Manifold cover art

All Episodes

Manifold — 167 episodes

#
Title
1

State of AI, Summer 2026 – #116

2

Beff Jezos and Effective Accelerationism: Machine God of Loving Grace

3

Razib Khan at Manifest 2026: Genetic Discoveries, AI, and Academia – #114

4

Letter from Beijing 2: Tsinghua University – #113

5

AI Billionaire on Existential Risk: Jaan Tallinn

6

Embryo Selection and Frontier Genomics with Dr. Alex Young – #111

7

Iran War is the First Missile War (crossover with Seeking Truth From Facts podcast) – #110

8

Dreamers and Doomers: Our AI future, with Richard Ngo – #109

9

China, Acceleration, and Nick Land - with Matt Southey – #108

10

Shenzhen is the Technology Capital of the World, with Taylor Ogan – #107

11

AI DOOM: Jesse Hoogland of Timaeus

12

Dreamers and Doomers: Jeremy Nixon at AGI House – #105

13

Industrial Maximalism and Its Discontents: Dan Wang on US-China Competition – # 104

14

Geopolitics 2026, crossover with Seeking Truth From Facts podcast – #103

15

Polygenics and Machine SuperIntelligence; Billionaires, Philo-semitism, and Chosen Embryos – #102

16

Theoretical Physics With Generative AI – #101

17

Jeffrey Epstein, Israel, and Elite Power, with Murtaza Hussain – #100

18

Jian Lian on China's Industrial Policy and Global Strategy – #99

19

Scott Horton on the Russia Hoax and Ukraine War – #98

20

AIs Win Math Olympiad Gold: Prof. Lin Yang (UCLA) – #97

21

The Global AI Race: Z.ai and the View from Beijing — #96

22

Seeking Truth From Facts: Weeks Where Decades Happen — #95

23

Kyle Chan on the Future of US-China Competition — #94

24

Joleen Liang: 40M+ kids educated by adaptive AI — #93

25

Max Dama on HFT: Millisecond Algos and Bid/Ask Dynamics — #92

26

Andrew Song: Global Cooling with Sulfur Dioxide in the Stratosphere — #91

27

Manifold Discord Channel: Live Q&A with Steve — #90

28

Omar Shams: AI Founder and Google AI Agent Lead — #89

29

Patrick McGee: Apple In China — #88

30

GODZILLA DOWN! India-Pakistan Clash and Chinese Military Technology with TP Huang — #87

31

Robots, Small Models, and RL with DeepSeek Alumnus Zihan Wang — #86

32

Dan Collins: Tariffs and the Future of US Manufacturing — #85

33

Seeking Truth From Facts: AI, China, Tariffs, Geopolitics — #84

34

Incels, Evo Psych, and Modern Literature with ARX-Han — #83

35

Callum Williams: Economics, AI, and Technological Progress — #82

36

Misha Laskin, Reflection.ai — From Physics to SuperIntelligence

37

Taylor Ogan, Snow Bull Capital: China's tech frontier, the view from Shenzhen, Part 2

38

Ken Liu: Art in the Age of AI — #79

39

US-PRC Tech War: DeepSeek AI and 6th Generation Fighters — #78

40

Jim Haslam: Covid Origins and Coronavirus Genetic Engineering — #77

41

Joscha Bach: Consciousness and AGI — #76

42

Adventures in Physics, Trump, and more, with the Information Theory podcast — #75

43

Pascal Lottaz: Neutrality, Geopolitics, and International Conflict — #74

44

Letter from Shanghai: Reflections on China in 2024 — #73

45

Letter from Beijing, with Han Feizi — #72

46

Seeking Truth From Facts: Israel and Iran, Missile Defense, China Economic Development

47

Samo Burja: Intellectuals, Culture. and the Technosphere — #70

48

Deus Ex Machina: A Man, Machines, and God

49

Seeking Truth From Facts: Alf & Steve Hsu — #68

50

Letter from Reykjavik: Genomics, Chess, Hyperscaling genAI, and Quantum Black Holes — #67

51

Robin Hanson: Prediction Markets, the Future of Civilization, and Polymathy — #66

52

China Today: Myths and Realities — #65

53

Ivy League Anonymous: Great Awokening and Campus Radicals — #64

54

AI Global Odyssey: REAL Situational Awareness — #63

55

Philippe Lemoine: Bad Covid Science, Ukraine Analysis, and Philosophy — #62

56

John Seo: Catastrophe Bonds and the Investor Choice Problem — Manifold #61

57

Molson Hart: China and Amazon, Up Close — #60

58

Jaan Tallinn: AI Risks, Investments, and AGI — #59

59

Glenn Luk: China’s economic evolution, GDP, and high speed rail — #58

60

Casey Handmer: Terraform Industries and a carbon-neutral future — #57

61

Russell Clark: Japan, China, and USD reserve status — #56

62

Stephen Grugett: Predicting the Future with Manifold Markets — #55

63

Ray McGovern: CIA, JFK, Deep State, and Ukraine Crisis — #54

64

Lecture: Fermi Paradox, AI, Simulation Question — #53

65

Utah AG Sean Reyes: “Sound of Freedom” and Human Trafficking — #52

66

Military Technology and U.S.-China War in the Pacific — #51

67

Louis-Vincent Gave: Understanding China’s Economy, and U.S. Competition — #50

68

Charles Miller: Satellite Technology and the Future of Mobile Connectivity — #49

69

China's EV Market Dominance and the Challenges Facing Tesla — #48

70

Taylor Ogan, Snow Bull Capital: China's tech frontier, the view from Shenzhen — #47

71

Bharat Karnad: India geostrategy, nuclear arsenal, and assassination of Homi Bhabha, the Oppenheimer of India — #46

72

Yasheng Huang: China's Examination System and its impact on Politics, Economy, Innovation — #45

73

Huawei and the US-China Chip War — #44

74

Meritocracy, SAT Scores, and Laundering Prestige at Elite Universities — #43

75

Aella: Sex Work, Sex Research, and Data Science — #42

76

AI on your phone? Tim Dettmers on quantization of neural networks — #41

77

Paul Huang, the real situation in Taiwan: politics, military, China — #40

78

Richard Hanania & Rob Henderson: The Rise of Wokeness and the Influence of Civil Rights Law — #39

79

Richard Sander (UCLA Law) on the Supreme Court Affirmative Action Ruling — #38

80

AI Cambrian Explosion: Conversation With Three AI Engineers — #37

81

David Goldman: US-China Competition, AI, Electric Vehicles, and Manufacturing — #36

82

Artificial Intelligence & Large Language Models: Oxford Lecture — #35

83

Simone Collins: IVF, Embryo Selection, Dating on the Spectrum, and Pronatalism — #34

84

Katherine Dee: Culture, Identity, and Isolation in the Digital Age — #33

85

Marc Martinez: "Dream Big" and the Golden Age of Bodybuilding — #32

86

Gilles Saint-Paul: The Yellow Vests, French Politics, and Hypergamy — #31

87

Bing vs. Bard, US-China STEM Competition, and Embryo Screening — #30

88

ChatGPT, LLMs, and AI — #29

89

Dominic Cummings: Vote Leave, Brexit, COVID, and No. 10 with Boris — #28

90

Sahil Lavingia: Founding Gumroad, The Minimalist Entrepreneur, and our AI LLM future — #27

91

Geoffrey Miller: Evolutionary Psychology, Polyamorous Relationships, and Effective Altruism — #26

92

Anna Krylov: The Politicization of Science in Academia — #25

93

Abdel Abdellaoui: Genetics, Psychiatric Traits, and Educational Attainment — #24

94

Richard Sander on SCOTUS Oral Arguments: Affirmative Action and Discrimination against Asian Americans at Harvard and UNC

95

Discovering the Multiverse: Quantum Mechanics and Hugh Everett III, with Peter Byrne — #22

96

Jeffrey Sachs: Lessons from the COVID Commission, Lab Leak Questions, and Nord Stream — #21

97

Rob Henderson: A Journey from Foster Care to the US Military to Elite Academia — #20

98

Lyle Goldstein on U.S. Strategic Challenges: Russia, China, Ukraine, and Taiwan — #19

99

Harvard Veritas: interview with a recent graduate (anonymous) — #18

100

Richard Lowery: The War for American Universities — #17

101

Tim Palmer (Oxford): Status and Future of Climate Modeling — #16

102

Kishore Mahbubani: A Nuanced View of Asia & China's Rise — #15

103

Greg Clark: Genetics and Social Mobility — #14

104

John Mearsheimer: Great Powers, U.S. Hegemony, and the Rise of China — #13

105

Theodore A. Postol: Nuclear Weapons, Missile Technology, and U.S. Diplomacy — #12

106

Raghuveer Parthasarathy: The Four Physical Principles — #11

107

Carl Zha: Xinjiang, Ukraine, and U.S.-China relations — #10

108

Scott Aaronson: Quantum Computing, Unsolvable Problems, & Artificial Intelligence — #9

109

Sebastian Mallaby: Venture capital as an engine of courage — #8

110

Vlatko Vedral: Oxford Theoretical Physicist on Quantum Superposition of Living Creatures — #7

111

Richard Sander: Affirmative Action, Mismatch Theory, & Academic Freedom — #6

112

Shai Carmi: Polygenic risk scores & embryo screening — #5

113

Jon Y (Asianometry) on Semiconductor Tech and U.S.-China Competition — #4

114

Richard Hanania: Wokeness, Public Choice Theory, & Geostrategy — #3

115

Steve Hsu Q&A: Complex trait prediction in Genomics, and Genomic Prediction / Embryo Selection

116

James Lee on Polygenic Prediction and Embryo Selection — #1

117

Warren Hatch on Seeing the Future in the Era of COVID-19 – #50

118

Leif Wenar on the Resource Curse and Impact Philosophy – #49

119

Michael Kauffman on Cancer, Drug Development and Market Capitalism – #48

120

Scott Adams on Trump, and his book Loserthink – #47

121

James Oakes on What’s Wrong with The 1619 Project – #46

122

Robert Atkinson on US-China Competition and Industrial Policy – #45

123

Raman Sundrum: Physics and the Universe – #44

124

Vineer Bhansali: Physics, Tail Risk Hedging, and 900% Coronavirus Returns – #43

125

Jaan Tallinn: Coronavirus, Existential Risk, and AI – #42

126

Dan Gable: Legendary NCAA and Olympic Wrestler & Coach – #41

127

Klaus Lackner on Carbon Capture, Climate Change, and Physics – #40

128

COVID-19, Blockchain, and the Global Startup Scene – #39

129

Claude Steele on the Challenges of Multi-Cultural Societies – #38

130

A.J. Robison on the Neural Basis of Sex Differences in Depression – #37

131

Kaja Perina on the Dark Triad: Narcissism, Machiavellianism, and Psychopathy – #36

132

Adam Dynes on Noisy Retrospection: The Effect of Party Control on Policy Outcomes – #35

133

Yang Wang on Science and Technology in China, Hong Kong Protests, and Coronavirus – #34

134

Elizabeth Kolbert on Climate Change: Impacts and Mitigation Technologies – #33

135

Meghan Daum on the New Culture Wars – #32

136

Steven Broglio on Concussions, Football and Informed Choice – #31

137

Barbara O’Brien on Race, Reform and Wrongful Conviction Rate Estimates- #30

138

Sebastian Junger: Meaning from War and Technological Isolation in America – #29

139

Zach Hambrick on Psychometrics and the Science of Expertise – #28

140

Andrew Hartman: The Culture Wars Then and Now – #27

141

Bruno Maçães: China, Russia and the Future of Eurasia – #26

142

Ted Conover on Immigration, Prisons and 21st Century Homesteading – #25

143

Jason Snyder on Neurogenesis – #24

144

Timothy Searchinger: Biofuels vs Foods and Major Climate Change Policy Errors – #23

145

Jamie Metzl on Hacking Darwin: Genetic Engineering and the Future of Humanity – #22

146

Tyler Cowen on Big Business, Socialism, Free Speech, and Stagnant Productivity Growth – #21

147

Betsy McKay on Trends in Heart Disease and How to Avoid It – #20

148

Ted Chiang on Free Will, Time Travel, Many Worlds, Genetic Engineering, and Hard Science Fiction – #19

149

Rebecca Campbell on Identifying Serial Perpetrators, Rape Investigations and Untested Rape Kits – #18

150

Mark Moffett on the Life and Death of Human Societies – #17

151

John Schulman: OpenAI and recent advances in Artificial Intelligence – #16

152

Daniel Max on Writing a Literary non-Fiction Classic and Prion Diseases Then and Now – #15

153

Stuart Firestein on Why Ignorance and Failure Lead to Scientific Progress – Episode #14

154

Joe Cesario on Political Bias and Problematic Research Methods in Social Psychology – #13

155

James Cham on Venture Capital, Risk Taking, and the Future Impacts of AI – Episode #12

156

Joe Cesario on Police Decision Making and Racial Bias in Deadly Force Decisions – Episode #11

157

Ron Unz on the Subprime Mortgage Crisis, The Unz Review, and the Harvard Admissions Scandal – Episode #10

158

Philosopher Sam Kerstein on the Morality of Genome Engineering, Inequality, and Star Trek – Episode #9

159

Sabine Hossenfelder on the Crisis in Particle Physics and Against the Next Big Collider – #8

160

David Skrbina on Ted Kaczynski, Technological Slavery, and the Future of Our Species – Episode #7

161

John Hawks on Human Evolution, Ancient DNA, and Big Labs Devouring Fossils – Episode #6

162

Kaiser Kuo of Sinica on Modern China and US-China relations – Episode #5

163

Ted Schultz on Ants, Emergent Behavior, and the Molecular Revolution in Systematics – Episode #4

164

Noor Siddiqui, Thiel Fellow, on Stanford and Silicon Valley – Episode #3

165

Bobby Kasthuri & Brain Mapping - Episode #2

166

CRISPR Babies — Episode #1

167

Introductions — Episode #0