The Decisive Podcast: Insights and analysis to empower confident decision-making.

In this episode of The Decisive, host Kristen Hallam explores the murky world of maritime identity manipulation—a growing threat that's reshaping global shipping, sanctions enforcement, and international trade. Joined by maritime risk and compliance expert Jeremy Domballe, Kristen unpacks how vessels can alter their digital, physical, and legal identities to operate undetected on the world's oceans. From "zombie ships" reusing the identities of long-scrapped vessels to the physical "whitewashing" of ship names, Kristen and Jeremy reveal the methods bad actors use to evade sanctions, access restricted markets, and profit from illicit trade. They also examine the risks this deception poses to financial institutions, insurers, ship owners, and governments—highlighting why trust in vessel identity is foundational to the entire maritime ecosystem. Listeners will gain insight into the latest trends in ID spoofing, including the manipulation of AIS signals, GNSS jamming, and unintentional identity errors that can create confusion across continents. The episode concludes with practical guidance on due diligence, technological countermeasures, and the importance of vigilance for anyone exposed to the maritime domain. Discover why, in today's shipping world, not every vessel is what it seems—and what you can do to stay one step ahead. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Transshipment: Frequently Asked Questions Port Congestion Analysis: Northeast Asia and Southeast Asia main hubs Maritime Chokepoints Tighten, Global Supply Chain Risk Rises For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Middle East war Truck trade: Hybrid routes provide Hormuz alternatives for containers, fertilizers Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Jeremy Domballe Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

The global economy is facing its weakest growth outlook since 2009. What happens when geopolitical conflict collides with an already fragile energy market? In this episode of The Decisive, we examine the cascading macroeconomic impacts of recent global disruptions and the resulting negative supply shocks that have forced economists to revise their forecasts. With global real GDP growth downgraded to just 2.4% and inflation projections rising due to energy and food prices, the economic divide between oil-exporting and oil-importing nations is becoming ever more pronounced. What You'll Learn: The Macro Outlook Discover why growth forecasts have been lowered and what our base-case assumption of $100/barrel oil means for the delicate balance between controlling inflation and avoiding recession. The Great Divide Explore the stark contrast in economic fortunes: Energy exporters like Saudi Arabia and the UAE are weathering the storm, while highly vulnerable importers such as India, Egypt, and the Philippines face more acute macroeconomic pressures. Central Bank Dilemmas Understand how major central banks worldwide are navigating the difficult choice between taming persistent inflation and preventing an economic downturn—and why their responses could determine the trajectory of the global economy. Beyond the Barrel Uncover the hidden vulnerabilities in global supply chains, from refined fuels and fertilizers to the unexpected fallout in non-oil sectors like tourism, logistics, and real estate across the Middle East and Asia Pacific. Regional Deep Dives Get detailed analysis of how the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and Asia Pacific (APAC) regions are experiencing these shocks differently, with vulnerability indices revealing which countries face the greatest macro-financial risks. Join our experts for a comprehensive, data-driven breakdown of vulnerabilities, inflation dynamics, and macroeconomic risks defining the global economy today.  More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global Economic Outlook: April 2026 Picture This: What Middle East Supply Disruptions Mean for the Asia-Pacific Region Click here to hear our economists speak in Paris  Click here to hear our economists speak in Frankfurt For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Middle East war Global Executive Summary Credits: Host: Ken Wattret Guests: Ralf Wiegert, Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch, Diego Iscaro, Ben Herzon Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

As pivotal elections approach in the United States, Brazil, and Ethiopia, global businesses are navigating a rapidly evolving landscape of risks and opportunities. In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam is joined by S&P Global Market Intelligence experts John Raines (Head of North America Country Risk), Rafael Amiel (Head of Latin America Economics), and Jordan Anderson (Principal Analyst, Sub-Saharan Africa Country Risk) to examine how political outcomes through 2026 will influence government stability, economic policy, and geopolitical risk well into 2027 and beyond. Listeners will gain exclusive insights into potential market volatility as the panel explores the implications of the U.S. midterms, Brazil's presidential race, and Ethiopia's general elections. The discussion covers how shifting political dynamics may impact trade, supply chains, regulatory frameworks, and fiscal strategies—key considerations for multinational corporations and investors. Key topics include: Election outlooks in the U.S., Brazil, and Ethiopia and their impact on government stability Fiscal and monetary policy risks in Brazil and the U.S. Geopolitical and security risks in Ethiopia, including implications for regional stability and foreign investment Trade negotiations and the strategic role of commodities in Brazil's foreign policy Key indicators to monitor ahead of major elections for early risk detection More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Geopolitical Risk Brief: April 2026 Russia-Ukraine War: Three Conflict Development Pathways in the Next 12 Months Click here to subscribe to our Geopolitical and Economic Risk Monthly newsletter For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Global Executive Summary: Conflict-related economic fallout to continue Middle East war Currency outlooks Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: John Raines, Rafael Amiel, Jordan Anderson Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam is joined by S&P Global Market Intelligence economist Yan Hoong for an outlook on the electronics and semiconductor landscape through 2026—taken from a March 12 client webinar.  Yan explains why memory remains a big source of procurement and pricing anxiety, with tightness persisting in both advanced and conventional memory as suppliers shift capacity toward higher-end products. Yan unpacks how this constraint is already spilling into downstream categories like computers and communications equipment, and why price pressure could linger until new capacity meaningfully comes online in late 2027 to 2028.  The conversation also broadens beyond AI hype: while AI and data centers continue to pull demand (especially for high-bandwidth memory and advanced DRAM), Yan points to a gradual recovery in the broader electronics cycle, with mixed signals across end markets. Aerospace and defense and AI-led infrastructure stand out as growth areas, while consumer electronics and automotive remain softer, reinforced by slowing light vehicle production and divergent PMI new order trends.  Finally, Yan breaks down the January 2026 Section 232 tariff announcement, outlining how its pricing impact on US semiconductors may be limited due to narrow scope and broad exemptions for domestic use, with exposure more concentrated in re-export pathways. The episode closes by connecting pricing dynamics across regions—highlighting how memory-heavy supply chains are driving sharper producer price escalation in places like South Korea—while legacy components remain comparatively stable. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Electronics Supply Chain Outlook Click here for our special report on the impact of the Middle East war on commodity prices Click here to access our webinar on powering AI infrastructure in a volatile world Subscribe to our Supply Chain Essentials newsletter. For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Commodity Price Watch Monthly (full report) Purchasing Environment US tariff plans Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Yan Hoong Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In the first episode of season 6 of The Decisive podcast, S&P Global Market Intelligence's Jason Kaplan unpacks why 2026 is shaping up as a "risk-on" commodities environment—with steady but subdued global growth, rising volatility, and a deepening flight to safety that's pushing risk premiums across key markets. Jason, a senior economist in the Pricing and Purchasing team, connects macroeconomic signals to real-world pricing and trade flows, including how tariffs and regionalization are re-splitting markets after years of prices moving in lockstep. With a year of tariff data now visible, Jason details how Section 232-era aluminum tariffs and downstream copper-product tariffs are showing up in U.S. prices, collapsing imports, and widening regional differentials—with a caveat that the full cost burden for U.S. manufacturers may still be ahead. On the metals side, the episode dives into copper's structurally tight supply picture, the unique stress points in aluminum's midstream, and the U.S. Midwest premium, plus what's driving turning points in nickel, tin, and zinc.  Finally, recorded just as geopolitical tensions escalated, Jason discusses why the published forecast does not yet fully incorporate the Iranian conflict—and what could change as updated macro assumptions are released, including particular sensitivity for Gulf-linked aluminum supply risks. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Commodity Price Watch Monthly: March 2026 US resin shippers look to tap new customers amid Iran war Click here to subscribe to our Supply Chain Essentials newsletter. For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Commodity Price Watch Monthly (full report) Purchasing Environment US tariff plans Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Jason Kaplan Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In our last episode of Season 5, host Kristen Hallam sits down with Chris Rogers, S&P Global Market Intelligence's head of supply chain research, to analyze the moments when supply chains gets stressed—and the playbooks that keep goods moving anyway. From ongoing Red Sea security disruptions that forced ocean carriers to reroute around the Cape of Good Hope, reshaping transit times, capacity, and cost, to the more everyday shocks that ripple through transportation networks, this episode explores what resilience looks like when it's operational—not aspirational. Chris discusses how leading supply chain teams respond under pressure with creative routing, smarter inventory positioning, and faster decision cycles, and why resilience today is less about a single "backup plan" and more about building options: diversified sourcing, flexible modes, and contracts designed for uncertainty.  Along the way, we translate hard-won lessons into practical best practices—how to stress-test logistics networks, where agility creates the most value, and how resilient organizations balance service, cost, and risk without overcorrecting. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Picture This: India Plans New Smartphone Supply Chain Incentives Click here to subscribe to our Supply Chain Essentials newsletter. Click here to learn more about Breakbulk26 For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Supply Chain Edge: Tracing Middle East supply chain dependencies, investigating new corridors, tracking CHPIs Moving from price to shortages: Regional supply chain exposures to Middle East conflict US tariff plans Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Chris Rogers Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

As the global transition to clean energy, advanced technology, and artificial intelligence accelerates, the demand for critical minerals—including copper, lithium, and rare earth elements—is reshaping supply chains and intensifying geopolitical competition. In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam leads a discussion with S&P Global Market Intelligence experts to examine the evolving landscape of critical minerals. The panel explores how changing definitions, trade flows, and strategic stockpiling are influencing both businesses and governments worldwide. Senior Supply Chain Analyst Eric Oak discusses the complexities of critical mineral classifications and shifting global trade patterns. Senior Economist Jason Kaplan provides insight into the tightening supply-demand balance for copper, price volatility, and procurement strategies. Carla Selman, Head of Latin America Country Risk, analyzes Latin America's strategic role in the minerals sector and the impact of regional politics and alliances with the US and China. Economist David Vagenknecht offers a European perspective, focusing on the EU's ambitions for strategic autonomy, challenges in domestic processing, and the balance between environmental leadership and resource security. This episode delivers actionable insights for business leaders, investors, and policymakers on building resilient supply chains, anticipating market shifts, and navigating the geopolitical dynamics shaping the future of critical minerals.  More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Commodity Price Watch: March 2026 Global Economic Outlook: March 2026 Click here to subscribe to our Supply Chain Essentials newsletter. For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Commodity Price Watch Monthly (full report) Latin America's position in the critical minerals supply chain 2026: The age of agility Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Eric Oak, Jason Kaplan, Carla Selman, David Vagenknecht Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast from S&P Global Market Intelligence, host Paul Smith, Economics Director, is joined by fellow economists Sian Jones and Andrew Harker to unpack the role of Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMI) in tracking economic trends across more than 40 countries and multiple sectors. They explore how PMI data offers a timely alternative to official statistics, helping organizations monitor conditions in output, prices, inventories, and supply chains when events are moving quickly.   The discussion looks at how PMI data is used to understand the impact of major global developments—such as conflict in the Middle East—on shipping, energy costs, input prices, and supply shortages, including through specialized tools like comment trackers and commodity price indices. It also highlights how combining PMI with Comparative Industry Service (CIS) sector forecasts supports corporate teams in setting sales expectations, identifying investment opportunities, and aligning near-term signals with 20‑year outlooks for production, profits, sales, and capex.   Whether you're in strategy, risk, or operations, this episode shows how PMI and CIS insights can help you navigate uncertainty, assess resiliency, and make more informed decisions about demand, output, and supply chain performance.   More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: PMI research home page Click here to access our exclusive client case study on PMI and sector-specific data  Click here to subscribe to our Geopolitical and Economic Risk Monthly newsletter For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Comparative Industry Briefing Global Executive Summary: Choppy markets, resilient economies 2026: The age of agility Credits: Host: Paul Smith Guests: Andrew Harker, Sian Jones Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

The US labor market is no longer running hot — but it isn't freezing up, either. In this episode of The Decisive, S&P Global Market Intelligence economist Juan Turcios unpacks what a "softening" labor market really looks like in late 2025 and into 2026, and why the headline numbers don't tell the whole story. We dig into the sharp slowdown in payroll growth since the post-pandemic boom, the steady rise in the unemployment rate from its 2023 cyclical low, and the increasing concentration of job gains in a handful of sectors — especially healthcare. Juan also explores what's happening beneath the surface: a cooling appetite to hire, fewer workers quitting, and companies trying to get more output from the employees they already have. Our economist also examines the supply-side forces reshaping the workforce, including slower labor force growth tied to immigration policy shifts and the longer-run drag from an aging population — trends that are changing participation rates and influencing where jobs are being created. Finally, we look ahead to what this means for productivity, real wages, and the broader US growth outlook, while addressing a critical wild card: growing concerns about the reliability of monthly labor data as survey response rates decline. Listen now to gain insights that could impact your business decisions and strategy.  More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global Economic Outlook: February 2026 Picture This: Escalating Marine and Aviation Risks in the Middle East Click here to subscribe to our Geopolitical and Economic Risk Monthly newsletter. For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Global Executive Summary: Choppy markets, resilient economies US GDP tracking 2026: The age of agility Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Juan Turcios Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

A wave of landmark elections across Japan, Thailand, and Bangladesh is reshaping the political map of Asia—and creating new signals for investors, multinationals, and supply-chain decision-makers. In this episode, we break down what the results mean for regional security, economic strategy, and the business operating environment over the next 12–24 months. We start in Japan, where Prime Minister Sanai Takaichi's LDP delivers a sweeping lower-house win, strengthening policy stability while enabling more ambitious moves on defense spending, industrial policy, and potential constitutional change. The discussion explores how Tokyo's deeper alignment with the US on security could influence corporate risk planning, advanced manufacturing, and strategic technology investment. Next, we turn to Thailand, where Anutin Charnvirakul's Bhumjaithai Party emerges as the dominant force and is positioned to lead a coalition government. We examine the implications for border tensions with Cambodia, the role of the military and establishment politics, and how continued cost-of-living measures, debt relief, regulatory simplification, and public-private partnerships could reshape opportunities for SMEs, retailers, and large infrastructure players. Finally, in Bangladesh, a decisive BNP win and a reform agenda centered on deregulation and digitization raise questions about implementation capacity, investor confidence, and the direction of foreign policy. We close with what this could mean for key sectors including garments, energy, and pharmaceuticals, and how political dynamics with the opposition may affect the pace of reform. Listen now to learn how these geopolitical developments could impact your business.  More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Geopolitical Risk Brief: February 2026 Age of Agility: Key Themes Shaping APAC in 2026 Click here to subscribe to our Geopolitical and Economic Risk Monthly newsletter. For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Japan's political outlook 2026: The age of agility Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Jeffery McElroy, Aiman Othman, Smrithi Premjeet Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive, Ken Wattret, Vice President of Global Economics at S&P Global Market Intelligence, assesses the global macroeconomic landscape, highlighting that the world economy is proving more resilient than markets might suggest, even as volatility remains elevated.  Ken unpacks how geopolitical flashpoints and trade-policy uncertainty are rippling through financial and commodity markets—often with sharper price action than real-economy fallout so far—while underscoring that further disruptions, higher tariffs, or supply shocks could still dent global growth. The latest Purchasing Managers' Index data, which indicate continued expansion across manufacturing and services—supporting a constructive baseline for 2026—while highlighting key downside risks: asset-price corrections, rising sovereign yields, escalating trade frictions, and softening labor-market conditions that could undermine growth if volatility intensifies.  Listen now for a thought-provoking discussion of the factors at play in the global economic outlook. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Top 10 Economic Insights 2026 Global Economic Outlook: February 2026 The Age of Agility: Key Themes for 2026 For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Global Executive Summary: Choppy markets, resilient economies Policy rate prospects Inflation indications Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Ken Wattret Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode, taken from a Feb. 4 client webinar, host Kristen Hallam, along with experts John Raines, Jack Kennedy, and Jeffery McElroy, dive into the complexities of geopolitical volatility around the globe. As tensions rise over Iran's nuclear ambitions and the U.S. military strategy, the discussion explores potential pathways to escalation and their global implications. Discover how military and diplomatic maneuvers could impact critical sectors like energy and infrastructure, with disruptions potentially affecting global oil prices and economic stability. The conversation also extends to Latin America and the strategic interests of mainland China, examining how shifts in U.S. policy influence regional security and economic partnerships. Join us for an insightful analysis of the geopolitical landscape, offering valuable perspectives for businesses and policymakers navigating these turbulent times. Subscribe now to stay informed with The Decisive—your source for empowering decision-making in an uncertain world. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Age of Agility: Key Themes Shaping the MENA Region in 2026 Age of Agility: Key Themes Shaping Latin America in 2026 Age of Agility: Key Themes Shaping APAC in 2026 Click here to subscribe to our Geopolitical and Economic Risk Monthly newsletter. For S&P Global subscribers (login required): MENA regional conflict Japan's political outlook 2026: The age of agility Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: John Raines, Jack A. Kennedy, Jeffery McElroy Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

Agentic AI can move supply chains from reactive "triage" to smarter, faster decision-making. In this episode of The Decisive, S&P Global Market Intelligence's Brendan Neary joins host Kristen Hallam to unpack today's biggest supply-chain pain points—volatility, complexity, and constant disruption driven by forces like weather, policy shifts, and geopolitics—and why risk mitigation has become a daily mandate for procurement and supply-chain leaders. You'll hear how agentic AI—autonomous systems powered by large language models—can help teams connect disparate data, reason through scenarios, and take action with minimal supervision, turning raw information into practical workflows and recommendations. The conversation dives into data-driven procurement and sourcing, including how organizations can use intelligence to benchmark negotiations, identify alternate suppliers, and assess country and credit risk—while addressing the real-world deployment hurdles of data quality, interoperability, and making insights truly consumable for decision-makers. Listen now to gain insight into how agentic AI can transform supply chain management. Click here to register for TPM26, the world's largest container shipping conference.  More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Supply chain certainty, rather than price, will shape shipping in 2026 Age of Agility: Corporate Supply Chain Strategy Themes in 2026 Top 10 Economic Insights 2026 For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Egypt opens new semiautomated Red Sea terminal as Suez traffic grows Global trade outlook and supply chains 2026: The age of agility Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Brendan Neary Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

Stablecoins are designed to keep a steady value—by pegging to a reserve asset like the US dollar—while delivering the speed and lower cost of blockchain-based payments. In this episode of The Decisive, S&P Global Market Intelligence economist Robert Matthee unpacks how stablecoins work, why their market has surged to an estimated $300 billion, and what's driving forecasts that the space could expand dramatically in the coming years. Robert and host Kristen hallam dig into what's powering adoption: demand for cheaper cross-border transfers, growing use by major issuers, and the impact of clearer regulation—including the US GENIUS Act—on mainstream acceptance. We also look at stablecoins through the lens of emerging markets, especially sub-Saharan Africa, where FX shortages, inflation, and friction-filled payment rails have made "digital hard currency" an appealing alternative for households and businesses. The episode also explores the tradeoffs—how widespread stablecoin use could accelerate currency substitution, weaken domestic monetary policy, and pressure local banks by pulling deposits out of the traditional system. Finally, we close with what could come next—from continued growth in dollar-backed coins to new experiments, including stablecoins backed by assets like gold. Listen now to gain insights on the future of stablecoin adoption. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Stablecoins Explained: A Comprehensive FAQ Guide to Digital Currency Stability Age of Agility: Key Themes Shaping the Sub-Saharan Africa Region in 2026 Top 10 Economic Insights 2026 For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Sub-Saharan Africa: FX shortages likely to accelerate US stablecoin adoption Banking risk 2025 highlights and 2026 outlook Fiscal fragilities: Dealing with high debt Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Robert Matthee Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

The US Federal Reserve is always in the spotlight, and that spotlight is brighter than ever in 2026. In this episode of The Decisive, economist Lawrence Nelson, our resident Fed expert at S&P Global Market Intelligence, breaks down why the central bank is widely expected to keep interest rates steady at its January meeting, and what "sticky" inflation could mean for the first part of the year. We also examine the leadership uncertainty ahead of Jerome Powell's term as Fed chair ending in May, including how a US Justice Department investigation could complicate the transition—without necessarily changing the Fed's data-driven approach to monetary policy.  The episode offers a quick refresher on the Fed's dual mandate, the key indicators policymakers watch, and how disruptions—such as last year's government shutdown—can impact the data flow the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) relies on when setting rates. Listen now to learn more about what our Fed expert is watching in January and beyond, and gain insights to guide your business decisions in the year ahead.  More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Listen: The Decisive | Episode 13 - How US Monetary Policy Works Top 10 Economic Insights 2026 The Age of Agility: Key Themes for 2026 For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Weekly Economic Commentary Inflation indications Bubble trouble: Lessons from the dotcom days Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Lawrence Nelson Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

As global trade faces unprecedented disruption, shippers must rethink everything from cost containment to risk management. In this episode of the Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam sits down with Peter Tirschwell, Vice President for Maritime & Trade at S&P Global Market Intelligence and TPM Conference founder, to break down the theme of TPM26: "Taking Costs Out, Putting Value In." Together, they explore the far-reaching impacts of U.S. tariff policies, evolving supply chain strategies, and the role of technology in managing costs. Peter shares vital insights on balancing freight rates with service reliability, current best practices for shippers, and what to expect from this year's TPM Conference—including highlights on macroeconomic trends, industry consolidation, and the current dynamics of global shipping. Whether you're a shipper, carrier, supply chain manager, or simply curious about the forces shaping global trade, this episode will help you navigate industry trends and challenges. Tune in for an inside look at the biggest topics captivating the container shipping industry in 2026. Click here to register for TPM26, the world's largest container shipping conference.  More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Asia-Europe ocean carriers add capacity as trade enters peak shipping period Geopolitical Risk Brief: December 2025 Top 10 Economic Insights 2026 For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Egypt opens new semiautomated Red Sea terminal as Suez traffic grows Global trade outlook and supply chains 2026: The age of agility Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Peter Tirschwell Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam engages in an insightful discussion with Ken Wattret, Vice President of Global Economics at S&P Global Market Intelligence, about the critical yet often overlooked topic of public debt. Kristen and Ken explore the significant rise in public sector debt-to-GDP ratios since the mid-2000s, driven by adverse economic shocks, including the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. Ken explains the persistent challenges of high government budget deficits, the political reluctance to implement fiscal changes, and the implications of rising sovereign yields on economic growth. Ken discusses how these fiscal fragilities impact businesses and consumers, the potential for crowding out private sector investment, and the risks of triggering another economic shock. Listen now for a thought-provoking conversation that highlights the complexities of fiscal policy in today's economic landscape. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: The Age of Agility: Key Themes for 2026 Top 10 Economic Insights 2026 Fiscal fragilities: Dealing with high debt For S&P Global subscribers (login required): Fiscal fragilities: Dealing with high debt 2026: The age of agility Inflation indications Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Ken Wattret Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In our final episode of 2025, host Kristen Hallam is joined by S&P Global Market Intelligence economists Ken Wattret, Ben Herzon, Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch, and Thea Fourie to unveil the top 10 economic insights shaping the outlook for 2026. Discover how moderating inflation, shifting fiscal policies, and global trade dynamics are creating a delicate balance of tailwinds and headwinds across major economies. From the US avoiding recession and Western Europe's subdued growth, to China's pivot to domestic demand and India's resilience amid tariffs, this episode delivers actionable perspectives on emerging trends, risks, and opportunities. Understand the potential impact of artificial intelligence, evolving monetary policies, currency shifts, and the state of sovereign debt—essential listening for anyone navigating the year ahead. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Top 10 Economic Insights 2026 The Age of Agility: Key Themes for 2026 Global Economic Outlook: November 2025 For S&P Global subscribers (login required): 2026: The age of agility Inflation indications Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Ken Wattret, Ben Herzon, Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch, Thea Fourie Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam dives into the intricacies of U.S. consumer spending as the holiday season approaches. Joined by Michael Zdinak, Ph.D., a director in S&P Global's U.S. economics team, Kristen explores the current economic landscape following a recent government shutdown and its impact on vital economic data. Kristen and Michael discuss the resilience of consumer spending—despite low consumer sentiment—highlighting the factors driving spending behaviors among different income groups. They analyze retail sales trends, the significance of Black Friday, and the growing share of online shopping in holiday sales. Listeners will gain insights into inflation's effects on purchasing power and the expected growth in holiday sales, alongside a nuanced understanding of how consumers are navigating their financial realities this season. Tune in for a comprehensive overview of the U.S. economy as we head into the holidays. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: The Age of Agility: Key Themes for 2026 Global Economic Outlook: November 2025 Widening China import-export imbalance soaking up container capacity For S&P Global subscribers (login required): 2026: The age of agility Inflation indications Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Michael Zdinak Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun

In this episode of the Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam engages with economists from S&P Global Market Intelligence to unpack the U.S. economic outlook for 2026. The discussion explores key themes influencing growth, including the economic impact of artificial intelligence, evolving labor market dynamics, and the ongoing effects of tariffs on inflation and investment. Listeners will gain insights into the team's optimistic projections for 2026, driven by reduced policy uncertainty and consumer spending bolstered by recent tax cuts. The economists also address potential headwinds to growth, such as high borrowing costs and the implications of a government shutdown on economic performance. As the Federal Reserve navigates these challenges, the discussion explores monetary policy decisions, including expectations for rate cuts and the anticipated adjustments in response to inflationary pressures. With expert analysis and forward-looking perspectives, this episode equips listeners with the knowledge to make informed decisions in a complex economic landscape. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: The Age of Agility: Key Themes for 2026 Global Economic Outlook: November 2025 Stablecoins Explained: A Comprehensive FAQ Guide to Digital Currency Stability For S&P Global subscribers (login required): 2026: The age of agility Inflation indications US tariff plans Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Ben Herzon, Patrick Newport, Michael Zdinak, Lawrence Nelson Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

If 2025 was a year of seismic shifts, 2026 will be a year of recalibration to both the aftershocks and the new disruptions we expect to trade patterns, the economy and the geopolitical landscape. In this episode of the Decisive podcast, we set out our key strategic themes for 2026—adapting to trade realities, shaky economic foundations and shifting asymmetric power in geopolitics. Experts from our multidisciplinary research team unpack the ongoing economic uncertainties, evolving trade policies, and geopolitical dynamics we expect to characterize the year ahead.  Listeners will gain an understanding of the potential impacts of the US midterm elections, the renegotiation of trade agreements, and the strategic competition between major powers, particularly the US and mainland China. The panel highlights the significance of critical minerals and AI technology as national security assets, alongside the challenges posed by financial market volatility and supply chain resilience. As the world faces a recalibration of trade relationships and economic strategies, this episode provides valuable insights for navigating the complexities of a rapidly changing world. Tune in to stay informed and empowered in your decision-making process. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: The Age of Agility: Key Themes for 2026 Global Economic Outlook: November 2025 Transshipment: Outlook and implications for ASEAN For S&P Global subscribers (login required): 2026: The age of agility Inflation indications Red Sea maritime risks Credits: Host: Natznet Tesfay Guests: Ken Wattret, Aries Poon, Carla Selman Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

Host Paul Smith is joined by senior economists Pollyanna de Lima and Andrew Harker to explore the latest trends in Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMI) and their implications for the global economy. They discuss the resilience of global economic growth in 2025 in the face of challenges such as low business confidence, tariffs, and trade uncertainties. The team analyzes the mixed performance across Latin America, with notable expansions in Colombia contrasted by contractions in Brazil and Mexico. As they shift focus to the future, they explore the findings of the recent Global Business Outlook surveys, highlighting subdued plans for employment and investment amidst geopolitical uncertainties. The conversation also touches on the rising investment in artificial intelligence (AI) across various sectors, examining how firms are leveraging AI for efficiency, recruitment, and customer acquisition while facing challenges like implementation difficulties and accuracy concerns. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Business investment spending outlook gloomiest since pandemic Broad-based deterioration in trade in October Global Economic Outlook: October 2025 For S&P Global subscribers (login required): US tariff plans Trends in the World Economy and Trade October 2025 Credits: Host: Paul Smith Guests: Andrew Harker, Pollyanna De Lima Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode, our experts answer your most frequently asked questions about the global economy, analyzing key trends as we approach 2026.  Host Ken Wattret, vice president of global economics at S&P Global Market Intelligence, leads a panel representing the US, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Latin America to provide a glimpse into our expectations for the rest of 2025 and beyond. From the optimistic outlook for U.S. GDP growth, driven by recent tax cuts and government spending, to the challenges posed by high inflation and tariffs, we unpack the factors shaping the economic landscape. The global economy FAQ discussion also explores the impact of artificial intelligence on productivity and GDP, as well as the economic resilience of the Asia-Pacific region amidst slowing exports. We take a closer look at the fiscal situations in France and the UK, highlighting the difficulties of achieving sustainable public finances, and examine the mixed growth prospects in India following new U.S. tariffs. The episode wraps up with insights on the evolving dynamics of the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement and the implications of Brazil's upcoming elections on fiscal targets. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis that empowers confident decision-making in an era of uncertainty. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global Economic Outlook: October 2025 Economic Risks of a Prolonged US Government Shutdown Transshipment: Outlook and implications for ASEAN For S&P Global subscribers (login required): US tariff plans Trends in the World Economy and Trade October 2025 Credits: Host: Ken Wattret Guests: Ben Herzon, Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch, Diego Iscaro, Rafael Amiel Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

The shipping industry has faced a seismic shift following the U.S. Trade Representative's finalization of port fees targeting Chinese-built, operated and owned vessels. Such changes in trade and tariff policy are reshaping order books for bulk carriers and specialized cargo vessels and the competitive landscape of Asian shipbuilding. Ongoing physical disruptions are affecting global shipping routes, and shipowners are balancing the urgent need for fleet renewal with the long-term imperative of adhering to tightening environmental regulations. To unpack these developments, host Kristen Hallam is joined by Ashima Tyagi and Keyla Goodno from S&P Global Market Intelligence. Listen now for an insightful analysis of the future of shipbuilding and the broader implications for global supply chains. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Commodity Price Watch: October 2025 Picture This: IMO Postpones Net-Zero Commitments as Maritime Emissions Rise LNG increasingly alternative fuel of choice for container lines For S&P Global subscribers (login required): US tariff plans Commodity Price Watch Report: Asia Trends in the World Economy and Trade October 2025 Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Ashima Tyagi, Keyla Goodno Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Feranmi Adeoshun Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

As we approach the end of 2025, companies are starting to move beyond calculating tariff rates and to think develop long-term strategies for their supply chains. Reshoring — moving some or all of your sourcing from one region or territory to another — has reemerged as a strategic option.  S&P Global Market Intelligence Head of Supply Chain Research Chris Rogers joins host Kristen Hallam to discuss reshoring, focusing on two key Southeast Asian markets: Indonesia and Malaysia. They explore the current global supply chain positions of both countries, highlighting Indonesia's resource-driven economy and Malaysia's established dominance in electronics manufacturing. Chris outlines the potential for Indonesia to emerge as a reshoring center, emphasizing its political stability, low labor costs, and growing domestic market. He also addresses the challenges Indonesia faces, such as workforce education and wage inflation pressures. Conversely, Malaysia's historical success in electronics is examined, along with the need for the country to defend its position against rising competition from lower-cost neighbors. Listeners will gain valuable insights into the strategic considerations for businesses looking to reshore operations, the impact of global trade policies, and the future trends that may shape the supply chains of both Indonesia and Malaysia over the next five years. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis that goes beyond tariffs and U.S. policy to uncover the broader opportunities in global trade. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: US Supply Chain Outlook Q4 2025: Backing Out of Front-Loading Picture This: Company Sentiment on Tariffs Turns More Negative in Earnings Calls Lower US imports tightening truck capacity at key inland hubs More content on Global Trade & Supply Chains For S&P Global subscribers (login required): US tariff plans  Recession risks Japan's political and trade outlook Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Chris Rogers Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of the Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam leads a compelling discussion on the rising political volatility across various regions, including Asia Pacific, Europe, and Latin America. Joined by experts Carla Selman, Bibianna Norek, and Jeffery McElroy, the panel explores the factors driving instability in countries like Japan, Peru, Argentina, France, and the UK. Listeners will gain insights into the implications of recent leadership changes, the impact of civil unrest, and the role of immigration policies in shaping political landscapes. The experts also discuss the upcoming elections in Latin America and their potential to influence political dynamics, as well as the delicate balance countries must maintain between their relationships with the US and mainland China. With a focus on key indicators of political stability, the episode provides a comprehensive analysis of how domestic and global pressures are reshaping governance and policy-making.  More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Country Risk Month Ahead: October 2025 Global Economic Outlook: October 2025 Economic Risks of a Prolonged US Government Shutdown Credits: Hosts: Kristen Hallam Guests: Carla Selman, Bibianna Norek, Jeffery McElroy Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam engages in an insightful discussion with Ben Herzon, co-head of US Economics at S&P Global Market Intelligence. They explore the complexities of economic forecasting in turbulent times, focusing on how to differentiate between signal and noise in economic data. Ben shares his expertise on the significance of the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) as a leading indicator for economic trends, particularly its role in predicting industrial production and GDP. The conversation also explores the impact of tariffs on inflation and economic growth, highlighting the resilience of the US economy amid recent challenges. Ben discusses the factors contributing to the growth outlook, including recent budget legislation, federal spending, and inventory management by businesses. Additionally, they address the risks to economic growth, such as potential increases in tariffs, inflation surprises, and the implications of a government shutdown. The episode concludes with a look at how scenario analysis is used to navigate uncertainties in economic forecasting, providing listeners with a comprehensive understanding of the current economic landscape. Tune in for a deep dive into the dynamics shaping the US economy and the tools used to forecast its future. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global Economic Outlook: September 2025 Picture This: Company Sentiment on Tariffs Turns More Negative in Earnings Calls The US Home Improvement Market: Trends and Challenges Ahead Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Ben Herzon Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this insightful episode of The Decisive, host Kristen Hallam leads a comprehensive discussion on the current landscape of emerging markets, exploring the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead as we approach 2026. Joined by a panel of experts from S&P Global Market Intelligence, the conversation probes the economic resilience of developed versus emerging markets, the impact of trade dynamics and tariffs, and the role of technological advancements in shaping growth trajectories. Listeners will gain valuable insights from this episode, which is taken from our Sept. 10 client webinar. Learn about the performance of key emerging economies, including India, as well as the implications of geopolitical shifts on global supply chains. The panel, featuring Thea Fourie, Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch, and Shuchita Shukla, also highlights investment opportunities in sectors such as digital infrastructure, green energy, and critical minerals, while addressing the effects of U.S. tariffs and regional reshoring strategies. As the episode unfolds, the experts discuss the importance of innovation and technology adoption, particularly in the Asia Pacific region, and examine how emerging markets can leverage these trends for sustainable growth. Tune in for a thought-provoking exploration of the evolving economic landscape and what it means for businesses and investors in the coming years.   More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global Economic Outlook: September 2025 Picture This: Mainland China Launches Review of US Semiconductor Exports Country Risk Month Ahead: October 2025 Credits: Hosts: Kristen Hallam Guests: Thea Fourie, Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch, Shuchita Shukla Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of the Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam engages with S&P Global Market Intelligence experts Jack A. Kennedy and Sascha Ostanina to explore the evolving military strategies in the Middle East North Africa (MENA) region and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict. They discuss the shift from conventional warfare to more interventionist and attritional strategies, the role of technology in modern conflict, and the implications for regional and global security. The conversation highlights the interconnectedness of geopolitical developments, the impact on alliances, and the importance of data-driven analysis in navigating current uncertainties. Tune in for insights that empower confident decision-making in an increasingly complex world. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Country Risk Month Ahead: September 2025 Red Sea 'revival' taking place as regional carriers lead the way Picture This: Houthis Renew Vessel Attacks, Making Shipping Route Changes Unlikely Credits: Hosts: Kristen Hallam Guests: Jack A. Kennedy, Sascha Ostanina Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive podcast, host Kristen Hallam introduces senior economist Maxwell Clarke, who explores the world of machinery and equipment pricing amidst the evolving landscape of tariffs and demand fluctuations. Max takes us into the world of machinery and equipment pricing amid the evolving landscape of tariffs and demand fluctuations. He explores how the recent tariff policies, particularly in the U.S., are creating upward price pressures on machinery and equipment, while also examining the broader implications for global markets. Max unpacks the weak demand outlook that is limiting further price escalation and the significant challenges posed by supply disruptions that have historically driven prices higher. Additionally, we'll take a closer look at specific categories, such as electrical machinery and construction equipment, and discuss the risks associated with parts categories that have seen substantial price increases. As we navigate through these complex dynamics, Max discusses the uncertainty surrounding future tariff policies and their impact on business certainty. Join us as we analyze these key factors shaping the machinery market and provide insights into what lies ahead for businesses and consumers alike. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Steel Market: Trends and Projections for 2025 and Beyond Spice Trade Heats Up Globally Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Maxwell Clarke Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast from S&P Global Market Intelligence, host Andrew Harker, alongside economists David Owen and Usamah Bhatti, parses the latest findings from the Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMIs) across various regions. The discussion highlights a positive trend in global business activity for August 2025, with strong growth in both the services and manufacturing sectors. The panelists also address challenges such as export weaknesses and subdued business confidence, particularly influenced by US tariffs. Focusing on the Middle East and North Africa, David provides insights into the slowdown in demand momentum in the UAE, attributed to regional tensions and competitive pressures. Usamah shares updates on the newly launched Pakistan Manufacturing PMI, noting a gradual slowdown in operating conditions and the impact of recent flooding on the manufacturing sector. Listeners will gain valuable perspectives on economic trends, sector-specific performances, and the implications of tariff policies on global trade. Tune in for an informative session that offers a comprehensive overview of the current economic landscape as we approach the end of 2025. Don't forget to subscribe for more insights and analysis from The Decisive Podcast! More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global Economic Outlook: August 2025 Mixed export performance seen across goods producers in Asia Global PMI at 14-month high in August, but future growth expectations fall further Credits: Host: Andrew Harker Guests: Usamah Bhatti, David Owen Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam is joined by Ken Wattret, Vice President of Global Economics at S&P Global Market Intelligence, to explore the pressing issue of inflation in today's economic landscape. As economies worldwide grapple with the aftermath of various shocks—including the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical conflicts—rising prices remain a critical concern for consumers, businesses, and policymakers alike. Speaking in a June interview, Ken provides an insightful overview of current global inflation trends, highlighting key factors driving these changes, such as supply chain disruptions, commodity prices, and trade policies. The discussion delves into the distinctions between core and headline inflation, emphasizing the importance of monitoring both to understand underlying inflation dynamics. Listeners will gain valuable insights into how recent trade policies, particularly tariffs, are influencing inflation rates and consumer behavior in the U.S. and beyond. Ken also discusses the implications of fluctuating commodity prices and how they affect inflation forecasts, household real income, and consumer spending. As the conversation unfolds, Kristen and Ken examine the potential responses of central banks to evolving inflation trends and the broader economic implications for businesses and consumers. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis that empowers you to navigate the complexities of inflation in today's uncertain economic environment. Don't forget to subscribe for more insights and analysis from The Decisive Podcast! More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global Economic Outlook: August 2025 Picture This: US Market for Single-Family Homes Is Struggling Banking Risk Monthly Outlook: August 2025 Credits: Hosts: Kristen Hallam Guests: Ken Wattret Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive podcast, host Kristen Hallam engages with Jeremy Domballe, Product Director of Maritime Intelligence and Risk, to explore the complex world of deceptive shipping practices as highlighted in the latest Maritime State of Play report. The discussion explores the rise of "zombie ships"—vessels that assume the identities of decommissioned ships—and the technological vulnerabilities that facilitate such deceptions. Listeners will learn how geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding sanctions on oil from countries like Russia, Iran and Venezuela, drive these deceptive tactics and complicate compliance efforts for regulatory bodies. Jeremy shares compelling case studies, illustrating the intricate maneuvers of vessels operating in regions such as the Caribbean and Malaysian waters. With a focus on the challenges faced by regulatory authorities in validating maritime data, this episode underscores the importance of vigilance and robust intelligence in combating increasingly sophisticated deceptive practices. Tune in for a thought-provoking conversation that sheds light on the evolving landscape of maritime compliance and risk. Links to the full report and additional resources on fraudulent flags are provided in the episode description for those interested in further exploration. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Maritime State of Play report Fraudulent flags: Growing challenge for maritime safety Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Hosts: Kristen Hallam Guest: Jeremy Domballe Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam covers the upcoming Inland Distribution Conference, also known as Inland25, scheduled to take place in Chicago starting September 29th. Joined by Eric Johnson, Senior Editor at the Journal of Commerce from S&P Global, they explore the significance of this event for shippers, logistics companies, and other stakeholders in the industry. The conversation highlights the conference's theme, "Searching for Value Amid Uncertainty," reflecting the current economic climate and its impact on the logistics sector. Eric shares insights on navigating complexities in cross-border logistics between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, especially in light of recent trade policy changes and the impending renegotiation of the USMCA agreement. Listeners will also gain valuable perspectives on how technology is transforming the logistics landscape, including discussions on appointment scheduling, automation, and the role of data in decision-making. As they look ahead to the challenges and opportunities in the freight market, Eric emphasizes the importance of building resilient teams in an increasingly complex environment. Whether you're a seasoned industry professional or new to logistics, this episode offers essential insights and a preview of what to expect at Inland25. Don't miss the opportunity to learn about the latest trends and strategies that can drive business value in today's uncertain landscape. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Register for the Inland Distribution conference Toll of US tariffs begins to emerge on unsettled trans-Pacific Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Eric Johnson Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, guest host Tommy McCartin, Principal Economist on the Pricing and Purchasing team, dives deep into the implications of the modified country-specific tariffs imposed by the U.S. on ASEAN economies. Joined by expert guests Ashima Tyagi, Economics Associate Director in Singapore, and Yan Hoong, Lead Electronics Economist in Kuala Lumpur, the discussion explores how these tariffs are reshaping trade dynamics within the ASEAN region and the global electronics supply chain. Listeners will gain insights into how ASEAN countries are responding to the U.S. tariffs, the current state of the electronics sector, and the strategies firms can adopt to build resilience in their supply chains. The episode also addresses the complexities of the global semiconductor market, highlighting demand shifts and pricing pressures that are influencing the future of electronics manufacturing. As the region grapples with new trade realities, the podcast offers a comprehensive analysis of the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead for ASEAN economies and their pivotal roles in global trade networks. Tune in for valuable insights that empower confident decision-making in a rapidly changing landscape. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Picture This: Raw materials and some fabricated products prices surge under 50% Section 232 tariff scenario Weekly Pricing Pulse: MPI Increases for Third Consecutive Week Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Hosts: Tommy McCartin Guests: Ashima Tyagi, Yan Hoong Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam introduces a team of S&P Global economists to discuss the latest analysis and predictions for the global economy as we move into the latter half of 2025. Taken from a recent webinar, the discussion delves into key macroeconomic themes, including the ongoing uncertainty surrounding trade policies, divergent inflation dynamics, and the impact of fiscal sustainability on major economies. Listeners will gain valuable insights into the expected moderation of U.S. growth, the struggles of Europe's largest economies, and the resilience of mainland China's economy. The episode highlights the significant role tariffs play in shaping inflation and economic slowdown, as well as the varying monetary policies between the U.S. and Europe. Join us as we explore the intricate connections between geopolitical developments, trade dynamics, and economic performance in various regions, all while addressing the looming risks and opportunities that lie ahead. Whether you're a seasoned economist or just curious about the state of the global economy, this episode provides essential analysis to empower confident decision-making. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global economic outlook: July 2025 US tariffs: Impact on the US construction industry Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Hosts: Kristen Hallam, Ken Wattret Guests: Ben Herzon, Hanna Luchnikava-Schorsch, Diego Iscaro Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, S&P Global Market Intelligence's team of Purchasing Managers' Index economists decodes inflation, highlighting the stark differences between the US and Eurozone.  Join host Paul Smith and fellow economists Andrew Harker and Phil Smith as they explore the underlying factors driving these trends, including tariffs and exchange rate movements. The team analyzes the latest PMI numbers from Germany and discuss how inflation expectations shape price pressures and client behavior, using Ghana as a compelling case study. The economists also look for clues into what firms worldwide are planning for the upcoming year in our Business Outlook data. The discussion features special questions regarding the impact of tariffs, focusing on Germany, the US, and Ireland, where these effects are expected to be significant. As they wrap up, they consider investment and employment strategies amid an uncertain economic landscape. Tune in for a comprehensive look at the forces shaping our global economy and what they mean for businesses moving forward. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Strong currency appreciation opens door to interest rate cuts in Ghana Global economic outlook: June 2025 Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Host: Paul Smith Guests: Andrew Harker, Phil Smith Produced By: Sophie Carr Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam is joined by S&P Global Market Intelligence experts Chris Rogers and John Raines to unpack the latest developments in U.S. tariffs and trade policy as of July 9. With the U.S. administration's approach to leveraging tariffs as a negotiation tool, the experts assess recent agreements with countries like Vietnam, the U.K., and China, and the complexities surrounding ongoing negotiations. The team also examines the implications of transshipment practices, particularly in Southeast Asia, and the legal challenges currently facing tariff implementations. As the administration aims to revitalize U.S. manufacturing while navigating intricate international relationships, this episode provides critical insights into the future of trade relations and the potential economic impacts on both domestic and global markets. Listen now to an engaging discussion of the evolving landscape of tariffs and trade.  More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Tariff Uncertainty Is Likely to Continue Through Late 2025 Implications of the India-UK Free-Trade Agreement Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Chris Rogers, John Raines Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Kristen Hallam Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

How do you identify which markets present the best opportunity for growth, and which are especially vulnerable to fluctuating trade and tariff policies? In this episode of The Decisive podcast, host Kristen Hallam uncovers the origin stories behind two tools created to address these key questions: the Strategic Opportunity Index (SOI) and the Trade and Tariff Vulnerability Index (TTV). Joining Kristen for this discussion are expert guests Cassandra Pagan, Justin Valentino, and Natasha McSwiggan.  The discussion begins with an exploration of the SOI, designed to provide clarity in a complex geopolitical and trade landscape by evaluating market attractiveness through five key pillars: market potential, policy favorability, institutional quality, logistics efficiency, and resource availability. The guests share insights on how momentum scoring within the SOI helps identify expanding market opportunities, emphasizing the importance of understanding market trajectories rather than just current standings. The conversation also highlights the origin stories behind both indices, showcasing the collaborative efforts of the team to create tools that can guide strategic decision-making for businesses navigating global trade dynamics. The experts discuss how the TTV assesses the vulnerability of economies to tariffs, providing valuable insights for businesses to adapt and strategize in the face of evolving U.S. trade policies. Listeners will gain a deeper understanding of how these indices can inform economic decisions, identify potential risks, and uncover opportunities in the global marketplace. Join us for an engaging discussion that combines analytical rigor with practical applications, perfect for anyone interested in the intersection of economics and global trade. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: The Strategic Opportunity Index Uncertain US Tariff Policy Raises Risks for Trading Partners Country Risk Month Ahead: July 2025 Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Cassandra Pagan, Justin Valentino, Natasha McSwiggan Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam is joined by analysts Jacob Lees Weiss and Kevjn Lim to explore the intricate and rapidly shifting risk landscape in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.  Recorded before significant military operations in Iran, the discussion explores nuclear negotiations between the US and Iran, the implications of potential sanctions, and the dynamics of Israeli military strategy. The episode highlights key geopolitical tensions, including the evolving relationship between the US and Israel and the impact of these factors on the Israel-Hamas conflict. Listeners will gain insights into the challenges facing the Syrian Transitional Government and the role of foreign support in stabilizing the region. With a focus on the potential for both conflict and cooperation, this episode provides a comprehensive overview of the MENA region's current state and future outlook, making it essential listening for anyone interested in international relations, economics, and market intelligence. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Picture This: Israel-Iran Conflict Leads to Sharp Shock in Global Growth Maritime shadow fleet − Formation, operation and continuing risk for sanctions compliance teams in 2025 Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Kevjn Lim, Jacob Lees Weiss Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam is joined by Max Janthur, the product specialist for Port Performance, to delve into the critical issue of congestion at the world's ports. As global trade continues to evolve, understanding the role of ports becomes increasingly vital for economies and supply chains. Max shares insights from the latest Port Performance report, highlighting the significant risks and impacts of port congestion, including increased operational costs, supply chain disruptions, and environmental concerns. The discussion explores key metrics related to port efficiency, such as vessel turnaround times and berth productivity, and how these factors influence the broader economic landscape. Listeners will gain a deeper understanding of the challenges ports face and the importance of monitoring trends to mitigate disruptions. Max emphasizes that port congestion remains a real risk for global trade, making this conversation essential for government officials, carriers, port operators, and supply chain strategists alike. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Global Port Congestion Analysis − Port Performance Program Robust demand emerges on Asia-Europe ocean trade as peak season begins Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Max Janthur Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of the Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam dives deep into the complex world of the maritime shadow fleet, exploring its emergence and evolution since the introduction of the oil price cap on December 5, 2022. Joined by Ines Nastali, Senior Supply Chain Analyst at S&P Global Market Intelligence, the discussion covers how these oil tankers operate outside traditional regulatory frameworks, often evading sanctions imposed by various governments. Listeners will gain insights into the size and characteristics of the shadow fleet, which includes an estimated 940 tankers, many of which are older vessels that may not meet modern safety standards. Ines shares key statistics, including the significant increase in shadow fleet activity and the sophisticated tactics employed by these vessels to circumvent sanctions, such as turning off AIS signals and engaging in ship-to-ship transfers. The episode also highlights recent enforcement actions taken against shadow fleet vessels, particularly in the Baltic Sea, and discusses the environmental and safety concerns associated with these aging ships. Tune in to understand the implications of the shadow fleet on global oil trade and the evolving landscape of maritime compliance. Whether you're a maritime professional, a supply chain analyst, or simply curious about the intricacies of global oil transportation, this episode offers valuable insights and a comprehensive overview of a pressing issue in today's geopolitical climate. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Maritime shadow fleet − Formation, operation and continuing risk for sanctions compliance teams in 2025 Fraudulent flags: Growing challenge for maritime safety The New Tariff Reality: Preparing for Disruption, Defending Your Margins Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Ines Nastali Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive, we're sharing highlights from our US macroeconomic webinar on May 20, featuring expert commentary from our economics team at S&P Global Market Intelligence. We dive deep into the forecast for the US economy, which faces a slowdown. Projected growth is expected to average just 0.8% per quarter in 2025, raising questions about the potential for a recession. We explain the anatomy of a recession, walking through recent examples, and share our outlook.  Our economists also discuss the implications of elevated tariffs, which are contributing to inflationary pressures and reshaping business investment decisions. The Federal Reserve's cautious approach amid policy uncertainty is also explored, with expectations for a pause in rate adjustments until late 2026. Listeners will gain valuable perspectives on the rising federal budget deficit, projected to increase from 6% to 7% over the next decade, and its effects on the US dollar, which is anticipated to weaken in the coming years. Join us for this informative episode as we unpack these critical economic trends and equip you with the knowledge to navigate the evolving landscape. Stay curious and stay informed with The Decisive Podcast. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Recession Risks Global Economic Outlook: May 2025 Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Host: Alyssa Grzelak Guests: Juan Turcios, Ben Herzon, Pat Newport, Mike Konidaris Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam explores the complex landscape of tariffs under the current administration, focusing on the implications of Section 232 reviews. Joined by experts Chris Rogers and John Anton, the conversation covers the nuances of industry-specific tariffs that impact a wide range of sectors, from steel and aluminum to electronics and pharmaceuticals. Listeners will gain insights into the ongoing tariff negotiations, the potential ramifications for supply chains, and the strategic decisions companies must make in response to these economic shifts. With a keen eye on upcoming deadlines, including the pivotal date of July 9th, this episode provides a comprehensive overview of how tariffs could reshape market dynamics and influence pricing strategies across various industries. Tune in to stay informed and prepared for the changes ahead in the world of trade. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: IEEPA Tariffs on Hold Following Court Ruling Delayed Increase in US Tariffs on EU Indicates Preference for Negotiated Solution Trade and tariffs insights and news Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Chris Rogers, John Anton Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive podcast, experts from S&P Global Market Intelligence explore the complexities of global trade negotiations and their profound impact on geopolitical relationships. The panel discusses the objectives behind U.S. trade policy, including the implementation of tariffs as negotiation tools and their implications for job markets and elections. Gain a comprehensive understanding of how countries in Southeast Asia and members of the European Union are navigating the dynamic trade environment, striving to maintain economic growth while advocating for reform in the global trade system. The episode also highlights the strategic importance of trade relationships for Latin American countries, particularly Mexico, as they balance ties with the U.S. and China amid evolving tariff discussions. Join us for an engaging exploration of how current tariff negotiations are reshaping international relations and vice versa.  More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Country Risk Month Ahead: May 2025 Trade and tariffs insights and news Power Plays in 2025: Download the full report Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: John Raines, Anton Alifandi, Dijedon Imeri, Jose Enrique Sevilla-Macip Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, S&P Global Market Intelligence's Paul Smith is joined by fellow economists Andrew Harker and Annabel Fiddes to explore the latest findings from the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data. The discussion focuses on the significant impact of recent tariff announcements on the global economy, with a particular emphasis on Asia. Listeners will gain insights into the current state of global goods trade, which has seen a notable decline in manufacturing new export orders—the largest month-on-month reduction since August 2023. The episode also explores the mixed manufacturing output trends across Asia, highlighting strong performances in some regions alongside declines in others, particularly due to shifting US trade policies. Additionally, the podcast addresses the labor market trends in the UK, examining how changes in payroll costs and national insurance rates have affected hiring practices and candidate availability. With global business confidence at a two-and-a-half-year low, this episode provides a comprehensive overview of the economic landscape, offering valuable insights for policymakers and industry professionals alike. Listen now to stay informed on the latest economic developments and understand how high-frequency data can guide decision-making in uncertain times. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Goods producers in Asia signal sharp loss of export momentum Trade and tariffs insights and news Power Plays in 2025: Download the full report Credits: Host: Paul Smith Guests: Andrew Harker, Annabel Fiddes Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive Podcast, host Kristen Hallam dives into the transformative impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on the shipping and logistics industry. Joined by industry experts Eric Oak and Eric Johnson, the discussion covers the distinctions between AI and automation, the current applications of AI in shipping, and the challenges companies face in leveraging this technology.  The conversation also touches on future trends, the evolving workforce landscape, and the potential for AI to reshape traditional roles within the industry. Tune in to gain insights on how AI is a tool as well as a catalyst for change in logistics, enhancing efficiency and decision-making in a rapidly digitizing world.  More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Sectoral divide in AI adoption Tariff-related disruption spreading as US shippers 'pause' plans Navigating the Future of AI in Third-Party Risk Management Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Eric Johnson, Eric Oak Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

Join host Kristen Hallam and a panel of experts as they discuss the growing concerns of domestic instability impacting countries around the globe. With a focus on the repercussions of the 2024 election cycle, the conversation explores how economic inequality, technological disruptions, and political polarization are reshaping social contracts between governments and citizens. Listeners will gain valuable insights into the political landscape of key regions, including Asia Pacific, Europe, Latin America, and Sub-Saharan Africa. The experts analyze the implications of recent elections, the challenges faced by coalition governments, and the potential for civil unrest in nations like Bangladesh, Pakistan, and South Africa. From the legitimacy crises in Bangladesh to the political shifts in Indonesia and the economic reforms in Argentina, this episode provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of global affairs. Discover how these developments may impact businesses and the broader economic environment. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Picture This: US Tariff Actions Create Trade Wall Global economic outlook: April 2025 Power Plays in 2025: Download the full report Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Anton Alifandi, Bibianna Norek, Carla Selman, Martin Roberts Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun   

In this insightful episode of The Decisive, host Kristen Hallam moderates a discussion on the potential impacts of the April 2 tariff announcements and their implications for global trade. Featuring expert analyses from S&P Global Market Intelligence's Ken Wattret, Aries Poon, Eric Oak, and Thomas McCartin, the episode explores how tariffs are reshaping supply chains, affecting domestic industries, and influencing economic forecasts. Listeners will gain a comprehensive understanding of the current state of tariffs, including section 301 duties and section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum, and how these changes are impacting various sectors such as automotive and electronics.  Whether you're a business leader, policy maker, or simply interested in the dynamics of global trade, this episode offers essential perspectives to stay informed and prepared for the evolving landscape. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: International Trade and Tariffs Insights & News Tariff FAQs Power plays: Themes for 2025 Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guests: Ken Wattret, Aries Poon, Eric Oak, Thomas McCartin Produced By: Debbie Taylor, Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun 

In this episode of The Decisive podcast, host Kristen Hallam dives deep into the intricacies of PIERS, the Port Import-Export Reporting System, with Brendan Neary, Product Manager in S&P Global's trade portfolio. Together, they explore the evolution of PIERS data, its historical significance, and its vital role in understanding global trade flows. Brendan explains how the dataset has adapted to modern challenges, including the impact of tariffs and supply chain disruptions. Listeners will gain an understanding of how various industries leverage PIERS data for procurement, compliance, and market analysis, as well as the challenges users face in interpreting this complex dataset. The conversation also touches on the upcoming Breakbulk conference, highlighting key topics that industry professionals are grappling with today. Tune in to discover how data-driven insights can inform strategic decision-making in an ever-evolving trade landscape. More S&P Global Market Intelligence Content: Learn more about the Breakbulk conference International Trade and Tariffs Insights & News Tariff FAQs Credits: Host: Kristen Hallam Guest: Brendan Neary Produced By: Kristen Hallam Edited By: Marz Marcello Published With Assistance From: Sophie Carr, Feranmi Adeoshun