E44. 预测的艺术与科学 episode artwork

EPISODE · Oct 22, 2025 · 7 MIN

E44. 预测的艺术与科学

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《Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction》出版后受到学界、金融界与商业领袖的广泛肯定。行为经济学奠基者丹尼尔·卡尼曼称其为在不确定世界中清晰思考的手册,建议读者直接去读。华尔街日报专栏作家 Jason Zweig 评价它是自《思考,快与慢》以来最重要的决策书。长期研究投资决策的迈克尔·莫博辛称其为少见的“既学术又好读”的著作,值得所有与预测相关的读者认真研读。行为科学作家亚当·格兰特则说,这是一本能让人更聪明也更明智的书,展示了如何系统提升预测能力。在小宇宙查看该单集文稿

Episode metadata supplied by the publisher feed · Published Oct 22, 2025

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E44. 预测的艺术与科学

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