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All Episodes

The Bayesian Conspiracy — 331 episodes

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Title
1

259 – Chill Out on AI in 2028?

2

258 – How Effective Altruism Has Evolved

3

257 – Pentagon Comes For Claude

4

256 – Writing for LLMs

5

255 – Eneasz goes to CFAR, and Epistemically Honest Reassurance

6

254 – The True Theme and Meaning of HPMOR

7

253 – The Seven Vicious Vices of Rationalists

8

A Harried Meeting (audio)

9

House elves are crystalized cosmic power

10

Christmas 2025: Couple of Quick Shoutouts

11

252 – The 12 Virtues of Rationality, with Alex and David

12

251 – Matt Freeman on What Makes a Good Story

13

Bayes Blast 46 – Get Involved in Local Politics with Booker Lightman

14

250 – Making the Good Life with Matt Freeman

15

249 – Red Heart and IABIED with Max Harms

16

248 – Seeking Alpha, with Jay

17

247 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 2

18

246 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 1

19

pre246 note

20

245 – AI Welfare, with Rob Long and Rosie Campbell of Eleos

21

244 – How and Why to Form a Church, with Andrew Willsen

22

Bayes Blast 45 – Bees Blast

23

243 – Wes Is Not The Monogamy Police, with Wesly Fenza and Jennifer Kesteloot

24

Bayes Blast 44 – Play-By-Post Storytelling

25

242 – TracingWoodgrains, live at Manifest 2025

26

Bayes Blast 43 – Die-ing to Intuit Bayes’ Theorem

27

Bonus – AI Village Hosts An Event For Humans

28

241 – Doom Debates, with Liron Shapira

29

240 – How To Live Well With High P(Doom) – with Ben Pace, Brandon Hendrickson, Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg

30

Bayes Blast 42 – Epic AI Music

31

239 – SymbyAI

32

238 – Part 2 of How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian

33

237 – How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian

34

236 – Twilight of the Edgelords with Liam Nolan

35

235 – Gender Differences, with Wes and Jen

36

234 – GiveDirectly, with Nick Allardice

37

233 – AI Policy in D.C., with Dave Kasten

38

Bayes Blast 41 – AI Action Plan

39

232 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change, with John Bennett

40

Bayes Blast 40 – HPMOR 10 Year Anniversary Parties

41

231 – SuperBabies, with Gene Smith

42

Bayes Blast 39 – Ladylike for Autistics

43

230 – Making Dating Not Suck with Jacob Falkovich

44

Bayes Blast 38 – Shitcoins

45

Bayes Blast 37 – Kill Your Friend’s Cat

46

229 – Integrating Emotions

47

LW Census 2024

48

228 – The Deep Lore of LightHaven, with Oliver Habryka

49

227 – Longevity, Aimed Communities, Network States, with Zoe Isabel Senon

50

226 – The Illusion of Moral Decline

51

225 – Live at Lighthaven!

52

Bonus? The 10-Finger Demon

53

Live Show At Lighthaven

54

224 – Cringe Gates and Cultural Drift

55

Bayes Blast 36 – AI Grifters in Birmingham

56

223 – Going Back to the Classics

57

Bonus – Discord Culture (preview)

58

Bayes Blast 35 – Disproving The Blindsight Thesis

59

Bayes Blast 34 – Content Moderation is Infosec

60

222 – Consciousness As Recursive Reflections with Daniel Böttger

61

Bayes Blast 33 – Porn Sims

62

221 – Why The Field? Why Zombies?? with Liam

63

Bayes Blast 32 – Canadian Health Care

64

220 – Chalmer’s Zombies, with Liam

65

219 – On Excellence, with Tracing Woodgrains

66

218 – Bentham’s Bulldog and the Best Argument for God

67

217 – Consensual Violence with Rikard

68

216 – On Dying (And Cryonics)

69

Bayes Blast 31 – Blowing Hot Air (Free Version)

70

215 – Rationalism and Religion, with Brandon Hendrickson

71

214 – Is Death Good? Simone and Malcolm Collins return!

72

213 – Are Transformer Models Aligned By Default?

73

212 – Feedback Extravaganza

74

Bayes Blast 30 – Less.Online

75

211 – The Social Justice Religion with Tracing Woodgrains

76

210 – Demographic Collapse & Religion with Simone & Malcolm Collins

77

Bayes Blast 29 – VibeClipse

78

Bayes Blast 28 – Bass Blast

79

209 – The World’s Most Wholesome Gangbang, with Lucy Belmont (Fluffer B)

80

Bayes Blast 27 – SubStack Launch and Animorphs Launch

81

208.ai – Eve Theory of Consciousness v3.0 – By Andrew Cutler

82

208 – Snakes On A Brain: Eve Theory of Consciousness v3 with Andrew Cutler

83

Bayes Blast 26 – AskWho On The Future of Narration

84

207 – Raising Free Range Kids via Camp Dorkaround

85

206 – What Chronic Pain and Trauma Junkies Have In Common

86

Bayes Blast 25 – Betting On Love

87

Bayes Blast 24 – The Answerers

88

205.ai – The Snake Cult of Consciousness narration

89

205 – The Snake Cult of Consciousness

90

204 – Simulacra Levels with Zvi (and more)

91

203 – The Self-Indulgent Episode

92

202 – The Center for AI Policy talks government regulation

93

Bayes Blast 23 – Less Fingers = Less Blasting?

94

Bayes Blast 22 – The Penal System

95

201 – The Educated Mind + More with Brandon Hendrickson (part 2)

96

200 – The Educated Mind with Brandon Hendrickson

97

199 – Polyamory with Aella and Yassine

98

198 – Tuskegee & Age/Race Bias?

99

197 – What To Expect When You’re Expecting To Go To Burning Man

100

Bayes Blast 21 – Dudes Catching Son of Sam and Dread Pirate Roberts

101

196 – Steven Goes To Court

102

195 – KataGo vs AlphaGo: Fight!

103

194 – Kinky Data Science with Aella

104

Bayes Blast 20 – Blue Pill/Red Pill in Roko’s Blender

105

Bayes Blast 19 – Musicgen and Audiogen

106

193 – Building Baileys with Yassine Meskhout

107

192 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life, with Alex

108

Bayes Blast 17 – Gay Pride is White Liberal Pride

109

191 – What is Post-Rationalism, with Arielle

110

Bayes Blast 16 – Holding PRNS (Present Rate, No Singularity)

111

Bayes Blast 15 – Technological Overemployment

112

190 – How to be Human Together, at VibeCamp, with GPTBrooke

113

Bayes Blast 14 – Reddit Sucks

114

189 – AI Bloomer David Youssef

115

188 – Living in the Early Singularity, with Matt Freeman

116

187 – GitLab & Review Bounties to Save Science, with Richard Acton

117

Bayes Blast 13 – GPT-4 maps every neuron in GPT-2

118

186 – Why We Aren’t Technically EAs But Totally Would Be, Unlike This Guy

119

Bayes Blast 12 – AI White Pills

120

185 – The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni

121

Bayes Blast 11 – Exposure to Lizardman Is Lethal

122

Bayes Blast 10 – Shoggoth Tongues

123

Bayes Blast 9 – The salt in pasta water fallacy

124

184 – The Cultic Milieu

125

Bayes Blast 8 – An AI risk argument that resonates with NYTimes readers

126

Bayes Blast 7 – Chatbot convinces Belgian to commit suicide

127

Bayes Blast 6 – The Parable of the King and the Random Process

128

183 – Let’s Think About Slowing Down AI

129

Bayes Blast 5 – Importance Hacking

130

Bayes Blast 4 – The Waluigi Effect

131

Bayes Blast 3 – Dynamics Can Arise If You Nudge

132

Bayes Blast 2 – Logan’s Model of EA Burnout

133

182 – The Birth and Death of Sydney (Bing AI)

134

181 – How To Read The News With Bounded Distrust, with Wesley Fenza

135

Bayes Blast 1 – In Defense of Chatbot Romance

136

Bonus preview – YIMBY follow-ups and Vulgar EA

137

180 – YIMBY in CA with Brian Hanlon

138

179 – The Plan (to align AI), with John Wentworth

139

178 – Out To Get You

140

177 – Decision Trees and Butlerian Jihads with Matt Freeman

141

176 – Circling with Aella

142

175 – FTX + EA, and Personal Finance

143

BREAKING – FTX collapse & EA shockwaves

144

174 – Jon Stewart, The Consensus Emancipator

145

173 – Oh Lawd, Strong AI is Comin’

146

172 – Virtue Ethics

147

171 – All About AGP

148

170 – By George, The Rent Is Too Damn High!

149

169 – S&E BS re AGI

150

168 – Unions Are Governments

151

167 – Jugaad Ethics

152

166 – Getting Lucky

153

165 – DREAM: Dunbar Rules Everything Around Me

154

164 – Pregnancy is Body Horror

155

163 – Effective Aesthetics

156

162 – Roe No Mo’

157

161 – Restoring the Kingdom of Hawai’i

158

160 – GAI is Imminent

159

159 – Cryonics Concerns, and Theses On Sleep

160

Monarchy Reactions – post Episode 158 discussion (Teaser)

161

158 – Can Monarchy Save Us From Fascism?

162

157 – A Fistful of Topics

163

156 – A Chemical Hunger

164

Trailer For Bonus Aella

165

155 – Normal Predictions, and Change is Bad

166

Trailer For Wirehead Extras

167

154 – Two General Thinkers Discuss General Thinking

168

153 – Values and Wireheading with Wes Fenza

169

152 – Frame Control with Aella

170

151 – Don’t Make This Your Everything

171

150 – The Procrastination Equation

172

149 – The Roots of Progress, with Jason Crawford

173

148 – Decisions, Decisions

174

147 – Newcomblike Problems Are The Norm

175

146 – What Is A Rationalist?

176

145 – You Are In Newcomb’s IQ Shredder

177

144 – The Guild Of The Rose (beta)

178

143 – Crazy Like Us

179

142 – Do This

180

141 – Raising Younglings

181

140 – Trigger Warning: Old Men Yelling at Clouds

182

139 – Kids These Days

183

138 – Are Teens People?

184

137 – Can You Consent to Listening to this Episode?

185

136 – Obviously (and Legally) Murder

186

135 – Live Episode #2

187

Live Episode Announcement

188

134 – We’ve Got Class

189

133 – Is Libertarianism a Gateway Drug to Anarcho-Capitalism?

190

132 – Mind Killed by Libertarianism

191

131 – Feedback Grab Bag

192

130 – The Cause of the Hate Revolution (or: Hate is the New Sex)

193

129 – Sympathy For The Devil

194

128 – The Q-Coup

195

127 – All About Aging with Richard Acton

196

126 – LessWrong 2.0 and Books

197

125 – Hacking Away at Careers

198

124 – Longevity

199

123 – Stuff Has Been Weird Lately

200

122 – EARN IT vs America

201

121 – Crony Beliefs

202

120 – Why Can’t We Brain Good?

203

Episode 119 – If You’re A Human, You’re Already Losing To GPT-3

204

118 – Guns, Germs, and Guns (except the Germs are actually More Guns)

205

117 – The Guild of Servants

206

116 – Truth, Falsity, and Censorship

207

115 – Does Rationality Actually Do Anything?

208

114 – Epistemic Rigor and BLM

209

113 – Refining Niceness with Wes Fenza

210

112 – Nice Places Are Nice

211

111 – Rational Practices in Everyday Living

212

The Mind Killer Episode 4 – Are We Committing Collective Suicide?

213

110 – Socratic Grilling

214

The Mind Killer Episode 3 – Opening Up

215

109 – What Have We Been Consuming?

216

The Mind Killer Episode 2

217

108 – Rudi Hoffman on How to Beat Death and Taxes

218

The Mind Killer 001 – The Hammer and The Dance

219

107 – Talking to Even More Strangers

220

106 – Talking to Strangers (with COVID-19)

221

105 – The Anthropic Principle is da bomb

222

104 – Do You Want To Ask or Guess This Episode’s Topic?

223

103 – Radical Honesty

224

102 – Decade in Review

225

101 – The Live Episode (pt2)

226

100 – The Live Episode (pt1)

227

Live Episode on Sunday Dec 15, 1pm MT (GMT -6)

228

99 – Whiteshift

229

98 – A GSV Very Different From Ours

230

97 – Oops, We Accidentally Over Two Hours of Feedback

231

96 – Do Words Mean Things, Also Sex Science!

232

95 – It’s Gender Time! Part 1

233

94 – The Problem At Yale Isn’t Free Speech, It’s Lack of Batmans

234

93 – Conflict vs Mistake

235

92 – Replacing Guilt

236

91 – Are You Jesus or Hitler??

237

90 – Secret to Our Success

238

89 – Is Rationalism Being Co-opted by the Alt-Right?

239

88 – UBI and Other Forms of (Evil?) Taxes

240

87 – Degrees of Freedom

241

Bonus Abortion non-episode

242

86 – Quick Shout Out to the Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread

243

85 – Stuff is Weird, Yo

244

84 – Yang-arang!

245

83 – REACH

246

82 – Revenge of the Feedback!

247

81 – That’s Too Much Feedback, Man

248

80 – The Reward and Peril of GPT2

249

79 – CyberChristianity

250

78 – Seriously, an Atheism Episode?

251

77 – Meandering Around Albion’s Seed

252

76 – Patreon and Censorship

253

75 – Culture Roots of America

254

74 – Adventures in Feedback!

255

73 – Truth and Winning

256

72 – Productivity Tools, Part 2

257

71 – Researching Qualia with Andrés Gómez Emilsson

258

70 – Kick-offs

259

69 – Culture War 2.0

260

68 – Can’t Give Up Freeman

261

67 – Freestyle Community Talk with Matt Freeman

262

The Sword of Good

263

66 – Feedback & Productivity (pt1)

264

65 – Religion, and The Intelligent Social Web

265

64 – Magick with David Youssef

266

63 – Rational Fiction

267

62 – Stoic Chatter and RatChat!

268

61 – Biohacking 101

269

60 – 98% Likelihood This Episode is about Metaculus

270

59 – Gettin’ Schooled

271

58 – Inside Trump Country with Joshua

272

57 – Community Talk with Bayesed and Confused

273

56 – Adventures in Tough Subjects

274

55 – Keeping up with the Rationalists

275

54 – Nothing Can Prepare You For Robin Hanson

276

53 – Principles of Curiosity with Brian Dunning

277

52 – Marriage is Obsolete Technology

278

51 – Robert McIntyre Returns

279

Holiday

280

50 – Approaching Rationality with Kyle Moore

281

49 – Spirituality via Drugs

282

48 – Cryonics 2 – Lacuna Matata (with Robert McIntyre)

283

47 – Post Scarcity

284

46 – Social Media and Outrage Culture

285

45 – Cryptocurrencies

286

44 – Burning Man

287

43 – Parenting as a Rationalist

288

42 – Emotionally Charged Discussion

289

41 – Ritual and Spirituality

290

40 – Making Humans Legible

291

39 – Transhumanism (pt 2)

292

38 – Transhumanism (pt 1)

293

37 – AlphaGo Returns

294

36 – The Other Kind of Drugs

295

35 – Your Brain on Nootropics

296

34 – Lies, All Lies!

297

33 – MIRI, and EA meta-discussion

298

32 – Who’s Afraid of AI?

299

31 – Digital Rights and Privacy

300

30 – Of Specks and Omlettes

301

29 – Fiction and Fun with Max Harms

302

Bonus Mini-Episode: I Did Nazi That Coming

303

28 – Effective Altruism

304

27 – On Punching Nazis

305

26 – Concept Networks and Hanging Nodes

306

25 – Tinder, Actually

307

24 – Signaling

308

23 – Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe

309

22 – Moral Philosophy

310

Bonus mini-episode: Trump-Reacting

311

21 – Kids, These Days

312

20 – What’s important?

313

19 – Political Pitfalls

314

18 – Robin Hanson Interview

315

17 – The Feels

316

16 – Animals Again

317

15 – Animals

318

14 – Street Epistemology

319

13 – Game Theory

320

12 – Listener Feedback

321

11 – Voting

322

10 – Polyamory (part 2)

323

9 – Polyamory (part 1)

324

8 – Interview with Brian Dunning

325

7 – Kill All Humans?

326

6 – Cryonics

327

5 – When Grandmas ask “What is Rationality?”

328

4 – AlphaGo, with Patrick Chapin

329

3 – Interview with Eliezer Yudkowsky

330

2 – What is this “Sanity Waterline” you speak of?

331

1 – What Use is Rationality?