All Episodes
Forward Guidance — 629 episodes · page 4 of 7
Campbell Harvey, Inventor of Inverted Yield Curve Recession Signal, On The Bond Market, The U.S. Economy, And Federal Reserve Policy
Michael Howell: Federal Reserve Continues To Inject Liquidity Into Markets Via The Backdoor
Andy Verity on LIE-BOR: Shocking New Evidence Suggest Interest Rate Scandal Is Much, Much, Bigger Than Originally Reported
Kevin Muir: The Market Has Priced In Too Many Fed Cuts Since Government Money Printing Will Keep Nominal Growth High
Paul Hodges: Overcapacity In Chemical Industry Suggests Demand Is Weakening
Danielle DiMartino Booth & George Goncalves on The 2024 Fed Pivot: Recession or Soft Landing?
Joseph Wang: Bonds Will Be Crushed By Stocks As Fiscal Deficits Reignite Inflation
Hari Krishnan on Commodity Tail Hedging, Weather Volatility, And “Disaster” VIX Trades
Dispatches From India | Andrei Stetsenko, Partner at Farley Capital
Carson Block: “Perfect Macro Storm” To Hit Blackstone Mortgage Trust
The Stock Market Is Due For A Correction (And So Is Private Equity) | Jared Dillian
Carolyn Sissoko & Joseph Wang on the Fed Pivot and “Too Big To Fail” In Private Equity & Leveraged Loans
Stablecoins Are The New Eurodollars | Daniel Neilson on Death Spirals, Liquidity Runs, and The Fragility of Par
Thomas Majewski on CLOs, Private Credit, and Bank Capital Relief Trades
Kathy Jones: The Bull Case For Bonds, And The Need For “Caution” on Private Credit & Leveraged Loans
The Banking System Is Healing | Dan Siciliano & Michael Ericson
Felix Zulauf: The End Of The Liquidity Cycle Approaches
Dr. Barry Eichengreen & Joseph Wang on Dollar Dominance, “Problematic” Levels of Government Debt, Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), and Central Bank Digital Currencies
Pain In Commercial Real Estate Will Be Worse Than In 2008 Great Financial Crisis, Argues Veteran Office Investor Anthony Dilweg
Marko Papic: Russia-Ukraine War Is Effectively Over, Israel-Hamas War Unlikely To Have Large Market Impact
Jens Nordvig: Interest Rates Have Peaked, The U.S. Dollar Is Overvalued
The World’s Greatest Carry Trade May About To Be Unwound | Nicholas Glinsman
Jason Shapiro: It’s Too Early To Get Long Bonds
George Robertson: The Fed Has No Control, There Will Be No Recession, and Fiscal Supremacy Will Drive Stocks To “Ponzi Stage”
The Massive Bond Short | “Recession Denier” Jonny Matthews (ex-Brevan Howard) On The Duration Bubble, Correlation Trades, and Variance Swaps
Interest Rate Declines Will Bring Fated "Soft Landing," Says Earnings Maestro Sam Burns
The Bond Market Sell-Off Was Duration, Not Credit Risk | Ben Santonelli
Althea Spinozzi on Stagflation, Term Premia, and Ultra Long-Duration Bonds
Michael Kao on November Fed Meeting, Treasury Refunding, and Bond Market Bear Steepening (Co-Hosted By Michael Ippolito & Jack Farley)
“We’re In Uncharted Territory” | Warren Pies on Treasury Issuance, Housing Market, Oil, And Recession Risk
Does Historic Cheapness Of Agency Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Indicate Funding Stress? Dave Goodson, Professor Jeremy Siegel, Jeremy Schwartz, and Jack Farley
Sam Bankman-Fried Testifies At Last | Casey Wagner & Jack Farley On The Trial Of The Century
Duration Remains Unattractive, Says Veteran High Yield Bond Investor
A Deep Dive On China's Financial System | Aidan Garrib
Dr. Claudio Borio & Joseph Wang on Fiscal Dominance, Financial Instability, and the Boundaries Of Debt-Fueled Economic Growth
John Toohig & Nate Stovall: Bank Loan Market Is “Very Frozen”
Chris Whalen: Banking System On “Knife’s Edge” As Fed “May Destroy The World”
The Future Of Financial Repression | Helen Thompson on Energy, Capital Controls, and the Federal Reserve
Mike Green & Bob Elliott: "Hard Landing" In Store For Economy In 2024
Bond Bear Eyes Tactical Long In Treasury Notes | David Cervantes
Lyn Alden: The Monetary Order Is Broken
The Great Bond Bear Steepening | Alfonso Peccatiello
Luke Gromen: Panic In The Bond Market Will Continue Unless Oil Or Dollar Relent
GameStop, Citadel, And The Fleecing Of Small Investors | Spencer Jakab
Former CFTC Commissioner Brian Quintenz On Crypto Regulation
The Bond Market Is Tanking. Is It Time To Buy? | Nanette Jacobson
Danielle DiMartino Booth: Jay Powell Just “Went Way Off Script” At September Fed Meeting
SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce on Regulation In Crypto, SPACs, and Money Market Funds
Jim Bianco, Mark Yusko, & Jurrien Timmer on Real Interest Rates, Banking System, and Crypto (Panel at Permissionless 2023)
Mark Yusko: Macro "Doesn't Matter" For Crypto (Permissionless Interview)
Jim Bianco: No Recession, No Landing
Andrew Beer: Hedge Funds Charge Way, Way Too Much
Eric Basmajian: Why The U.S. Economy Hasn’t Entered Recession Yet (And Why He Is Confident It Will Soon)
Just How Interest Rate Sensitive Is The U.S. Economy? | Jeremy Schwartz & Professor Jeremy Seigel (Jack’s Guest Appearance On Behind The Markets Podcast)
Milton Berg: The Stock Market Is In Trouble
Wave of U.S. Treasury Issuance Puts Pressure On Bond Market | Prometheus Macro
"Credit Shock" In Commercial Real Estate | John Toohig, Victor Calanog, and Thomas LaSalvia
David Rosenberg: A Recession Is Coming In The Next 6 Months
Vincent Deluard: The “Magic Money” That Prevented Recession Is About To Disappear
Business Cycle Slowdown Will Intensify Into Recession | Mike Singleton
ESG: The 40 Trillion Dollar Bubble | Mark Neuman
The Next Chapter in Emerging Markets Investing | Marshall Stocker, Co-Head of Emerging Markets, Morgan Stanley
Government Debt Crisis Has Hit U.S. Banks | Bill Isaac, Former FDIC Chair
The Banking System's Guardian Angel You've Never Heard Of | Michael Ericson & Dan Siciliano on Federal Home Loan Banks
Ivy Zelman: Housing Market Downturn Isn't Over
Fitch's U.S Debt Downgrade Was Justified | Danielle DiMartino Booth
Rate Cuts May Not End Fed's Quantitative Tightening | Former Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart
Inside Camp Kotok | David Kotok on “Disastrous and Debilitating” Effect Of Debt Ceiling on Bond Markets
Rumors Of The Death of Chinese Economy’s Have Been Greatly Exaggerated | Leland Miller
The Fed’s Inflation Fight Isn’t Over | Jim Bianco & Samuel Rines (Camp Kotok)
The Sovereign Debt Spiral | James Lavish
The Great Liquidity Debate | Michael Howell & Andy Constan
Julian Brigden: Markets "On A Knife's Edge" After July Fed Meeting
Late Cycle Bond Trades | Mark Cabana on Mild Recession Case and Treasury Market Supply
It Can Always Go Higher | "On The Margin" Round Up with Byron Gilliam and Jack Farley
Bullishness Approaching Mania | Peter Atwater on Market Psychology And “The Confidence Map”
OPEC To The Rescue | Rory Johnston’s Cautious Bull Case For >$80 Oil
The Recession Paradox | Alfonso Peccatiello
The Laws Of Quantitative Investing | Michael Robbins
The Basel III Endgame: Bank Regulation In A Post-SVB World | Steven Kelly
Vítor Constâncio, Former Vice President of European Central Bank (ECB) on Inflation, Interest Rates, and The Global Banking System
Railroad Recession & Airline Boom | Jay Shabat on Planes & Trains
The Price of Time | Edward Chancellor & Joseph Wang
The Little-Known Entity That’s Lent Over $1 Trillion To U.S. Banks (10x The Fed!) | Professor Kathryn Judge on The Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) System
What The Oil Bulls Got Wrong | Michael Kao & Alexander Stahel on the Chinese Yuan & Oil "Doom Loop"
Will The Fed Get Their Soft Landing? | Weekly Round Up
Fed Will Hike Rates Into Economic Train Wreck | Danielle DiMartino Booth
The Fate Of Global Dollar Credit | Robert McCauley & Joseph Wang on Eurodollars, FX Swaps, and SOFR
The Shiny New Derivative That’s Taken Over Wall Street | Kris Sidial on Zero Day To Expiration (0DTE) Options & Tail Risk During A Volatility Bear Market
Return Of The Bull Market? | On The Margin Round Up
Michael Howell: "QE Is Coming Back, Big Time"
SPACs Are Bonds, Actually | Louis Camhi
Jay Powell’s Plan To Kill The “Fed Put” | Danielle DiMartino Booth
Did The Fed Just Back Down? | Joseph Wang & Michael Ippolito
Higher For Longer | Robert Kaplan, Former Dallas Fed President & CEO
The Holy Grail of Macro Investing | Eric Crittenden
The Music Is About To Stop: John Toohig & Randy Woodward on Bank Lending, Deflation, and Secondary Loan Liquidity
Artificial Intelligence Bubble Has Only Just Begun, Says Citrini7, World's Hottest A.I. Stockpicker
Coinbase Sued By SEC | Casey Wagner
The Fed Put Still Lives | Vincent Daniel