All Episodes
Forward Guidance — 629 episodes · page 3 of 7
Where Are We In The Bull Market? | Jurrien Timmer
Is It Too Late To Buy Election Hedges? | Weekly Roundup
Breaking Down The Current Business Cycle | Eric Basmajian
Debating The Election’s Impact On Markets | Weekly Roundup
The Bull Market Is Broadening | Tony Greer
What is Macro Telling Us? | Weekly Roundup
LIVE From Permissionless | Forward Guidance & 1000x Collab Stream
Stellar Jobs Report Sends Recession Odds Spiraling | Weekly Roundup
Where The Next Big Bond Trade Is Hiding | Harley Bassman
China's Liquidity Impulse, A Turning Point For Markets | Weekly Roundup
Slowing But Growing: Why The U.S. Isn’t Headed For Recession | Prometheus Research
What The Latest Fed Decision Means For Markets | Weekly Roundup
Fed Is Easing Into Major Regime Shift | Darius Dale
Richard Koo: China’s “Balance Sheet Recession” Has Already Started | (Jack’s Final Episode)
CDO Whisperer Brett Jefferson on Securitization Markets and TruPS CDO Relics
Structured Credit Maven Laila Kollmorgen on CLO’s Rally and Opportunity To Differentiate As Fundamentals Soften and Prices Climb | VanEck Fireside Chat #6
Bitcoin's Path To $3 Million Dollars | Matthew Sigel
Gold Stocks Are Undervalued | Imaru Casanova (VanEck Fireside Chat #4)
There Will Be No Recession | Jonny Mathews
The Labor Market Is Cooling | Talmon Smith & Jack Farley (Driving Back from Camp Kotok)
India Is The Most Promising Emerging Market | Angus Shillington
Markets Will Get A Deficit President No Matter What | Jim Bianco & Jeremy Schwartz
Michael Drury on China's Trillion Dollar Secret and Why The U.S. Is Not Headed Imminently Into A Recession
How the Dollar Will Be Gradually Eroded by Emerging Market Currencies | Eric Fine & Natalia Gurushina (VanEck Fireside Chat)
The Strategies & Risks In Quant Trading | Mike Harris
Deficit Spending Will Send S&P 500 To 6,000 And Beyond | George Robertson & Mel Mattison on the True Risk-Free Rate and The Fed's Control of The Treasury Market
The Rug Pull on Global Liquidity | Brent Johnson on Unwind of the Yen Carry Trade, and the Exaggerated Rumors of the Dollar’s Demise
The Global Margin Call | Volatility Veteran Noel Smith on Dispersion, Vol of Vol, and How He’s Trading VIX Spike & Stock Market Crash
Mike Green: Passive Stock Market Edifice Put To The Test As Recession A Near Certainty
Following The "Fed Breadcrumbs" | Nick Timiraos on “Not Hot At All” Labor Market, Interest Rate Cuts, and Fed’s Collision Course With 2024 Election
Why Credit Conditions Have Actually Eased Over Past Year | Oaktree’s Wayne Dahl on High-Yield Bonds, Leveraged Loans, Private Credit, and the Recession Yet To Arrive
Tommy Thornton: Tech Stocks Are In A Bubble
How U.S. Treasury Is Fighting The Fed | Nouriel Roubini & Stephen Miran on Treasury’s $800 Billion of “Stealth QE” via “Activist Treasury Issuance” (ATI)
Banks Are Cleaning House Of Their Bad Assets | Chris Whalen
China Is Exporting Unemployment | Michael Pettis on Global Trade Imbalances, American Capital Controls, and the End of The Chinese Growth Miracle
Peter Boockvar on an Overheated Stock Market, China’s Green Shoots, and the Private Credit Bezzle
Airline Revenues Are Soaring. Their Profits Are Not | Planes And Trains Expert Jay Shabat on Depressed Railroad Volumes And Global Air Traffic
Why The Chinese Real Estate Downturn Won’t Sink The Chinese Economy | Ben Harburg
BCG Chief Economist: Artificial Intelligence Will Displace Labor | Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak on Economic False Alarms and Solar Flare Black Swans
“Accident Brewing” | Neil Dutta on Rising Slowdown Risks And Why He Thinks The Fed Will Cut Sooner Rather Than Later
Oil & Crypto Trader Jonah van Bourg: Altcoins Going to Zero, Bitcoin Bull Move Is Just Getting Started, and Oil Vol Is Overpriced
The Next Big Thing In Capital Markets | David Goone
Venture Capitalist Who Called 2021 “Everything Bubble” Thinks VC Valuations Are “Reasonable” | Fabrice Grinda, Super Angel Investor, on Geopolitical Threats, AI, and Yield-Bearing Stablecoins
Citrini on 2024 Election Portfolio Construction And AI “Mania”
Relentless Hiring In Healthcare & Government Doesn’t Care About Fed’s Interest Rate Hikes | Eric Pachman’s Data-Visualizations On Why Inflation & Hiring Are Sticky
Growth Scare Hits U.S. Economy | Barry Knapp on Fed’s “Quadrilemma,” Lehman Brothers, and Job Market
“Get Used to 3-4% Inflation and 4-5% Interest Rates” | Jim Bianco on Fed’s June Meeting and Resilient U.S. Economy
Secrets of the Federal Reserve’s Unconventional Monetary Policy | William English, former Director of Division of Monetary Affairs for the Fed Board of Governors, on Quantitative Easing (QE) and Forward Guidance
Patrick Perret-Green: China Will Export Deflation, The U.S. Labor Market Is Softening (For Real This Time)
The Modular Integration Spectrum | Keone & Zon
Jens Nordvig: Days of Japan’s Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP) Are Numbered
The Inflation Paradox: Inflation Is Still A Problem | Weekly Roundup
Contrarian Jason Shapiro: Bearish on Industrial Metals, Neutral on Stocks and Bullish on Bonds (for now)
Jack Ryan on The Housing Cartel That's Stifling The American Economy
In This Economy? | Kyla Scanlon
James Fishback: Inside The “Head Of Macro” Dispute That Has Captivated The Hedge Fund World
Mel Mattison: Asset Bubble Crescendo Until 2027 Collapse When U.S. Treasury Market Implodes
Nick Givanovic: Treasury Bonds Are “Historically Unattractive” To Leveraged Investors
Why The Dollar Will Be The “Last Man Standing” Of Fiat Currencies | Keith Dicker
Alfonso Peccatiello: The Fed Put Is Back, Bull Steepener Base Case
Andy Constan: The Bond Market Will Take The Stock Market Down With It
Investing For A Recession-Free Future | Vincent Deluard on Secularly-High Inflation, China’s Currency Crisis, and The Long-Term Debt Cycle
Powell’s Last Stand | Danielle DiMartino Booth on May Fed Meeting 2024
The Crypto Endgame in 2024 | Fireside Chat with Pranav Kanade, portfolio manager of the VanEck Digital Assets Alpha Fund
The Stock Market Will Melt-Up As Inflation Resurges | Harris Kupperman
Can The U.S Handle High Interest Rates Past 2024? | Ben Miller
Chris Whalen: “Higher For Longer” Interest Rate Regime Is Bad For Banks
The Great Liquidity Debate | Michael Howell & George Robertson on Monetary vs. Fiscal Flows And What Is Truly Driving This Bull Market
Mark Dow: The Bears Are Making Stuff Up About Fed/Treasury Plumbing To Excuse The Fact That They Were Wrong
The Anatomy Of Bubbles | Jonathan Treussard on Private Credit, Nvidia, and Dangers of “Engineered Yield”
Blind Squirrel Macro: China Will Unleash “Bloodbath” On Global Automobile Market | Rupert Mitchell on Electric Vehicles, Tires, Refiners, And Gold
The "Beijing Put" | Jason Hsu's Bull Case For Chinese Stocks
Inflation Isn’t Going Away And Investors Own The Wrong Assets | Larry McDonald on “When Markets Speak”
Joseph Wang, Michael Howell, Julian Brigden, and Jonny Matthews on 2024 Macro Outlook | Blockworks’ Digital Asset Summit (Recorded March 19, 2024)
Russell Napier On The Rise And Fall Of The Age Of Debt And China’s Choice Between Deflation and Devaluation
Dr. Ingo Sauer on Hyperinflation, Central Bank Insolvency, and The ECB (European Central Bank)
Nick Halaris: Commercial Real Estate Hanging In There Despite "Crushing" Interest Rate Shock
Liz Ann Sonders: There's No Such Thing As A Typical Interest Rate Cutting Cycle
The Fate Of The Fed's Balance Sheet | Lou Crandall & Joseph Wang on Draining of Reverse Repo (RRP) Facility, Timeline of QT Taper, and 2024 Tax Refund Data
The Erosion of Institutional Accountability | Dr. Luigi Zingales on Bank Failures, Whistleblowing, and The Fed
Portrait Of A Sick Market | Milton Berg On How The Stock Market’s Exhaustive Rally Is Reminiscent of 2000, 1968, and 1929
Remi Tetot on AI, Crypto, and Uranium
Claudia Sahm: The Fed Itself Is The Biggest Risk To A Soft Landing
Adrian Helfert on Stock/Bond Allocation, Equity Broadening, and Credit Market Richness
Overheated Stock Market To Correct Before Continuing Rally | Le Shrub on Le Shrub on AI, CRE, and China
Real Estate Crisis Hits Two German Banks | Josef Pschorn on Deutsche Pfandbriefbank and Aareal Bank
Swiss Re’s Patrick Saner on Soft Landing Scenario, Central Bank Balance Sheet Policy, and Inflation Volatility
Paul Sankey: Oil Would Be Below $60 If It Weren’t For Saudi Production Cuts
Secrets of Small Cap Value Investing | Kyle Mowery
The Rising Risks In The Private Credit Lending Bonanza | Andrzej Skiba
Danny Dayan: Reacceleration Risk Threatens Bond Market, Demographics In U.S. Are Inflationary (Not Deflationary)
Martin Pelletier & Joseph Wang on Stock Market Concentration, Cash-Futures Treasury Basis Trade, Structured Products, and New York Community Bank
China’s Deflation Trap | Brian McCarthy On The Popping Of The World’s Biggest Bubble Ever
Citrini: The Next Phase of The Stock Market's AI-Obsession
Dean Curnutt: Market Insurance Is Cheap, Stock-Bond Correlation Is Positive, And “Interesting” VIX Opportunities
Joseph Wang On “Hawkish” Fed Meeting: March Cuts Unlikely, Tapering of Quantitative Tightening (QT) To Begin In Q4 2024 | Joseph Wang, Michael Ippolito, and Jack Farley
U.S. Treasury Issuance To Exceed $1.1 Trillion (Gross) In Second Quarter, Predicts Plumbing Savant John Comiskey
Chris Whalen: Commercial Real Estate "Trainwreck” Will Hit Banking System, Consumer Credit Is Normalizing, and Interest Rate Cuts Won’t Do Much To Help Banks
David Kotok on Financial Stability, Federal Reserve, Stock Market, and Cuba
Neil Dutta: Why There Was No Recession In 2023