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All Episodes

The Bayesian Conspiracy — 332 episodes

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Title
1

270 – The AIs Aren’t Aligned and Everyone Is Finally Noticing, w Matt Freeman

2

259 – Chill Out on AI in 2028?

3

258 – How Effective Altruism Has Evolved

4

257 – Pentagon Comes For Claude

5

256 – Writing for LLMs

6

255 – Eneasz goes to CFAR, and Epistemically Honest Reassurance

7

254 – The True Theme and Meaning of HPMOR

8

253 – The Seven Vicious Vices of Rationalists

9

A Harried Meeting (audio)

10

House elves are crystalized cosmic power

11

Christmas 2025: Couple of Quick Shoutouts

12

252 – The 12 Virtues of Rationality, with Alex and David

13

251 – Matt Freeman on What Makes a Good Story

14

Bayes Blast 46 – Get Involved in Local Politics with Booker Lightman

15

250 – Making the Good Life with Matt Freeman

16

249 – Red Heart and IABIED with Max Harms

17

248 – Seeking Alpha, with Jay

18

247 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 2

19

246 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 1

20

pre246 note

21

245 – AI Welfare, with Rob Long and Rosie Campbell of Eleos

22

244 – How and Why to Form a Church, with Andrew Willsen

23

Bayes Blast 45 – Bees Blast

24

243 – Wes Is Not The Monogamy Police, with Wesly Fenza and Jennifer Kesteloot

25

Bayes Blast 44 – Play-By-Post Storytelling

26

242 – TracingWoodgrains, live at Manifest 2025

27

Bayes Blast 43 – Die-ing to Intuit Bayes’ Theorem

28

Bonus – AI Village Hosts An Event For Humans

29

241 – Doom Debates, with Liron Shapira

30

240 – How To Live Well With High P(Doom) – with Ben Pace, Brandon Hendrickson, Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg

31

Bayes Blast 42 – Epic AI Music

32

239 – SymbyAI

33

238 – Part 2 of How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian

34

237 – How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian

35

236 – Twilight of the Edgelords with Liam Nolan

36

235 – Gender Differences, with Wes and Jen

37

234 – GiveDirectly, with Nick Allardice

38

233 – AI Policy in D.C., with Dave Kasten

39

Bayes Blast 41 – AI Action Plan

40

232 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change, with John Bennett

41

Bayes Blast 40 – HPMOR 10 Year Anniversary Parties

42

231 – SuperBabies, with Gene Smith

43

Bayes Blast 39 – Ladylike for Autistics

44

230 – Making Dating Not Suck with Jacob Falkovich

45

Bayes Blast 38 – Shitcoins

46

Bayes Blast 37 – Kill Your Friend’s Cat

47

229 – Integrating Emotions

48

LW Census 2024

49

228 – The Deep Lore of LightHaven, with Oliver Habryka

50

227 – Longevity, Aimed Communities, Network States, with Zoe Isabel Senon

51

226 – The Illusion of Moral Decline

52

225 – Live at Lighthaven!

53

Bonus? The 10-Finger Demon

54

Live Show At Lighthaven

55

224 – Cringe Gates and Cultural Drift

56

Bayes Blast 36 – AI Grifters in Birmingham

57

223 – Going Back to the Classics

58

Bonus – Discord Culture (preview)

59

Bayes Blast 35 – Disproving The Blindsight Thesis

60

Bayes Blast 34 – Content Moderation is Infosec

61

222 – Consciousness As Recursive Reflections with Daniel Böttger

62

Bayes Blast 33 – Porn Sims

63

221 – Why The Field? Why Zombies?? with Liam

64

Bayes Blast 32 – Canadian Health Care

65

220 – Chalmer’s Zombies, with Liam

66

219 – On Excellence, with Tracing Woodgrains

67

218 – Bentham’s Bulldog and the Best Argument for God

68

217 – Consensual Violence with Rikard

69

216 – On Dying (And Cryonics)

70

Bayes Blast 31 – Blowing Hot Air (Free Version)

71

215 – Rationalism and Religion, with Brandon Hendrickson

72

214 – Is Death Good? Simone and Malcolm Collins return!

73

213 – Are Transformer Models Aligned By Default?

74

212 – Feedback Extravaganza

75

Bayes Blast 30 – Less.Online

76

211 – The Social Justice Religion with Tracing Woodgrains

77

210 – Demographic Collapse & Religion with Simone & Malcolm Collins

78

Bayes Blast 29 – VibeClipse

79

Bayes Blast 28 – Bass Blast

80

209 – The World’s Most Wholesome Gangbang, with Lucy Belmont (Fluffer B)

81

Bayes Blast 27 – SubStack Launch and Animorphs Launch

82

208.ai – Eve Theory of Consciousness v3.0 – By Andrew Cutler

83

208 – Snakes On A Brain: Eve Theory of Consciousness v3 with Andrew Cutler

84

Bayes Blast 26 – AskWho On The Future of Narration

85

207 – Raising Free Range Kids via Camp Dorkaround

86

206 – What Chronic Pain and Trauma Junkies Have In Common

87

Bayes Blast 25 – Betting On Love

88

Bayes Blast 24 – The Answerers

89

205.ai – The Snake Cult of Consciousness narration

90

205 – The Snake Cult of Consciousness

91

204 – Simulacra Levels with Zvi (and more)

92

203 – The Self-Indulgent Episode

93

202 – The Center for AI Policy talks government regulation

94

Bayes Blast 23 – Less Fingers = Less Blasting?

95

Bayes Blast 22 – The Penal System

96

201 – The Educated Mind + More with Brandon Hendrickson (part 2)

97

200 – The Educated Mind with Brandon Hendrickson

98

199 – Polyamory with Aella and Yassine

99

198 – Tuskegee & Age/Race Bias?

100

197 – What To Expect When You’re Expecting To Go To Burning Man

101

Bayes Blast 21 – Dudes Catching Son of Sam and Dread Pirate Roberts

102

196 – Steven Goes To Court

103

195 – KataGo vs AlphaGo: Fight!

104

194 – Kinky Data Science with Aella

105

Bayes Blast 20 – Blue Pill/Red Pill in Roko’s Blender

106

Bayes Blast 19 – Musicgen and Audiogen

107

193 – Building Baileys with Yassine Meskhout

108

192 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life, with Alex

109

Bayes Blast 17 – Gay Pride is White Liberal Pride

110

191 – What is Post-Rationalism, with Arielle

111

Bayes Blast 16 – Holding PRNS (Present Rate, No Singularity)

112

Bayes Blast 15 – Technological Overemployment

113

190 – How to be Human Together, at VibeCamp, with GPTBrooke

114

Bayes Blast 14 – Reddit Sucks

115

189 – AI Bloomer David Youssef

116

188 – Living in the Early Singularity, with Matt Freeman

117

187 – GitLab & Review Bounties to Save Science, with Richard Acton

118

Bayes Blast 13 – GPT-4 maps every neuron in GPT-2

119

186 – Why We Aren’t Technically EAs But Totally Would Be, Unlike This Guy

120

Bayes Blast 12 – AI White Pills

121

185 – The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni

122

Bayes Blast 11 – Exposure to Lizardman Is Lethal

123

Bayes Blast 10 – Shoggoth Tongues

124

Bayes Blast 9 – The salt in pasta water fallacy

125

184 – The Cultic Milieu

126

Bayes Blast 8 – An AI risk argument that resonates with NYTimes readers

127

Bayes Blast 7 – Chatbot convinces Belgian to commit suicide

128

Bayes Blast 6 – The Parable of the King and the Random Process

129

183 – Let’s Think About Slowing Down AI

130

Bayes Blast 5 – Importance Hacking

131

Bayes Blast 4 – The Waluigi Effect

132

Bayes Blast 3 – Dynamics Can Arise If You Nudge

133

Bayes Blast 2 – Logan’s Model of EA Burnout

134

182 – The Birth and Death of Sydney (Bing AI)

135

181 – How To Read The News With Bounded Distrust, with Wesley Fenza

136

Bayes Blast 1 – In Defense of Chatbot Romance

137

Bonus preview – YIMBY follow-ups and Vulgar EA

138

180 – YIMBY in CA with Brian Hanlon

139

179 – The Plan (to align AI), with John Wentworth

140

178 – Out To Get You

141

177 – Decision Trees and Butlerian Jihads with Matt Freeman

142

176 – Circling with Aella

143

175 – FTX + EA, and Personal Finance

144

BREAKING – FTX collapse & EA shockwaves

145

174 – Jon Stewart, The Consensus Emancipator

146

173 – Oh Lawd, Strong AI is Comin’

147

172 – Virtue Ethics

148

171 – All About AGP

149

170 – By George, The Rent Is Too Damn High!

150

169 – S&E BS re AGI

151

168 – Unions Are Governments

152

167 – Jugaad Ethics

153

166 – Getting Lucky

154

165 – DREAM: Dunbar Rules Everything Around Me

155

164 – Pregnancy is Body Horror

156

163 – Effective Aesthetics

157

162 – Roe No Mo’

158

161 – Restoring the Kingdom of Hawai’i

159

160 – GAI is Imminent

160

159 – Cryonics Concerns, and Theses On Sleep

161

Monarchy Reactions – post Episode 158 discussion (Teaser)

162

158 – Can Monarchy Save Us From Fascism?

163

157 – A Fistful of Topics

164

156 – A Chemical Hunger

165

Trailer For Bonus Aella

166

155 – Normal Predictions, and Change is Bad

167

Trailer For Wirehead Extras

168

154 – Two General Thinkers Discuss General Thinking

169

153 – Values and Wireheading with Wes Fenza

170

152 – Frame Control with Aella

171

151 – Don’t Make This Your Everything

172

150 – The Procrastination Equation

173

149 – The Roots of Progress, with Jason Crawford

174

148 – Decisions, Decisions

175

147 – Newcomblike Problems Are The Norm

176

146 – What Is A Rationalist?

177

145 – You Are In Newcomb’s IQ Shredder

178

144 – The Guild Of The Rose (beta)

179

143 – Crazy Like Us

180

142 – Do This

181

141 – Raising Younglings

182

140 – Trigger Warning: Old Men Yelling at Clouds

183

139 – Kids These Days

184

138 – Are Teens People?

185

137 – Can You Consent to Listening to this Episode?

186

136 – Obviously (and Legally) Murder

187

135 – Live Episode #2

188

Live Episode Announcement

189

134 – We’ve Got Class

190

133 – Is Libertarianism a Gateway Drug to Anarcho-Capitalism?

191

132 – Mind Killed by Libertarianism

192

131 – Feedback Grab Bag

193

130 – The Cause of the Hate Revolution (or: Hate is the New Sex)

194

129 – Sympathy For The Devil

195

128 – The Q-Coup

196

127 – All About Aging with Richard Acton

197

126 – LessWrong 2.0 and Books

198

125 – Hacking Away at Careers

199

124 – Longevity

200

123 – Stuff Has Been Weird Lately

201

122 – EARN IT vs America

202

121 – Crony Beliefs

203

120 – Why Can’t We Brain Good?

204

Episode 119 – If You’re A Human, You’re Already Losing To GPT-3

205

118 – Guns, Germs, and Guns (except the Germs are actually More Guns)

206

117 – The Guild of Servants

207

116 – Truth, Falsity, and Censorship

208

115 – Does Rationality Actually Do Anything?

209

114 – Epistemic Rigor and BLM

210

113 – Refining Niceness with Wes Fenza

211

112 – Nice Places Are Nice

212

111 – Rational Practices in Everyday Living

213

The Mind Killer Episode 4 – Are We Committing Collective Suicide?

214

110 – Socratic Grilling

215

The Mind Killer Episode 3 – Opening Up

216

109 – What Have We Been Consuming?

217

The Mind Killer Episode 2

218

108 – Rudi Hoffman on How to Beat Death and Taxes

219

The Mind Killer 001 – The Hammer and The Dance

220

107 – Talking to Even More Strangers

221

106 – Talking to Strangers (with COVID-19)

222

105 – The Anthropic Principle is da bomb

223

104 – Do You Want To Ask or Guess This Episode’s Topic?

224

103 – Radical Honesty

225

102 – Decade in Review

226

101 – The Live Episode (pt2)

227

100 – The Live Episode (pt1)

228

Live Episode on Sunday Dec 15, 1pm MT (GMT -6)

229

99 – Whiteshift

230

98 – A GSV Very Different From Ours

231

97 – Oops, We Accidentally Over Two Hours of Feedback

232

96 – Do Words Mean Things, Also Sex Science!

233

95 – It’s Gender Time! Part 1

234

94 – The Problem At Yale Isn’t Free Speech, It’s Lack of Batmans

235

93 – Conflict vs Mistake

236

92 – Replacing Guilt

237

91 – Are You Jesus or Hitler??

238

90 – Secret to Our Success

239

89 – Is Rationalism Being Co-opted by the Alt-Right?

240

88 – UBI and Other Forms of (Evil?) Taxes

241

87 – Degrees of Freedom

242

Bonus Abortion non-episode

243

86 – Quick Shout Out to the Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread

244

85 – Stuff is Weird, Yo

245

84 – Yang-arang!

246

83 – REACH

247

82 – Revenge of the Feedback!

248

81 – That’s Too Much Feedback, Man

249

80 – The Reward and Peril of GPT2

250

79 – CyberChristianity

251

78 – Seriously, an Atheism Episode?

252

77 – Meandering Around Albion’s Seed

253

76 – Patreon and Censorship

254

75 – Culture Roots of America

255

74 – Adventures in Feedback!

256

73 – Truth and Winning

257

72 – Productivity Tools, Part 2

258

71 – Researching Qualia with Andrés Gómez Emilsson

259

70 – Kick-offs

260

69 – Culture War 2.0

261

68 – Can’t Give Up Freeman

262

67 – Freestyle Community Talk with Matt Freeman

263

The Sword of Good

264

66 – Feedback & Productivity (pt1)

265

65 – Religion, and The Intelligent Social Web

266

64 – Magick with David Youssef

267

63 – Rational Fiction

268

62 – Stoic Chatter and RatChat!

269

61 – Biohacking 101

270

60 – 98% Likelihood This Episode is about Metaculus

271

59 – Gettin’ Schooled

272

58 – Inside Trump Country with Joshua

273

57 – Community Talk with Bayesed and Confused

274

56 – Adventures in Tough Subjects

275

55 – Keeping up with the Rationalists

276

54 – Nothing Can Prepare You For Robin Hanson

277

53 – Principles of Curiosity with Brian Dunning

278

52 – Marriage is Obsolete Technology

279

51 – Robert McIntyre Returns

280

Holiday

281

50 – Approaching Rationality with Kyle Moore

282

49 – Spirituality via Drugs

283

48 – Cryonics 2 – Lacuna Matata (with Robert McIntyre)

284

47 – Post Scarcity

285

46 – Social Media and Outrage Culture

286

45 – Cryptocurrencies

287

44 – Burning Man

288

43 – Parenting as a Rationalist

289

42 – Emotionally Charged Discussion

290

41 – Ritual and Spirituality

291

40 – Making Humans Legible

292

39 – Transhumanism (pt 2)

293

38 – Transhumanism (pt 1)

294

37 – AlphaGo Returns

295

36 – The Other Kind of Drugs

296

35 – Your Brain on Nootropics

297

34 – Lies, All Lies!

298

33 – MIRI, and EA meta-discussion

299

32 – Who’s Afraid of AI?

300

31 – Digital Rights and Privacy

301

30 – Of Specks and Omlettes

302

29 – Fiction and Fun with Max Harms

303

Bonus Mini-Episode: I Did Nazi That Coming

304

28 – Effective Altruism

305

27 – On Punching Nazis

306

26 – Concept Networks and Hanging Nodes

307

25 – Tinder, Actually

308

24 – Signaling

309

23 – Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe

310

22 – Moral Philosophy

311

Bonus mini-episode: Trump-Reacting

312

21 – Kids, These Days

313

20 – What’s important?

314

19 – Political Pitfalls

315

18 – Robin Hanson Interview

316

17 – The Feels

317

16 – Animals Again

318

15 – Animals

319

14 – Street Epistemology

320

13 – Game Theory

321

12 – Listener Feedback

322

11 – Voting

323

10 – Polyamory (part 2)

324

9 – Polyamory (part 1)

325

8 – Interview with Brian Dunning

326

7 – Kill All Humans?

327

6 – Cryonics

328

5 – When Grandmas ask “What is Rationality?”

329

4 – AlphaGo, with Patrick Chapin

330

3 – Interview with Eliezer Yudkowsky

331

2 – What is this “Sanity Waterline” you speak of?

332

1 – What Use is Rationality?