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All Episodes

The Jacob Shapiro Podcast — 351 episodes

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Title
1

Geography is Destiny: China, The Global South, & Energy

2

Why Is China Bad at Soccer?

3

Shipping for Dummies

4

Frontlines: Ukraine, Iran, oil markets, and what the World Cup reveals about global politics

5

Is The War Over?

6

The Cartel Math Isn't Mathing

7

Crosspost: Frontlines "Hormuz to AI"

8

Who Killed the Florida Orange?

9

Are the Cartels Winning?

10

Static, Not Strategic

11

Warp Speed for Everything

12

Gross Diplomacy

13

Fertilizer 101

14

The Off Ramp Is Right Now

15

The View From Delhi

16

Soft Power is Underrated

17

Renegade Scottish Economics

18

Firepower Is Not a Strategy

19

An Imminent, Underreported War

20

Escape from Tel Aviv

21

Who's Running Tehran?

22

Decapitation Strike

23

Healthy Climate Skepticism (?)

24

The Cold War That Wasn’t

25

Takaichi's New Japan

26

War With Iran

27

Land, Debt, and Decline

28

The Black Sea Isn’t Quiet Anymore

29

Fed Under Fire

30

Measuring Risk

31

For My Friends, Everything; For My Enemies, The Law

32

Bye Bye Maduro, You Gone Now

33

Money and Control

34

Right Wing Ascendant

35

The Return of Imperial Strategy

36

The Geography of a Missing Daughter

37

The Geopolitics of Personalized Money

38

Demand Shock

39

"What the West Should Learn from China"

40

“The Longevity Dividend, or, Why You Shouldn’t Bathe in the Blood of Virgins”

41

“ChatGPT is so mid”, or, Why AI Won’t Change the World

42

The Legality of Trump’s Tariffs and U.S. Trade Power

43

The Shrimp Among Whales

44

The Rightist International

45

Sovereignty vs. Swipe Fees

46

A Wild New Era of Japanese Politics

47

Leverage on Leverage on Leverage

48

The Government Is Coming For Your [insert asset here]

49

Techno-Feudal Estates

50

Alone in the Insane Asylum

51

Youth Against Government

52

“Bitcoin is a Miracle”

53

Deterrence by Punishment

54

Soft Dictatorship, Big Tariffs

55

Pissing in the Public Pool

56

Fiscal Reality and Financial Repression

57

The White Nationalist Social Democracy

58

Our Post-Neoliberal Moment (w/ Mike Konczal)

59

Our Currency, Your Problem

60

Unpacking the U.S.-Pakistan Reset (with Fahd Humayun)

61

The Largest Standing Army In Europe

62

Latin America's Moment in Global Chaos

63

Tariffs, Trust, and Tokyo

64

Israel Strikes Iran P2: Analyst Kamran Bokhari

65

Israel Strikes Iran P1: Security Expert Hamidreza Azizi

66

Stablecoins and the Geopolitics of Trust

67

Ukrainian Drone Attack and the Future of War

68

The Juice Is Already Killing Us

69

The Most Terrifying Insect You’ve Never Heard Of

70

The Froth of Grift

71

The Reverse Currency Crisis That Isn’t

72

The Indus Waters Are Getting Hot

73

Latinos for Trump (But Make It Complicated)

74

The Pahalgam Terrorist Attack

75

Go Where The Fiscal Is

76

The Economy Has COVID

77

Separating Signal From Noise (with Rob!)

78

Let Them Drink Bleach

79

Blessing by Blowtorch

80

Riding on the Hog of a Fiscal Orgy

81

🇺🇸 Liberation Day 🇺🇸

82

At the Frontline of the South China Sea and Democracy

83

Beware the Profit Recession and India’s Stock Bubble

84

Geopolitical Cousins - Get Off Our Lawn

85

Will Trump Go to War with Iran?

86

Messing Around and Finding Out

87

Pulling the Wrong Levers

88

The Thing about Tariffs

89

Did the US Just Abandon Ukraine?

90

Mr. Market Is Not Happy

91

Trade Wars are Metal Wars

92

Perceived Concessions

93

Stop Waiting To Live a Good Life

94

USAID's Demise: What It Means for Global Power and U.S. Influence

95

#256 - And Now, The Weather

96

#255 - Strategic Ketchup Reserve

97

#254 - Geopolitical Cousins

98

#253 - Lose the War, Win the Peace

99

#252 - Mexican Leverage

100

#251: Don't Forget The DRC

101

#250 - Hungarian Baby Incentives

102

#249 - Trumpismo Rising

103

#248 - Yet Another New World Order 🙄

104

#247 - Syria

105

#246 - Government Collapse Week

106

#245 - Bully Capitalism

107

#244 - Japan is Waking

108

#243 - Trump's Triumph: What the Election Means for America and the World

109

Four More Years: Trump 2.0 and What Comes Next

110

#242 - Gold, Migration, and Cocaine

111

#241 - U.S. Election 2024 Preview

112

#240 - The Illusion of Moral Decline

113

#239 - Introducing Club CI

114

#238 - The Future of the Middle East: Reflections on a Year of Conflict

115

#237 - Fires, Strikes and Brazilian Success

116

#236 - Iran’s Strategic Loneliness

117

#235 - Trump v Harris Victory Scenarios w/ Cousin Marko

118

#234 - Alberto Fujimori, 1938-2024

119

#233 - Bladerunner 2024 and China Stimulus

120

#232 - Why Simplify When You Can Complicate?

121

#231 - Paging Hezbollah

122

#230 - Microgeopolitics of Fargo and Brazil v. X

123

#229 - Understanding WHO's Mpox Declaration

124

#228 - The Arabian Gulf's Expanding Conflict + Modi's Visit to Ukraine

125

#227 - The Tactical Objectives of Ukraine's Offensive Push

126

#226 - Monkeypox and AI

127

#225 - Great Power Network Competition and Bitcoin (and Aliens)

128

#224 - Sober Liquidity

129

#223 - Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren (An Update)

130

#222 - Maduro and Venezuela

131

#221 - There IS A World Outside The U.S. Election (I Promise)

132

#220 - The Trump Assassination Attempt

133

#219 - How The Crusades Created Trusts as We Know Them

134

#218 - Revolt of the Masses

135

#217 - Macron’s Gambit Worked…Sort Of – French Election Reaction

136

#216 - Double Your Pleasure, Double Your Shap

137

#215 - The Ozempic Boom and the Future of Biotech

138

#214 - Pardon the Interruption: A New Geopolitical Show with International Intrigue

139

#213 - Crime in Latin America and the Virtue of Pessimism

140

#212 - France’s Elections: Historic and Hysteric

141

#211 - Things To Come

142

#210 - Elohim Monard and Ignacio Asis: Argentina Chainsaw Massacre

143

#209 - Let’s Talk About Artificial Intelligence

144

#208 - Matt McClintock: The Good Life and Personal Sovereignty: Introducing Bespoke

145

#207 - Dmitri Alperovitch: World on the Brink

146

#206 - The Fourth Transformation: What’s at Stake in Mexico’s Elections

147

#205 - Akshar Patel: Caste, Hindutva, and India's Elections

148

#204 - Weekly Update: Darth Fed

149

#203 - Kamran Bokhari: Drinking from the Poison Chalice (fixed)

150

#202 - Bearish US, Chinese/Indian Equity, Russia's Push, Trump's Mexico Policy and NBA Power Politics

151

#201 - Emergency Episode: Iran’s President is Dead + A Coup in the DRC?

152

#200 - Tariffs are Taxes (and why you shouldn’t invest in utilities)

153

#199 - How to Avoid a U.S.-China War

154

#198 - Brazil Under Water

155

#197 - Weekly Update: China, France, and Steel

156

#196 - Sanaa Kamal: A Voice from Gaza

157

#195 - Weekly Update: “Chaos” at U.S. Universities + Steel

158

#194 - Dee Smith: God, Sex, & Death

159

#193 - Marko’s Back!

160

#192 - Yoroslav Trofimov: "Our Enemies Will Vanish"

161

Emergency Update: Are we heading into World War Three?

162

#190 - Weekly Update: 47 Crises in 17 Years

163

#189 - Weekly Update: Coronal Mass Ejection

164

#188 - James Meadway: The First Crisis of the Anthropocene

165

#187 - Sim Tack: Can Ukraine Still Win Against Russia?

166

#186 - Matthew Pines: Cyber, Bitcoin, and Aliens

167

#185 - Weekly Update: Why We Still Like Japan & Other contrarian takes

168

#184 - Kevin Evans: The Largest Invisible Thing in the World

169

#183 - Weekly Update: What is a Doji (and Why Should I Care?)

170

#182 - Gary Saul Morson: Russian Exceptionalism

171

#181 - Weekly Update: What If Trump Wins? (Tariff edition)

172

#180 - Matt Gertken: The "Black Swan" Scenarios

173

Pleasant Prairies and A Middle East Update

174

What’s in a name? (North Korea edition)

175

The Horseradish Capital of the World

176

Making Astrology Respectable

177

Extrapolating Doom

178

Dams and the Rio Grande

179

Confusion

180

The Blood of the Martyrs

181

What's Happening (Right Now) With the Weather?

182

Friction

183

Trouble in the Red Sea, logistics snarls, China, and the U.S. election

184

What the Media Missed This Week

185

Retrospectives and Predictions for the Ukraine War

186

Cocaine and the Catholic Church

187

What's Happening in the DRC?

188

We're Worried About the Middle East

189

Here's Looking At You, Dad

190

Cybersecurity + Geopolitics (Matt Pines)

191

The Art of Geopolitics with Stratfor

192

Okay But... What IS Geopolitics?

193

Remapping Global Supply Chains

194

Strategic Intelligence Lessons for Decision-Makers

195

President Javier Milei

196

Demystifying Chips, US-China Relations, & Intellectual Property

197

Playing Golf (Probably) Won’t Make You a Better Investor

198

The Implosion of Ukraine

199

Something Rotten In The State of Ukraine

200

Nile to Negev: Hafsa Halawa’s Take on Regional Turmoil

201

Hard Times in the 21st Century w/ Helen Thompson

202

Monopolies and Innovation

203

The Worst Is Over for Argentina?

204

Don’t Trust The Gurus

205

Uncertainty and Ideology

206

Turkey’s Perspective

207

The Future of the Post-Soviet World

208

Fraying World Order - Intrigue Outloud Crosspost

209

What You Missed During the War

210

This Time Is Different

211

Not The Worst It Can Be: An Israeli Perspective

212

Settling Scores

213

The First Israeli-Palestinian War

214

Opium War Lessons (For Fentanyl)

215

Agriculture x Geopolitics (RealAgriculture Crosspost)

216

The Politics of Hope

217

Hope is the Last Thing that Dies

218

Why Should I Care About Nagorno-Karabakh?

219

The Pitfalls of Green Energy Policies

220

50 Years Since Allende - An Update on Chile

221

The Modern Geopolitics of Turkey

222

Japan: A Story of Stagnation and Change

223

The Depreciable Life of Information

224

Hope and Change in Latin America

225

WTF Happened to Prigozhin?!

226

Superconductors and The Future of Fusion

227

Call Me “Jake Solo” 😏

228

Canadian Beef (RealAg Crosspost)

229

The Pain of Deglobalization

230

Colonialism 2.0 - The Scramble for Africa

231

Niger’s Coup

232

Aliens

233

Course Correction: China, Brazil, Turkey + More

234

Western Mining Tech is 40 Years Behind

235

Is The Weather Getting Worse?

236

EVs Are Not the Future

237

Black Sea Grain Collapse

238

Erdogan, Hotdogs & AI

239

Sim Tak's War Update + African Deterioration

240

Multipolar Mineral Greed

241

The Stories We Tell Ourselves

242

Water We Doing??? More Freshwater Talks with Peter Mayer

243

Economic Storms Ahead - Chase Calls a Recession

244

The End of Russia (Part II)

245

The End of Russia (A Russian Civil War?)

246

Cash is King and Cars are Dumb

247

Go Woke, Go Broke?

248

A Dagger Pointed at the Heart of Antarctica

249

The Russian Cascade - RealAgriculture Crosspost

250

Move Over, Big Oil – Here Comes Big Shovel

251

Forecast Revisited

252

Sucker’s Game

253

ARE YOU NOT ENTERTAINED??

254

Debate: The Future of Turkey’s Economy

255

No Cappuccinos After 11:30

256

Failed Breakout

257

Preparing for Ukraine’s Counter Offensive

258

Committing Geopolitical Suicide

259

Thailand Election Analysis

260

Geopolitical Flux -> Market Turbulence

261

Turkey’s Election Results – Rapid Reaction

262

The Trouble With Emerging Markets

263

The Most Important Election In The Middle East

264

Deep Dive: Uzbekistan and the Future of Eurasia

265

The Movements to Nationalize Lithium

266

The Economics and Geopolitics of Fracking w/ Bethany McLean (Perch Pod Repost)

267

Positive Outlooks, African Instability, and Warren Buffett's (Implied) Endorsement

268

Understanding Ransomware as a Service (RaaS)

269

Immaculate Disinflation

270

Prisoners To Nearby Prices - The Biggest Issues Facing Farmers in '23-'24

271

Thriving In a Volatile Macro Environment

272

Emergency Episode: The Future of Israel

273

Is Turkey Still a Democracy? (Fixed Audio)

274

Inflation’s Much Exaggerated Demise + The Power of Soft Power

275

What is GPT, Why Should I Care? + The Future of Energy and Crypto

276

Spotting the Next SVB - 2024 and Beyond

277

Genuine Partnership or PR Blitz? - The Normalization of Saudi/Iranian Relations

278

Egypt Shouldn't Be Doing Well... But It Is?

279

Crosspost: How does the Russia-Ukraine war end? w/realagriculture

280

Long Wheat, Short Soy

281

Debating China’s Rise

282

Inflation Expectations

283

Measuring the Apex of Modern Industrial Society

284

Cousin Marko: Balloons, Ukraine, and Kyrie Irving

285

The Next 12 Months of War in Ukraine

286

Human Capital

287

China's Balloon Boondoggle

288

What is Nuclear Fusion and Why Does It Matter So Much

289

Asynchronous Waves

290

US-China Relations with David Firestein

291

Peru Crisis + The Many Lefts of Latin America

292

What is the Future of the EU?

293

Dealing with Uncertainty

294

The Geopolitics of Macro in 2023

295

The Geopolitics of Metals + Shorting the Euro

296

Analysis: Brazilian Capitol Riots

297

A Deceptively Quiet Start To 2023

298

A Tumultuous Chinese Future

299

Looking Ahead at 2023

300

The End of The Iranian Regime

301

What the Heck is Happening in China?

302

A Breakdown of Peru's Failed Coup

303

The Not-So-Sick Man of the Euro

304

Talking Ag and Dairy with Dan Basse

305

Tiananmen 2.0?

306

A Polish Perspective on War - The Rise of the Intermarium?

307

A Global CapEx Supercycle?

308

Bernie Madoff, Elizabeth Holmes... Sam Bankman-Fried?

309

Predicting the Weather in 2023

310

What you missed while the world obsessed over U.S. CPI.

311

How Much Longer Can Russia Hold On?

312

Russian Weakness, U.S.-China Divergences, Turkey’s Risks, and Bullish Brazil

313

Will Europe Survive the Winter?

314

Stratfor: Musings on Autocracies, Democracies and Resilience

315

Recording On The Road -- Mini Solo Episode From Dublin

316

Taking Stock

317

Making Sense of Iranian Unrest

318

What's Up With This Market?

319

Agricultural Currents: Food Prices, Fertilizer, & The Future

320

Cutting the Red Tape: US Infrastructure, Pipeline Mysteries, & China

321

Can We Realistically Tame Inflation?

322

Ukraine Is Winning

323

Emotion, Objectivity, and Investing

324

Return of the Pod!

325

Geopolitics and Cyberwarfare (+ Bitcoin Neutrality)

326

Whose Fault Is It Anyway? The Sino-Australian Breakup

327

Uncertain Fed, Certain PBC?

328

Here Be Animal Spirits

329

Coffee, Chocolate, China (and Inflation)

330

Water We Waiting For? The Decline of Fresh Water

331

Weekly Update: Rising Yen, China Real Estate, and Investing in Nuclear

332

The Art of Geopolitics w/ Stratfor

333

Weekly Update: Is China on a Treadmill to Hell?

334

Weekly Update: Markets, Markets, Italy!

335

Economy, Energy, and The Odds Of a Recession

336

Weekly Update: Euro-Dollar Parity, China lockdowns, and a post-Abe Japan.

337

Who's Winning the Ukraine-Russia Conflict?

338

Weekly Update 7/1

339

A Polish Perspective on The Ukraine-Russia Conflict

340

Weekly Update 6/23 = Recession + Inflation + Energy Crisis

341

Kazakhstan, Pakistan, & Iran 6/16

342

Weekly Update 6/16

343

Geopolitics and Investing

344

Weekly Update 6/2

345

Cousin Marko Is Back! 5/26

346

Weekly Brief w Rob 5/27

347

Weekly Brief w Rob 5/20

348

Inflation, Corn, and Turkey

349

Weekly Brief w Rob 5/12

350

Weekly Brief w Rob 5/5

351

Let's Talk About Sanctions