Worst Crash Since 1929 Coming? | Semiconductors Get Big Flows | 0 DTE Option Stats

Worst Market Timing Ever? | Options Cost of Carry | Option Put Call Parity | Unemployment Bad News Is Bad News?

Why VIX Is Hard to Trade | SuperCore PCE High Again?| High Yield Bond Spreads | The Fed Is Not Cutting? | Semiconductors Surging (Again)

Nvidia To the Moon | Implied Volatility and Earnings | Earnings and Markets Have Low Correlations? | Nvidia Cheap?

Put & Call Implied Volatility Mismatch? | US Dollar vs S&P 500 Correlation | Sticky Inflation | Japan Recession | Explaining Why Stocks Go Up (or down)

Is the Forward PE Useless?| S&P 500 Election Seasonality | Gen Z vs. Gen X Special

Too Focused on Fed Rates?| META Earnings Implied Volatility | NAV Erosion Myth

Explaining Telsa Implied Volatility | Bitcoin Selloff Post Spot ETF | What History Tells Us About Election Year Returns

What Option Volatility Means for Markets | Is the Market Too Dovish on Interest Rate Expectations? | Does the Fed Need an Economics Lesson?

Bitcoin ETF Sell the News? | Expect Stock Market Corrections | Value vs. Growth | Travel Inflation Cooling?

Hedging With Options Examples | Soft Landing? | US Congress Trading Returns | Is Good News or Bad News Good?

2024 Predictions | Late Year Rally Bullish? | What if Investors Are Expecting Too Many Rate Cuts?

0 DTE Options to Blame for Selloff? | 2024 Targets for S&P 500 Index | Fed Dot Plots Always Wrong?

Everyone Betting on Rate Cuts | Blackrock Buying 44% of Homes? | Record Call Option Volume & VVIX and VIX Out of Synch?

S&P 500 Targets | VIX Index Largest 7-Week declines | Simplifying Synthetic Long Stock with Covered Calls | Labor Force Participation

VIX Index Goes Nowhere | Cheap Puts to Hedge? |Cheaper to Rent Than Buy? | Markets During Presidential Election Years

Dave Ramsey Wrong? | Huge VIX Options Bets | S&P 500 Seasonality | When Does Government Debt Become a Problem?

Probability of Recession? | Explaining How US Treasury Bond Auctions Work | S&P 500 Index Member Changes | Option Premium Intrinsic vs. Extrinsic

Stock Market Returns After First Rate Cut | Yield Curve Preceding Recessions | Investors Rooting for the Wrong Thing

Option Selling ETFs Boom | Probability of Future Fed Moves | Bad News is Good News on Employment

Correction Territory | No Fear Yet in Markets? | When Does Capitulation Happen in Markets?

Powell vs. Bond Traders | Option Volatility During Earnings | Mortgage Rate Spread to Treasuries

Deep Dive: Can Bonds Recover? | TLT ETF Breakdown |Inflation and the Fed

Bond Market Collapse | Oil Price Problems? | Bond Stock Correlations

Government Shutdowns & Markets | Short ITM Puts Alternative to Covered Calls | Why Hedging Works

Cheap vs Expensive Options | Warren Buffett on Options | Fed Powell Presser

0DTE Options Analysis| Inflation Coming Back? | Strong US Dollar Impact

Implied Volatility Deep Dive | Real Interest Rate Yields | The Big Short | Tesla vs Nvidia Volatilities

Recession Predictions Still Wrong? | Synthetic Options | Unemployment Anomalies | Oil Prices Breakout

0 DTE Options No Problem? | Jay Powell's Wyoming Speech Points to More Interest Rate Hikes?

Everyone Wrong on Interest Rates | What Fed Funds Probabilities Really Mean

S&P 500 Forward PE Valuations vs Future Returns | Volatility in Stock & Option Markets

US Debt Down Grade Effects | Interest Rates Effect on Option Prices | US Treasury Yield Curve Dis-inverting? | US Debt Massive Expansion

Cheapest (SPX) PUT Protection You've Ever Seen? | S&P 500 Index Rebalancing | Bank of Japan Hawkishness

Why Crash Predictions Don't Help | What Does the Market Fear? | Confusing Market Data | 11th Best Start to the Year

Does Inflation Matter? | Make More by Losing Less? | Volatility and Cost of Hedging | Someone Buys a lot of VIX Calls

Short Sellers Give Up? | The Case for Interest Rates to Stay High for Longer

Nasdaq 100 Index Strong First Half Equals Strong Second Half? | Overbought or not? | Trying to Guess the Forward PE Multiple Is Hard!

Fear and Greed Index | Volatility Surface | Put Call Ratio | Wall Street Gets Bullish | Homebuilders Surprise

Bear Market Rally or New Bull? |The Fed Talks Tough but Does Nothing | PE Like its 1995

Fund Flows into Tech go Parabolic | Was Everyone Wrong on International Markets? | Auto Dealership Profits

Cheaper to Rent than Buy? | Beneish-M Score Near Market Highs? | Top 10 Market Cap Companies by Decade | VIX Level Makes Multiyear Low

AI Is the New Crypto & Blockchain Post Nvidia Earnings | Reach for Long Duration Bonds | More Fed Rate Increases Coming? | 7% Treasury Bills?

AI Driving Market Returns? | Size of Top 2 S&P 500 Stocks Now 15%? | Relative Performance of Tech vs S&P 500 Index at Extreme Levels

US Default Chances Overblown? | Option & Bond Markets Not Showing Fear | Chat GPT AI Research 1979 US Debt Default | Short Sale Ban?

Dividend Deep Dive | ChatGPT AI Fed Research | Do Markets Go Up After Fed Pauses?

ChatGPT Investment Advice? | Too Much Money Causing 1m/3m T-bill Spread?

Weird Bond Yield Stuff Happening | New 1 Day VIX Index?

Debt Ceiling Risk | Recession Signals | 10/3 Yield Curve Inversion

Can The Fed Fail? | Q1 Winners Surprise the Crowd

One Thing No One Ever Talks About within the S&P 500 Index | FANG Stocks 1 Rest of Market 0

Fed Tightening and Easing All at Once? | How Wrong Were Analysts on Earnings?

Is Warren Buffett Right on Stock Buybacks? Bank Failures and the FDIC

Sequence of Recessions & Slowdowns | Dividends Make a Comeback?

US Debt Bomb & Interest Rates | Brewing Auto Loan Problem for Consumers?

Underperformance of International Stocks | Valuations Still Too High?

No Volmageddon 2.0 | No Landing for the Economy?

Now Everyone Is Bullish? | Shocking Impact of Missing Just the 2 Best Days Each Year

Scenario No One Is Talking About | Bond Spreads Above Fed Funds Smallest Since 2007

Are We Already In a Recession? | Markets Are Smarter Than Everyone | Picking Stocks Is Really Hard!

Max Bearish? | Earnings Declines Don't Mean Falling Stocks?

Value vs. Growth | Dividends Historically 40% of S&P 500 Total Returns

Yield Curve Inversion False Signal? | Competing Economic Data Points | About to Get Earnings Tsunami

Will We Have a New All-time High in Markets? | T-bills Outperform Equities?

2023 Predictions | Markets and the Economy

1994-95 All Over Again in Markets?