The Western Bubble

In this week's Autopsy, we dissect a deeply uncomfortable manifesto from the CEO of Palantir, Alex Karp, regarding his new book The Technological Republic.Rather than sticking to software and data, Palantir's leadership has decided to put themselves forward as the vanguard of Western civilisation. We break down their recent 22-point declaration, which outlines a terrifying vision where the tech elite essentially equates themselves with the government and assumes responsibility for the defence of the nation.From demanding the remilitarisation of Germany and Japan to calling for universal conscription (while conveniently sitting safely behind their screens), we explore the dystopian mindset driving this narrative. We analyse how this manifesto perfectly captures the Western Bubble: a dangerous mix of messianic superiority complexes, a determined push for software-driven hard power, and a hypocritical demand to be shielded from public criticism.Join us as we explore why private data companies playing at geopolitical crusaders is one of the most alarming symptoms of our current institutional decline.This podcast is an individual project between us, Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

In this episode, we return to the European continent to analyse why leadership remains paralysed by the "Western Bubble". While we dedicated much of last week's episode to the United States, Europe’s current aimlessness and blind actionism deserve a much deeper dissection.German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s recent comments at a school regarding the US war in Iran serve as a perfect example of the managerial mindset. By calling the US "humiliated" without a broader strategic plan, Merz has managed to anger Washington without gaining any of the geopolitical soft power benefits that Prime Minister Sánchez achieved for Spain.We discuss why European leaders are so beholden to a neoliberal model that prioritises tomorrow’s stock market over long-term strategic autonomy. From the presence of 33,000 US troops on German soil to the lack of a 2040 vision, we explore why the "reasonable" ones in the room are actually the ones making the West increasingly fragile.This podcast is an individual project between us, Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

Are we being conditioned for a war that does not exist? In this week's Autopsy, we dissect a recent BBC interview featuring General Carsten Breuer, the highest-ranking soldier in the German armed forces. We examine the highly coordinated media offensive by European political and security elites, who are increasingly using vague, undefined threats of a Russian invasion by 2029 to justify astronomical increases in defence spending.We break down why this general paranoia is so destructive. By refusing to paint specific, realistic scenarios, leadership is successfully shifting societal focus and resources away from productive investments like healthcare, infrastructure, and education, and redirecting them towards an endless military build-up. We also discuss the tragedy of Germany abandoning its historically responsible, post-1945 foreign policy to join the chorus of belligerence, and why true European security lies in the political mechanisms of the EU treaty rather than perpetual dependence on the United States and NATO.This podcast is an individual project between us, Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

We are back! After a month-long break to release our special Deep Dive series, we return to our regular weekly format to analyse the ongoing madness of the world. And unfortunately, the insanity has not slowed down.The episode kicks off in the Baltic Sea, where Germany has completely lost its collective mind over a stranded humpback whale. We break down why society is so eager to project its emotional energy onto a single animal while actively ignoring the infinitely more complex, systemic human suffering around the globe.From there, our conversation shifts to the terrifying geopolitical reality of the ongoing US-Iran-Israel conflict. We unpack the illusion of power, exploring why the United States' massive military budget is proving completely ineffective at winning asymmetric wars or imposing its will in the Middle East. We also dive into the recent nuclear threats and ceasefires, offering an analysis of Trump’s dystopian threat to "wipe out a civilisation," the conflicting ceasefire agreements, and Israel's massive strike on Lebanon designed to disrupt the peace.We then question whether the White House is playing 4D chess or just creating total chaos, examining how the erratic opening and closing of the Strait of Hormuz and JD Vance’s failed diplomatic mission to Pakistan prove that the current administration has absolutely no coherent strategy. Finally, we tackle Europe’s "Stockholm Syndrome." Despite Viktor Orbán finally losing power in Hungary, European leadership remains utterly visionless, leaving us to wonder why leaders like Friedrich Merz are condemning Iran while remaining entirely beholden to the United States.Thank you to everyone who tuned in for our Deep Dives. It is great to be back analysing the weekly news cycle with you all!This podcast is an individual project between us, Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

Welcome to the finale of our special four-part Deep Dive series into the international system! Over the past three weeks, we explored the philosophical origins of the "Western Bubble" and how post-WWII powers built a global infrastructure in their own image. This week, we examine how and why that exact same system is breaking down.Are we meticulously transitioning to a new world order, or simply sliding into global anarchy?The episode begins with an audio essay read by our producer, Stefani, detailing the West's 21st-century loss of internal purpose. Following the 1990s, ideological vision was replaced by a "neoliberal slumber." Politicians transformed into mid-level managers obsessed with financial markets, ultimately abandoning the complex transnational institutions they had painstakingly built.Following the essay, Dario and Balder unpack the consequences of this geopolitical decay. We discuss:The Managerial Slumber: How extreme deregulation and the 2008 financial crisis proved that Western leadership had sacrificed long-term geopolitical strategy for short-term corporate bailouts.The G20 vs. The UN: Why the West bypassed the United Nations to create the G20—a mechanism designed not for global unity, but to save a failing Western financial system.The Nail in the Coffin: How the 2003 invasion of Iraq proved to the rest of the world that the UN is geopolitically irrelevant when Western powers decide to break their own rules.China’s Quiet Takeover: Why Beijing is happily picking up the diplomatic tools the West abandoned to build its own economic hegemony.Thank you for joining us on this massive historical and political journey. Next week, we will return to our standard weekly format to analyse the ongoing madness of the world.This podcast is an individual project between Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

Welcome to Part 3 of our special four-part Deep Dive series into the international system! This week, we move from the historical and philosophical origins of the "Western Bubble" directly into the 20th century to examine the creation of the modern global order.Following the devastation of the Second World War, Western powers embarked on an unprecedented era of institution building. But were organizations like the UN and the Bretton Woods institutions created to save the world from hell, or to ensure Western dominance? The episode begins with an audio essay read by our producer, Stefani, exploring how the West attempted to project its own domestic success onto the rest of the globe.Following the essay, Dario and Balder unpack the immense arrogance of the 1940s geopolitical landscape. We discuss: The Illusion of Universality: How the Universal Declaration of Human Rights was drafted by a small, Western-dominated vanguard that assumed its own history was the inevitable endpoint for all of humanity. The Danger of Vague Language: Why international law is intentionally written at a "middle school level," and how this ambiguity allows powerful nations to weaponise morality for their own strategic agendas. The "Sword of Damocles": How the West uses the guise of democracy and human rights to justify hypocritical military interventions—supporting dictators when convenient, and overthrowing them when they are not.Note to our listeners: This is Part 3 of a 4-part series on the international system. Next week, we will conclude the Deep Dive by exploring the spectacular collapse of this system in the 21st century and the ultimate decline of Western geopolitical legitimacy.This podcast is an individual project between Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

Welcome to Part 2 of our special, pre-recorded Deep Dive series! This week, we continue our exploration of the international system by uncovering the philosophical and intellectual foundations of the "Western Bubble."Why does the West believe it has the right to dictate global morality? The episode begins with an audio essay read by our producer, Stefani, exploring the concept of Western political determinism. We break down the delusion of the "Magic Formula"—the belief that liberal democracy and capitalism are the only legitimate paths to human wellbeing. We trace this superiority complex back to its ironic origins in medieval Christian theology, revealing how modern Western interventionism is eerily similar to historical, Abrahamic proselytising.Following the essay, Dario and Balder unpack the dark side of this messianic approach to foreign policy.We discuss:The Illusion of Universal Values: Why concepts like "oppression" and "basic needs" are highly subjective, and how the West fails to understand societies that prioritise collective wellbeing over hyper-individualism.The Alternative Models: A look at how modern hegemons like China expand their influence without demanding moral conversion, contrasting sharply with the Western approach.The Death of "Agree to Disagree": How the West uses its self-appointed moral authority to override the Westphalian system, effectively using secular human rights as a justification for military conquest and regime change in places like Iraq, Libya, and Iran.Note to our listeners: This is Part 2 of a 4-part series on the international system. Next week, we will move from historical philosophy into the real world to examine the rise and fall of the United Nations. We will resume our regular weekly news programming on the 4th of May.This podcast is an individual project between Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

Welcome to the first instalment of our special, pre-recorded Deep Dive series! Over the next four weeks, we are taking a step away from the weekly news cycle to analyse the foundational concepts of the international system and explore exactly how we arrived at the geopolitical chaos of 2026.This episode begins with a special audio essay narrated by our producer, Stefani, exploring how the liberal world order was built—and why it is now collapsing. From the Peace of Westphalia in 1648 to the rise of Western transnational dominance, we break down the inherent hypocrisy of the "Westphalian Problem" and how the West's habit of soft-breaking territorial sovereignty has led to the current era of global anarchy.Following the essay, Dario and Balder sit down to unpack the reality of the international system. Why is a peace treaty from the 17th century still the ultimate organic rule of global politics today? They discuss the terrifying vacuum caught between revolution and anarchy, the collapse of transnational institutions, and why the "Western Bubble" has officially burst.Note to our listeners: This is Part 1 of a 4-part series on the international system. Next week, we will dive into the intellectual and philosophical foundations of this system. We will resume our regular weekly news analysis on the 4th of May.This podcast is an individual project between Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

In Episode 140 of The Western Bubble, Dario and Balder dissect the deepening chaos of the US-Iran standoff and its massive global ripple effects. As the White House issues shifting, hollow ultimatums and deploys thousands of troops to the Middle East, we analyse the fatal strategic trap of potentially occupying Iranian territory like Kharg Island. Rather than forcing a diplomatic win, Washington risks backing itself into an unwinnable corner while Tehran calls its bluff and keeps the Strait of Hormuz closed to its adversaries.We also explore how this Middle Eastern crisis is actively benefiting Russia, providing Moscow with eased oil sanctions and vital geopolitical cover. Meanwhile, on the Eastern European front, we examine Ukraine's transformation into the global gold standard for asymmetric drone warfare, executing deep strikes into Russian territory and completely rewriting the rules of modern conventional conflict. Finally, we discuss the US military's severe recruitment crisis, the collapse of the Western moral narrative, and why we all desperately need a little bit of "whale escapism" in an increasingly dark world.Note to our listeners: This episode marks our spring finale! For the month of April, The Western Bubble will be taking a break from the weekly news cycle to publish a special, pre-recorded Deep Dive series exploring the foundations of the international system.This podcast is an individual project between Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

In Autopsy #3, Dario and Balder put Western intelligence under the microscope. We analyse a recent interview with former MI6 Chief Alex Younger to expose the deep-seated biases and historical baggage that continue to cloud Western foreign policy. Why are Western intelligence agencies and media outlets acting "surprised" by Iran regionalising the conflict, especially when Tehran publicly broadcasted its exact strategy months in advance?We break down the Western Bubble's "collective amnesia"—the tendency to frame Iran as an irrational actor poised to start World War III, while ignoring decades of strategically proportional responses. Furthermore, we dissect the operational nightmare currently unfolding in the Middle East: how the United States and Israel are effectively fighting two entirely different wars with contradictory objectives, leading to a dangerous diplomatic dead end where negotiators themselves become targets.This podcast is an individual project between Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

In Episode 139 of The Western Bubble, Dario and Balder analyse the global fallout as the US-Iran conflict enters its third week. With the Strait of Hormuz now closed and international energy markets in a state of panic, the White House finds itself trapped in a war of its own making with absolutely no viable exit strategy. We dismantle the popular conspiracy theory that the current administration is playing a geopolitical game of "4D chess", proving instead how rapid escalation and a lack of clear objectives have led to a catastrophic strategic failure.The crisis is forcing a global realignment. We break down Europe's geopolitical "Stockholm syndrome"—examining why European leaders, despite initially resisting involvement, are once again sacrificing their own strategic independence to appease Washington. From German Chancellor Friedrich Merz pivoting towards Beijing, to South Korea being left strategically exposed, to the astronomical $12.7 billion price tag of the war's first six days, we explore how this conflict is accelerating the decline of Western hegemony and pushing the Global South further away.This podcast is an individual project between Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

In this week's Autopsy episode, Dario and Balder put the foundational text of the Western Bubble under the microscope: Francis Fukuyama’s 1992 declaration of "The End of History". We analyse a vintage clip of the American political scientist explaining his famous thesis, examining why the post-Cold War era convinced an entire generation that liberal democracy and capitalism were the final, perfected stages of human governance.While Fukuyama is often treated as the "poster boy" for Western arrogance—a position he has since heavily critiqued himself—his 1990s optimism perfectly encapsulates the Hegelian delusion that humanity is always marching comfortably upwards. Looking back from the geopolitical realities of 2026, we break down why this highly attractive worldview ultimately provided the cover for decades of destructive neoconservative foreign policy, military overreach, and a dangerous blindness to our own societal decay.This podcast is an individual project between Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

As the US-Israeli military campaign against Iran enters its second week, we are turning our focus to a topic we can no longer avoid: the thoroughly embarrassing European reaction. In Episode 138, we analyse the delayed, disjointed, and hypocritical response from European leadership. We examine how the continent rushed to condemn Iran's retaliatory strikes while remaining glaringly silent on the initial aggression from Washington, exposing a dangerous reliance on the "good guys versus bad guys" narrative that continues to blind the Western Bubble.We break down the stark divide in how individual European leaders are navigating this crisis. We contrast NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte’s sycophantic praise of Donald Trump with Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez’s bold refusal to allow US military bases in Spain to be used for offensive operations. From the overblown reaction to three drones in Cyprus to the complicit silence of leaders like Friedrich Merz and Keir Starmer, we explore why Europe is actively risking its own global relevance and alienating the Global South in the process.This podcast is an individual project between Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected]://www.foxnews.com/video/6390268301112

It has been just over a week since the United States and Israel launched a massive military campaign against Iran, and the justifications coming out of Washington are unravelling in real time. In Episode 137, we bypass the breaking news cycle to analyse the absolute absence of a coherent strategy driving this escalation. We examine what we call the "spaghetti tactic"—the Trump administration's chaotic attempt to throw every possible narrative at the wall, from claims of imminent attacks and forced regime change to the deeply concerning rhetoric of a "religious war", to see which one the public will accept.Beyond the shifting talking points, we look at the timeline of events leading up to the strikes. We break down the significance of Iran's unprecedented nuclear concessions mediated by Oman just hours before the attack, and how the Netanyahu government effectively cornered the White House. We also analyse the rhetoric of figures like Pete Hegseth, the silence of European leaders like Friedrich Merz, and the US and Israel are rapidly destabilising the entire region.This podcast is an individual project between Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected]://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v4wqB2cGCFohttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F1btI_c3j78https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/02/world/video/pete-hegseth-pentagon-iran-strikes-digvid

Welcome to our very first Autopsy episode, a new format where we step back to analyse a specific piece of media, speech, or historical moment that perfectly encapsulates the Western Bubble. This week, as the world watches the United States and Israel launch a massive military campaign against Iran, we turn the clock back to 1 May 2003. We are analysing President George W. Bush’s infamous "Mission Accomplished" speech aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln to understand the dangerous parallels between the invasion of Iraq and today's escalating conflict.In this episode, we break down the fundamental flaws in Western interventionist logic. We examine the illusion that a quick military victory equates to long-term stability, the hypocritical narrative of the West acting as a "force for good", and the deep disconnect between Washington's promise of freedom and the devastating reality on the ground. By looking at how the Bush administration justified the Iraq war through the lens of the War on Terror, we can better understand the exact same narratives being recycled by the current administration in 2026.This podcast is an individual project between Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

The United States and Israel have launched a massive military campaign against Iran, creating a devastating geopolitical earthquake. In this urgent episode, we analyse President Trump’s stated justifications for the strikes—from baseless claims of imminent nuclear threats to forced regime change—and expose the severe strategic incompetence driving this chaotic escalation.Beyond the White House's rhetoric, we turn to the Western Bubble itself, examining the Orwellian complicity of European leaders like Keir Starmer and the stark bias of Western media outlets. By fiercely condemning the retaliations while remaining entirely silent on the original American aggression, the West continues to prove that its foreign policy illusions are rapidly collapsing on the global stage.This podcast is an individual project between Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. We are supported by our producer Stefani Obradovic from Western Bubble Insights & Strategy. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected]

In this new trailer episode, we reintroduce the show with video and reflect on our journey from a university professor and International Relations student a few years ago to consulting partners at WB Insights today. We examine exactly what the Western Bubble is in 2026 and how the global geopolitical landscape has shifted over the last four years.As we launch our new video format, we are also upgrading our programming. We introduce our new producer, Stefani Obradovic and break down exactly what you can expect from our schedule:The New Formats:The Weekly Analysis (Mondays): A sharp breakdown of the current state of the Western Bubble.The Autopsy (Fridays): We react to a speech, article, or video from within the bubble to dissect where the authors went wrong, or occasionally, right.The Emergency Pod: Immediate reactions to unexpected geopolitical events that simply cannot wait until Monday.Deep Dives: Interviews with friends of the podcast, debates with individuals who might disagree with us, and deep historical analysis of events.Our Seasonal Schedule: To keep our analysis sharp and ensure our team gets a deserved mental pause, we are dividing the year into three core seasons for our weekly episodes and autopsies:Spring Season: January until the end of MarchSummer Season: May until the end of JuneFall Season: September until the end of NovemberDuring our off months (April, August, and December), we will release our pre-recorded Deep Dives so you never go a week without new insights.This podcast is a project between Balder Hageraats and Dario Hasenstab. We receive support from our wonderful producer Stefani Obradovic. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us anemail to [email protected].

Today, we look back at a year defined by one name: Trump. Since taking power in January, the US President claims to have ended eight wars, ranging from the conflict between Israel and Hamas to tensions in the DRC. We analyse whether this is true peace or simply a series of liquidation sales.We also look at where Europe stands in this new order. With a new US National Security Strategy creating another breaking point for the transatlantic alliance, the continent seems to be going nowhere. Neoliberal frameworks are collapsing before our eyes, yet politicians remain focused on keeping Big Tech happy while the social fabric unravels.On a personal note, this episode wraps up a massive year for the podcast. After 37 episodes in 2025, we are taking a slightly longer break than usual to prepare for some major changes next year, including video content and guests. We will see you in the new year.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA, Dario Hasenstab, and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

We intended to sit down this week and dismantle the new US National Security Strategy piece by piece. Unfortunately, the sheer weight of American imperial delusion appears to have been too much for Balder’s immune system.In this brief update, Dario explains why we are hitting pause for a few days. The document itself is a fascinating roadmap of where Washington thinks the world is going versus where it is actually heading, and it deserves a proper deep dive rather than a feverish skim.We will be back next week with a full breakdown of the strategy alongside our comprehensive Recap of 2025. It has been a year where the Western Bubble didn't just wobble...This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA, Dario Hasenstab, and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

The rumour mill has stopped spinning, and the text is finally out. Donald Trump’s administration has drafted a 28-point "peace plan" for Ukraine, and it reads less like a diplomatic treaty and more like a liquidation sale.In this episode, we sat down and analysed the entire document point by point, so you don’t have to. We unpack the specific clauses that signal a complete collapse of Western strategy, including:The Territorial Concession: Why recognising Donetsk and Luhansk as "de facto Russian" is just the tip of the iceberg.The Profit Clause: The shocking provision where the US claims 50% of the profits from investment ventures using frozen Russian assets.The Cap: The demand to limit Ukraine’s armed forces to 600,000 personnel, effectively crippling its future defence.The Rehabilitation: The proposal to invite Russia back into the G8, signalling the official end of the "rules-based order."We conclude by discussing what this document tells us about the "Western Bubble." The West spent three years talking about sovereignty and democracy, only to end up with a spreadsheet that treats a sovereign nation as a distressed asset.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA, Dario Hasenstab, and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

Donald Trump has escalated military pressure on Venezuela at a speed that should alarm everyone. As of mid-November 2025, the United States has carried out at least twenty-one strikes, killing eighty-three people and leaving only two survivors. Furthermore, there are now an estimated fifteen thousand US troops in the region, including marines stationed offshore and thousands of personnel at bases in Puerto Rico. Europe has remained quiet on this particular topic... we wonder why. We also react to a remarkable Fox Business interview with Congresswoman María Elvira Salazar, who casually frames Venezuela as a terrorist organisation, compares Nicolás Maduro to bin Laden, and claims that invading Venezuela would be good for the US economy. The justifications offered include everything from oil, to Hamas, to Hezbollah, to drug cartels, to protecting American children. What is striking is how easily the language of the War on Terror has been repackaged for a Latin American target.Finally, we discuss the confusion on the Left. After years of calling Maduro illegitimate, parts of the Left now feel compelled to defend him simply because Trump is the one threatening him. This reflex says more about Western political tribalism than it does about Venezuela.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA, Dario Hasenstab, and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

This week, we look at the growing concerns around the so-called AI bubble and why the panic is beginning to resemble the early 2000s, only multiplied by trillions. Nvidia is now valued higher than Germany’s entire economic output in 2025, which means one single company is worth two and a half times the combined value of all publicly traded firms in Germany.A recent MIT report shows that 95 percent of organisations investing in generative AI see zero return, despite pouring thirty to forty billion dollars into it. Even Google’s own CEO has admitted that parts of the current AI boom look irrational. Still, optimists like Mustafa Suleyman insist this moment is historic and that sceptics simply lack imagination.So, is this genuine technological transformation or a collective fever dream, driven by hype, speculation, and fear of missing out? What is the role of managerial attitudes in this whole situation?This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA, Dario Hasenstab, and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

As COP 30 begins in Belém, we look at how the world is heading into another climate summit with rising emissions, crumbling political will, and a system still built on ideas from the 1990s. Global fossil CO2 emissions are expected to increase again in 2025 to a record 38.1 billion metric tons. Western will to climate protection is suffering from populism, which is weakening climate policy across democracies, a trend Dario sees firsthand in his work.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

This week, we talk about the surprising rise of Zohran Mamdani and why his victory matters far beyond New York. His proposals are, in reality, standard European centre-left policies. The reaction to him, though, reveals something deeper in American political culture: racism, Islamophobia, and a growing panic about who gets to define the political centre at all.Mamdani is winning over parts of the Trump base by talking about material conditions instead of cultural panic. Meanwhile, the Democratic establishment is telling itself that recent wins in Virginia and New Jersey confirm the safety of staying in the centre. Mamdani is treated as an anomaly, not a blueprint. But this misreads the moment entirely. If the Democrats repeat the mistake of 2016 with Bernie Sanders, by drifting further to the centre (right) out of fear of their own voters, they will continue to inflate the Western Bubble rather than address the real crisis.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA, Dario Hasenstab, and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

In this episode, we look at what the world actually looks like after the decline of neoliberalism. The systems that once kept global politics, trade, and humanitarian responses predictable are dissolving, and what is emerging is not a stable alternative but something closer to global anarchy.The United States has pushed tariffs to levels not seen in over a century, and is now carrying out airstrikes on civilian vessels in the Caribbean and Pacific with almost no international consequences. Meanwhile, the humanitarian disaster in Sudan continues without meaningful action from the so-called international community, even as millions are displaced and famine spreads.Multilateralism is not simply weakening. It is disappearing. And when there is no mechanism for cooperation, crisis management, or accountability, what remains is a world where power decides everything and suffering becomes background noise.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA, Dario Hasenstab, and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

China has quietly positioned itself as the global gatekeeper of rare-earth metals, now expanding export restrictions as a response to the United States imposing new trade barriers and levies. Meanwhile, the Netherlands caused a geopolitical tug-of-war between the European Union and China over the chip industry that powers modern life. Once again, Western countries seem unprepared for the long game as Western actions against China are hurting domestic industries.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA, Dario Hasenstab, and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

Donald Trump has done it again: a dramatic announcement, a deadline, and a deal. His new 20-point peace plan for Gaza was signed between Israel and Hamas, hailed as the beginning of a new era, and even earned him a Nobel Peace Prize nomination from Javier Milei and Bosnia.But is this truly the end of one of the world’s most intractable conflicts, or just another temporary ceasefire dressed up as history?In this episode, we unpack the so-called Trump Peace Plan, how it differs from his earlier proposals, and why nearly everyone, from Western leaders to regional actors, seems eager to believe this time will be different. We also look at the historical record, current statements, and political incentives that suggest the fighting might not be over for long.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA, Dario Hasenstab, and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

After Balder called out Generation Z two weeks ago for not engaging enough in activism, we return to the question that lingers beneath everything: what can we actually do in a world where the West keeps declining, institutions are under attack, and everything feels like it is too much?Is the answer to cancel Disney, rage on social media, or take to the streets? Or are we simply too caught up in symbolic gestures while real change slips further away?There are also policy proposals emerging in response to a West in decline. From California’s Proposition 50 (the so-called Election Rigging Response Act) to renewed calls to ban Germany’s AfD, this episode explores what happens when societies start losing faith in their own systems, and how democracies respond when pushed to the edge.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA, Dario Hasenstab, and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

In this episode of the Western Bubble, we turn our attention to Israel, where events of the past weeks have revealed a country spiralling out of control. The largest civilian-led convoy in history, with over 40 vessels and 500 participants from more than 44 countries, attempted to break the blockade of Gaza, only to be intercepted by Israeli forces. At the same time, Israel ordered airstrikes against seven different countries in the past two months: Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, Tunisia, Qatar, Iran, and Yemen.We also discuss why more and more Western countries have begun to recognise Palestine since 2023, and why this shift is happening now.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

After a two-month break, we return to find the decline of liberal democracy in the United States accelerating at a frightening pace. We look back at the assassination of Charlie Kirk to the cancellation of Jimmy Kimmel and the indictment of James Comey.We then take a step aside to talk about Generation Z colliding with reality in today’s job market, reflecting on two recent Harvard studies about boredom, entry-level jobs, and the risks of outsourcing development to artificial intelligence.Finally, we turn back to geopolitics and debate Europe’s role in the face of Trump’s bullying. Should the EU strike out boldly with a new vision for the future, or is a radical break with the transatlantic relationship too dangerous to risk?This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected]

This week, we draw an uncomfortable comparison between ICE in the United States and Frontex in Europe. Whether it’s children in cages or children being handed picture books about their own deportation, the language of “in the child’s best interest” rings hollow. We also challenge the idea that only the US is responsible for enabling Israel. While Washington’s military and political support is undeniable, Europe is also complicit, through inaction and ongoing arms deliveries. The truth is, both the US and Europe share a deeper problem: the erosion of personal responsibility and a neglect of the social contract.Examples range from protests in Epping to a $16 million settlement and cancelling Stephen Colbert between Paramount and Trump, displaying open corruption, to Colombia paying $200 million and revoking 70 degrees over fear of Trump. We highlight examples of institutions and individuals failing in their duties.But we end on a rare positive note before the summer break: a parent who actually took personal responsibility. See you back in September!This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected] are the links we talked about: Good parenting: https://x.com/AlexRothe92/status/1949103538082054435?s=19Jubilee Video: https://youtu.be/2S-WJN3L5eo?si=m_O7w3x0riTojY2x&t=1322"Children's Book": https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/6eea0e99-e464-11ef-be2a-01aa75ed71a1#

This week, we dig into the renewed uproar around Jeffrey Epstein’s infamous network and how its resurfacing in 2025 is fueling not just conspiracy theories, but a deeper institutional and psychological crisis.But this story isn’t really about Epstein or Trump. It’s about how simplified moral binaries are hijacking political discourse. We look at how these narratives flatten complex realities, fuel extreme tribalism, and damage the very institutions meant to uphold accountability.If the system can't be trusted and people can’t agree on what’s real, how do we move forward? That’s the real question.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

In this episode, we return to a theme we first explored three years ago: the steady hollowing out of institutions. Recently, the decline has accelerated further, eroding both credibility and effectiveness.We look at the wave of NATO and EU countries, including Finland and Lithuania, pulling out of the Vancouver landmine ban treaty, citing Russian threats. At the same time, the United States shows open hostility toward international institutions it created: from imposing sanctions on ICC judges investigating Israel to citing the “Hague Invasion Act” to undermine accountability when it is useful. At the same time, still relying on it to criticise those it sees as adversaries. Elsewhere, Trump uses tariffs as a blunt instrument to reward allies and punish enemies. This time targeting Brazil over the indictment of Bolsonaro, and pressuring Israel to pardon Netanyahu altogether.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

In this episode, we unpack the newly passed Big Beautiful Bill and what it says about the state of Western democracy. Despite two Republican defections, the bill sailed through Congress, bringing with it massive increases in military and immigration enforcement spending, the extension of unsustainable tax cuts, and the likely loss of health coverage for millions of Americans.But the real story goes deeper. How is it possible that legislation this harmful still passes? From weak parliamentarians to increasingly executive-dominated legislatures, to parties enforcing strict conformity, we explore how Western democracies are drifting toward top-down governance. We draw parallels from the U.S. to Germany, the Netherlands, and the U.K., all facing their own versions of this political decay.Has democracy become too slow and inconvenient for the modern voter? Tune in as we explore what this latest bill really reveals about the Western Bubble.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

This week, we take a step back from geopolitics to explore how artificial intelligence is already reshaping our societies and our minds. From efficiency gains to cognitive decline, we reflect on how we personally use AI and why it’s so easy to fall into the traps of convenience and illusion.Drawing lessons from the social media age, we look at how AI accelerates the collapse of shared reality, fuels parasocial relationships, and chips away at our ability to think critically. With tools like Grok and Google Veo 3 making privacy a memory and manipulation effortless, the question isn’t whether AI will turn evil, but whether we’re prepared for what it’s doing to us right now.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

In this episode, we navigate the chaos of the past week: as Trump launches airstrikes using bunker-buster bombs, supposedly to “bring peace,” we ask: what does the U.S. gain from this? And why is Europe so eager to look the other way?We also offer two public service announcements, one on the myths surrounding Iran’s nuclear program, and one on the absurdity of the West’s new 5% defence spending target. Because sometimes, cutting through the noise is more important than adding to it.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA, Dario Hasenstab, and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

After the latest escalation between Israel and Iran, we take a step back to assess what just happened and what it means moving forward. With hundreds of Israeli missiles striking targets deep inside Iran, many are asking whether this constitutes an official act of war. But in an age where no one seems to declare war anymore, what does that even mean?We unpack the short-, medium-, and long-term logic behind Israel’s actions, and ask whether strategic brilliance is really at play—or whether the current approach is sowing the seeds for even more instability within the Israeli government. We explore how global perceptions of Israel’s military success might be masking the damage being done, both regionally and internationally. And in the background, the question looms: does this kind of attack now justify Iran seeking a nuclear weapon, even if it shouldn’t?This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

In this extra episode, we unpack the dramatic events of the early morning Israeli airstrikes on Iranian territory. Around 3 AM CEST, hundreds of missiles struck multiple locations in a long-prepared operation involving cyberwarfare and ground operatives. As the attacks continue, we ask: Was this an act of war?We explore the immediate reactions—Western allies balancing carefully worded responses like “Israel has a right to defend itself,” while distancing themselves from involvement. Meanwhile, Trump ominously warns this is “just a warm-up.”As Benjamin Netanyahu calls it a decisive moment, we question the glaring imbalance in how military actions are perceived, depending on who launches them. Is the world’s focus on Iran’s possible response proof that some actions are simply more tolerated than others?This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, please email us at [email protected].

As protests in Los Angeles against ICE turn violent, Trump responds by sending in the National Guard—only to be publicly rebuked by California’s leadership. Is this an escalation of authoritarian tendencies or just another display of political incompetence? Meanwhile, a bizarre feud between Trump and Elon Musk unfolds, adding a layer of personal drama to an already volatile political landscape. Was the deployment of the National Guard just a smokescreen to distract from Trump’s embarrassing fallout with Musk?We also briefly touch on the latest developments in the Netherlands, where domestic political chaos adds yet another data point to a growing transatlantic trend.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

Elections have taken place in Canada, Australia and Romania; in each of these countries, the quasi-Trump candidate lost. However, the wins of centre parties can only slightly mask the need for each of these countries to redefine their identity on the world stage. What do these elections tell us about the Western world’s evolving self-image, and what lessons, if any, can be drawn?This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

From quiet UK streets under constant surveillance to the chaos of global power politics, this week we cover a whirlwind of developments.Dario shares his impressions from a tightly monitored Britain, where the comfort of order comes at the cost of privacy. Meanwhile, Trump continues dismantling democratic norms: using federal money to reward friends and punish critics, tightening control over universities like Harvard. His recent treatment of South Africa’s leadership adds yet another layer to the humiliation tactics we’ve seen before. Is Trump a fascist by now?In this episode, Eurovision even makes an appearance, as a strange cultural mirror to our geopolitical moment.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

This week's episode is a little different from our usual format as Dario is travelling and therefore unable to record. Balder is still bringing you the most important foreign policy updates within the Western Bubble context. Next week, we will take a break from recording and return afterwards. This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

What happens when the lights go out across an entire region?This week, we talk about the massive blackout that plunged the Iberian Peninsula into darkness and the strange psychological aftermath that followed. Balder shares his experience from the ground in Madrid, while we reflect on how quickly panic and rumors—especially of World War III and our last episode on the fear of war—spread through a society gripped by fear. From people raiding grocery stores to others flocking to parks, the reactions say as much about our modern mindset as they do about the incident itself.We also look at how the blackout is already being politicised, reigniting old debates about renewables, nuclear energy, and infrastructure security, despite the fact that, as of recording day, we still don’t know what really happened.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

As global tensions continue to rise, the West appears to be entering a psychological phase of preparing for war. From escalating rhetoric in Europe to increased defense spending and political leaders openly calling for rearmament, we examine how the narrative is shifting—from deterrence to expectation. What does it mean when headlines across the continent begin to normalize the prospect of conflict?We start this episode with the latest flare-up between nuclear-armed neighbors India and Pakistan, before turning to the growing militarization of Western thought and policy. Is this a justified response to external threats like Russia, or is the West also falling victim to its own fear-driven narratives?This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

Just hours after the death of Pope Francis on Easter Monday, we take a step back to examine the enduring role of religion in shaping global politics. As crises multiply and chaos spreads, a growing number of people, especially young adults, are turning back to faith. But what does this resurgence mean for international relations?We explore how religious structures—from the hierarchy of the Catholic Church to the decentralised force of Evangelicals—shape policy differently. We dive into the influence of Orthodox Christianity in Russia, Sunni and Shia Islam in the Middle East, and the unique roles played by Confucianism in China and even Buddhism on the global stage.From legitimising war and empire to underpinning human rights discourse, religion has always had a seat at the table of power. The question is—how will that seat be used now?This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

Trump’s 90-day tariff pause might sound like an opening for diplomacy—but the real reason behind it lies in bond markets, not international goodwill. And while most countries now have a temporary reprieve, China is very much not included. With tariff levels now skyrocketing to 145% on both sides, Washington and Beijing are locked in a dangerous game.So why is the EU still trying to play the part of the reasonable adult in the room? Ursula von der Leyen may believe that measured, moderate politics will prevail—but in a world of escalating economic warfare, is there still room for quiet diplomacy? Or is “being the reasonable one” a fast track to irrelevance?This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA, Dario Hasenstab, and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

Donald Trump’s latest tariff plan is as bold as it is baffling. A 60% tax on Chinese imports, arbitrary surcharges on trade deficits, and even tariffs on… the Penguin Islands? With Vietnam already targeted and Europe bracing for impact, what exactly is the strategy here—if any?In this episode, we break down Trump’s tariff logic (or lack thereof) and explore the possible scenarios: Is this just a negotiating tactic? A deliberate move to collapse the global trade system? Or simply economic incompetence on full display?More importantly, we examine the long-term consequences: Is the U.S. dismantling the very system that made it an economic superpower? And what happens if the world stops playing along?This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA, Dario Hasenstab, and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

The Western Bubble has been added to the chatIn this episode, we delve into the recent security breach where U.S. national security leaders used the Signal app to discuss imminent military operations against the Houthis in Yemen. The situation escalated when National Security Advisor Mike Waltz inadvertently added Jeffrey Goldberg, editor-in-chief of The Atlantic, to the group chat, leading to public exposure of sensitive information.We examine the implications of conducting high-level military planning over unsecured channels like Signal, which lacks the stringent protections of traditional secure facilities. The casual approach to decisions involving civilian casualties, the apparent disregard for legal and moral considerations, and the overt disdain expressed by officials like Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth toward European allies further highlight the growing rift in transatlantic relations, echoing themes from our earlier discussions in Episode 104.​Join us as we unpack the events from March 15 onward, exploring the broader consequences of this breach on international alliances and the trust between governments and their citizens.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA, Dario Hasenstab, and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

The transatlantic alliance is broken—so what happens next? In this episode, we strip away the hype and look at the deep trends shaping our world: the growing disconnect between leaders and citizens, the rise of a global oligarchy, and the breakdown of Western institutions. With liberal democracy fading, does the world shift toward multipolar power centres like China, India, and Brazil? And if the West is in decline, what happens to the systems built on it—NATO, the WHO, the global economy?This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].

History is full of moments when people misjudged the future—either by being too pessimistic or not pessimistic enough. In the 1930s, optimism blinded many to the rise of fascism. During the Cold War, existential fears clashed with hopes for progress. In the late 1980s, faith in a post-Soviet world fueled the Western Bubble, while 2010 saw coping mechanisms replace real solutions, paving the way for today’s crises.Now, as we stand at another crossroads, what lessons can we draw from the past? And more importantly—what will the world look like in 2050? Join us as we attempt to predict the future with history as our guide.This podcast is published with the help of RAIA NOW gUG but is an individual project between the Director of RAIA Dario Hasenstab and Balder Hageraats. If you would like to get in touch with us, write us an email at [email protected].