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All Episodes

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey — 432 episodes

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Title
1

Wednesday's Chorus Live with Bernard Hickey

2

Bernard Hickey & Verity Johnson bust the NZ debt myth

3

The world's oil reserves are running out

4

REPEAT:A political economy that enriches the old and punishes the young

5

An OECD smorgasbord of reform ideas

6

The hunt for magical merger efficiencies goes on

7

Willis still believes a rapid oil price fall is likely

8

The Weekly Hoon: The Middle East fuel crisis & more

9

Tuesday's Chorus Live with Bernard Hickey

10

Saturday Soliloquies Live with Bernard Hickey

11

Friday's Chorus Live with Bernard Hickey

12

Wednesday's Chorus Live with Bernard Hickey

13

Tuesday Chorus Live with Bernard Hickey

14

The Weekly Hoon: The Middle East fuel crisis & more

15

Thursday's Chorus Live with Bernard Hickey

16

Wednesday's Chorus Live with Bernard Hickey

17

Bernard Hickey's Saturday Soliloquies live

18

RBNZ’s Paul Conway on NZ’s inflation and productivity performance

19

RBNZ Governor Anna Breman

20

Live with Bernard Hickey & Dr Bex on disability funding

21

Live with Bernard Hickey

22

Govt prefers households take the pain instead

23

NZ faces a 1970s-style energy shock

24

Dawn Chorus: Will the fuel tax hikes actually happen?

25

Dawn Chorus Live Video with Bernard Hickey

26

Dawn Chorus Live with Bernard Hickey

27

Live with Bernard Hickey & Gareth Hughes on long-term decision making survey

28

Global oil & gas prices surge, hammering stocks

29

Live with Bernard Hickey and Ed Miller on LNG

30

Live with Bernard Hickey and Connor Sharp on RONS

31

Govt threatens to imprison homeless for 90 days at a cost of $49,680 per person

32

RBNZ holds, but sees a hike possible by the end of 2026

33

'The rising tide isn't lifting those without boats'

34

A chat about the future of money, the US dollar, monetary policy independence and gold

35

What insurance retreat means for home-owners

36

Why not spend $2.7b on solar & batteries instead?

37

Liquidations surge to near post-GFC highs

38

Luxon betting economy will provide the 'lollies'

39

Govt demands Health NZ cut another $510 million

40

RBNZ pivots, pushing wholesale rates back down

41

A debt debate that is frozen in time & ideology

42

IRD hunts for more cash as deficit widens

43

Nicola Willis reneges on Paris in plain sight

44

A rates (handi)cap to throttle GDP 'growth, growth, growth'

45

More magical thinking borne of 1989

46

Wednesday's Chorus: Churn claims Police target

47

Wednesday's Chorus: A lazy balance sheet

48

Friday's Chorus: A miserly, investment-lite Government

49

Thursday's Chorus: 'Where are we moving these people to?'

50

Wednesday's Chorus: Mental health & joblessness wrecking a generation of workers

51

Wednesday's Chorus: A small & hazy target

52

Tuesday's Chorus: Where's the solar & batteries? And a proper CGT?

53

Friday's Early Bird & Dawn Chorus: Choosing $30b of motorways instead of real wage increases

54

Thursday's Early Bird & Dawn Chorus: The elephant in our news

55

Wednesday's Chorus: The problem(s) with the RoNS and tolls

56

Thursday's Chorus: Jim Bolger dies

57

Wednesday's Chorus: Going for Growth. House price growth.

58

Monday's Chorus: A new round of austerity

59

Thursday's Chorus: OCR slashed as poll shows NZ on the 'wrong track'

60

Survey shows economy 'stuck in the mud'

61

PM tells jobless youth to leave to find a job. So they are going. To Australia.

62

Thursday's Chorus: Where's the solar plan?

63

Wednesday's Chorus: Performative power politics

64

Mini-Hoon: 'Why don't we buy back the shares?'

65

Tuesday’s Chorus: Some new New Building Standards

66

Daily Chorus: The problems for our new 'Laser Kiwi'

67

Choosing marginally lower mortgage rates

68

Voters & business leaders now blaming Govt for economic malaise

69

Why a record-high 201 NZers a day are emigrating

70

Govt gaslights voters on health costs/GDP

71

Why National can't afford true RBNZ independence

72

The Government just administered an inflation shock

73

RBNZ says it remains 'fiercely independent'

74

Still captured, after all these years

75

Govt goes for growth by selling residencies

76

What Christopher Luxon is doing to ensure 'modest, consistent' house price inflation

77

Memo to PM: Your 'strategy' is not working

78

Auckland Inc losing faith in Govt's economic strategy

79

Luxon doubles down on failing strategy

80

Scale of regional health chasms revealed

81

'Double investment in back-to-work 'trampoline''

82

It turns out kicking homeless people out of motels increases homelessness

83

Luxon & Willis stranded with failing economic strategy

84

Performative politics in high viz. Again.

85

Interview: The Co-operative Bank CEO Mark Wilkshire on the housing market, bank capital and climate change

86

The hunt for inflation scapegoats amps up

87

Potaka delaying homelessness data release

88

Bishop wants a growth economy that isn't just a housing market with bits tacked on

89

Manufacturing, services & retail mired in recession

90

Slash blamed in climate change-free flash-flood coverage

91

The RBNZ just held the OCR at 3.25%. Is that it? Does it matter?

92

NZ economy sliding back into recession

93

Willis eyes more tax from banks

94

'Sleeping rough is a lifestyle choice here'

95

Act forces Willis backdown on policy costings unit

96

Behold, another Quarterly Survey of Business Delusion

97

So many extreme weather events, but no mention of climate change

98

GDP outlook slashed as fresh cost-of-living shock arrives

99

A housing supply shock in exactly the wrong direction

100

One way housing supply growth is strangled

101

Labour commits to same debt & surplus targets as National

102

ACT’s extreme policies & budget fallacy endanger National’s re-election

103

Carers, teachers & nurses lose up to $17b, to fund $14b of tax cuts

104

NZ economy sliding into wintry deep freeze

105

Canada & Australia stood up to Trump. When will NZ?

106

Calling b******t on a pro-cyclical tightening of fiscal policy

107

Interview: Shamubeel Eaqub on an even tighter Budget for 2025/26

108

Bernard’s Dawn Chorus & Pick ‘n’ Mix for Monday, April 28

109

Willis ignores new Global Financial & Trade Crisis

110

Bernard's Dawn Chorus & Pick 'n' Mix for Wednesday, April 16

111

The Government is cutting, just as the economic recovery is stalling

112

Trump just detonated a neutron bomb under the global economy, but NZ could win

113

Luxon's 'going for growth' actually means 'going for debt reduction'

114

30% of doctors leave NZ after graduation

115

Bernard’s Soliloquy for the week to March 23

116

Why is the Govt so afraid of borrowing?

117

S&P downgrades 18 councils, blaming Govt

118

Climate sceptic ACT MP attacks National

119

'There are no exemptions. Just eat it.'

120

The problems with PPPs

121

PPPs are more expensive, slower & riskier than Govt DIY

122

IMF calls for Capital Gains Tax or land tax

123

Luxon wants media to celebrate National's homelessness achievements more

124

Luxon’s economy focus at odds with voters

125

Owners of compulsorily acquired non-iwi land to be stripped of appeal rights

126

Will Adrian Orr’s replacement unleash a new mortgage war?

127

Luxon trusts Seymour & Trump

128

An administered, unnecessary & counter-productive inflation shock

129

Why the housing market is just not firing up

130

Seymour's late, missing, discarded, allergenic, nutritionless, dangerous & skimpy school lunch programme is unravelling

131

Interview: ‘I didn’t want to smile’

132

'We can't hold on any longer. We're selling.'

133

Interview: RBNZ wary of any administered inflation spiral

134

Govt set to hike insurance costs $400/year

135

A mini-hoon on the OCR cut & the housing market

136

'Where will your kids raise your grand-kids?'

137

The ambulances at the bottom of our cliffs are full

138

‘The funds for infrastructure projects need to be prioritised and released’

139

Recession & local protests drag National below Labour

140

Concrete production slumps to 2014 levels

141

Business doubts about National’s growth tactics growing

142

First polls of 2025 show coalition losing

143

Why NZ's new looser 'golden visa' won't 'turbocharge' GDP

144

Bernard’s Saturday Soliloquy for Feb 8

145

Govt grasping at economic growth straws

146

Govt to sell billions of dollars worth of state housing land

147

NZ jobs contracting as Australia's expands

148

How Donald Trump's tariff shock will change our political economy

149

The chart deck calling b******t on Luxon’s ‘just drive faster & work longer’ economic growth talk

150

Govt sets 'shockingly unambitious' new climate target

151

Luxon stumbles into toxic privatisation debate

152

Bernard’s Soliloquy for Monday Jan 27

153

Why the Government's going-for-growth push will fail

154

NZ now frozen, listless, mean & hopeless

155

A silver lining for cycling?

156

Will swapping Shane Reti for Simeon Brown make any difference?

157

Luxon flicks Reti's hospital pass to Brown

158

Bernard’s last Saturday Soliloquy for 2024

159

Austerity thumps GDP most since 1991

160

MSD rejecting 220 pleas for food grants each day

161

Blaming Treasury & Labour, Willis looks for even more Austerity

162

Willis' austerity strategy just isn't working

163

When austerity worsens public debt & cuts GDP

164

Coalition forced to back down on tolling Manawatu Gorge replacement

165

Govt cancels Tauranga housing expansion

166

Ferries delayed again, then handed to Peters, who hits out at Seymour

167

When haste makes waste & is risky, dangerous & mean

168

Govt eyes 'PPP-lite' for health centres

169

Simeon Brown alienates another National electorate

170

My Saturday Soliloquy for Dec 7

171

TKP 26/50 solutions: A new home without a power bill

172

An experiment and our Christmas offer to subscribe to The Kākā

173

A housing market with bits tacked on doesn’t need many (if any) pure scientists

174

'The cuts will continue until the economy improves'

175

Govt says borrowing to build now last resort

176

Labour leaning back towards Capital Gains Tax

177

'Why we've cut the OCR so much since August'

178

RBNZ loosening as the Govt is tightening

179

Bishop cautious on guaranteeing social housing bonds

180

'Guarantee us and we'll build thousands of social homes'

181

Treasury warns deeper recession worsening Budget deficit

182

'These budget cuts are counter-productive and make no sense'

183

Economists call on PM to suspend budget cuts for the sake of the economy

184

27% of kids going hungry, up from 21% in a year

185

Shipley warns Seymour’s bill is ‘inviting civil war’

186

Adding up the climate cost

187

Trump's return to White House brings the climate's 'find out' phase closer

188

The 30/30 fiscal rule that rules us all

189

National risks being eaten alive by NZ First & ACT

190

Budget cuts penny wise & pound foolish

191

Toxic positivity and toxicity in the kitchen

192

A deliberate and unnecessary crash landing

193

Will banks & insurers back self-consented homes?

194

'Happy to watch your grandkids grow up in Australia via WhatsApp?'

195

After years of cover ups and hacks, the truth on gas is out

196

What's driving the exodus of workers to Australia

197

DTIs set to restrain housing-debt-led economic rebound

198

Funds cut for social housing with 3 days notice

199

Deep-dive: What does an ageing population mean for Aotearoa?

200

Extreme weather events coming for us all

201

Luxon escapes having to pay $70,000 in ‘brightline’ capital gains taxes

202

‘I don't know what the point of the questioning is.’

203

One in four march against Govt in Dunedin

204

Could a doubling of Co2 trigger 8° of warming?

205

Treasury warns of unprecedented cuts in real spending per capita to achieve surplus

206

An attack 'unbecoming of a leader'

207

ANZ CEO says 'it's time' for a Capital Gains Tax

208

ACCC accuses Woolworths of misleading pricing

209

Fixing child poverty would cost <1% of GDP

210

Kaka project: What could a revamped Entrust do with/for/to Vector?

211

Deadly floods and streams of non-solutions

212

Too much haste & waste in Simeon Brown's need for speed

213

Tolling revolt brewing in National heartland

214

Driving blind at higher speeds

215

Govt may kick elderly out of hospitals

216

48 seconds on a plan that would reverberate for a million years

217

Using blunt instruments and magical thinking to ignore evidence of harm

218

Treasury warned Govt lower debt limits meant less ‘productivity-enhancing investment’

219

How Substack works to take (some) craziness out of America's elections

220

Question Two of The Kākā Project of 2026 for 2050 (TKP 26/50)

221

Hipkins challenges long-held Labour view Government must stay below 30% of GDP

222

The professionals actually think and act like our Government has no fiscal crisis at all

223

No new funding for cycling & walking

224

Disabled now have to commit crime, be insane or in crisis to access residential care

225

Starting The Kākā Project of 2026 for 2050 (TKP 26/50)

226

Labour revisiting 30/30 fiscal rules. Good.

227

'Those spending cuts will go into the bone'

228

PM lectures councils he needs help from

229

An electricity crisis after a lost decade

230

The ugliness inside our churn and burn economy

231

Cutting funds now, but increasing costs later

232

Introducing The Kākā Project of 2026 for 2050 (TKP 26/50)

233

The longer recession the RBNZ and the Govt decided we had to have

234

How not to win friends and tax people

235

Deficits are not the constraint we think they are

236

Willis screws down fiscal lid even tighter

237

How Aotearoa's political economy works

238

Inside NZ's Housing Theory of Everything

239

The week the mask came off an Austerity Government, revealing front-line job cuts

240

Health NZ directors accuse PM of disinformation

241

The day our health system crumbled

242

'Let's build a motorway costing $100 million per km, before emissions costs'

243

Solutions Interview: Steven Hail on MMT & ecological economics

244

Why we have to challenge our national fiscal assumptions

245

Weekly Climate Wrap: A market-led plan for failure

246

Climate policy axed in broad daylight, while taxpayer liabilities grow in the dark

247

Farmers get free pass on climate AND get subsidies

248

Jones: 'NZ has to mine its way to the future'

249

Bernard’s Saturday soliloquy and weekend Pick ‘n’ Mix for June 8/9

250

Did we boil the oceans by cutting pollution?

251

Cancer charities excoriate Government

252

Willis borrows an extra $12b to pay for $14.7b of tax cuts

253

A 'cost of living relief' Budget for some, but not others

254

When ‘back on track’ meant going into reverse

255

How much climate reality can the global financial system take without collapsing?

256

House-builders in limbo for longer while Govt focuses on paying for tax cuts

257

A generation is leaving at a rate of one A320-load per day

258

Why we almost blacked out and how to fix it

259

A nod and a wink that will unnecessarily cost Aucklanders tens of millions per year

260

Agribusiness following oil and gas playbook

261

Worst poll result for a new Government in MMP history

262

Coalition's dirge of austerity and uncertainty is driving the economy into a deeper recession

263

'Lacks attention to detail and is creating double-standards.'

264

'This bill is dangerous for the environment and our democracy'

265

The ‘Humpty Dumpty’ end result of dismantling our environmental protections

266

Study sees climate change baking in 19% lower global income by 2050

267

Should the RBNZ be looking through climate inflation?

268

Is saving one minute of a politician's time worth nearly $1 billion?

269

Govt ignored economic analysis of smokefree reversal

270

Antarctic heat spike shocks climate scientists

271

When 'going for growth' actually means saying no to new social homes

272

Back to the future, with a 2032 deadline

273

The hunt is on for an asterix for farm emissions

274

Dawn Chorus for Friday, April 5

275

New oil and gas to quadruple by 2030, threatening climate goals

276

Confidence in Government collapses

277

The debt rules being used to strangle NZ

278

Failing to internalise new realities

279

Borrowing $15b more to pay for $14.9b of tax cuts

280

GDP-per-hour worked stagnant at 2012 levels

281

Simeon Brown threatens councils on water reform

282

No, Prime Minister, rents don’t rise or fall with landlords’ costs

283

Public infrastructure and service potholes under massive population pressure

284

'Couch surf. It's better than motels & cheaper for us'

285

Our nation of inflation displacement

286

Luxon's housing-market-with-bits-tacked-on moment

287

Bishop wants house prices to halve vs income

288

Govt's Budget 'just like a household,' says Willis

289

S&P slams new Govt's council finance vacuum

290

We’re not as fragile or as lazy as Luxon says

291

Is 2.8% per year population growth too much?

292

Tax cuts paid for by up to 13k more kids in poverty

293

Mortgage rates seen high for even longer

294

The holes in National’s water reform pipes

295

Looking at clouds from both sides now

296

Watching the ladder being pulled up in real time

297

'Please manage and fund our climate retreat'

298

When a few climate sceptics skew debates and elections

299

The years of living dangerously

300

Why The Kākā is staying on Substack

301

Dawn Chorus for Monday, January 8

302

Dawn Chorus for Friday, December 29

303

A yawning gap opens up between climate advice and Government action

304

Auckland's double-cab utes and yoga pants drive massive ocean micro-pollution

305

A smoking gun without smoke or a barrel

306

What to look for in the ‘mini’ Budget

307

Resend: Infrastructure & planning pipelines deep-frozen

308

Govt bans cycling & walking projects to help fund tax cuts

309

We cooled our jets. So where's our rate cut?

310

Government chooses slower economic growth

311

Record high net migration now deemed “unsustainable”

312

So much noise and so little signal

313

Dreams of eternal sunshine at a spotless COP28

314

Why we're missing out on sharply lower inflation

315

Nicola Willis' 'show me the money' moment

316

The very opposite of social investment

317

Cathrine Dyer's guide to watching COP 28 from the bottom of a warming planet

318

An ugly fight for African forest offsets NZ may have to buy

319

Aotearoa's energy and housing poverty crisis

320

2023 set to be hottest year in 125,000 years

321

Thursday's Chorus: Less stressed than most

322

Wednesday's Chorus: An impossible trinity

323

Monday’s Chorus: Inside Simplicity's 25k home building fund

324

Monday’s Chorus: The missing 1,060,038 voters

325

A post-election chorus: winners, losers, what it means and what happens next

326

Thursday’s Chorus: Record population growth without enough building or any real debate

327

Wednesday’s Chorus: Tax cuts for mega-landlords to average $1.3m. Each.

328

It's always, always about land, land, tax and tax

329

Monday’s Chorus: Richie Poulton's lament

330

Wednesday’s Chorus: Arthur Grimes on why building many, many more social houses is so critical

331

Friday’s Chorus: 'Show us the costings, Nicola!'

332

National still working on fiscal plan

333

Wednesday’s Chorus: The PREFU's missing debt

334

The Kaka Project for Election 2023: Universal dental care

335

Resend: What a real climate dividend looks like

336

What a real climate dividend looks like

337

Budget cuts to beat profit-driven inflation

338

Making up our climate response as we go

339

A deliberate population growth strategy

340

'Welcome to our Churn and Burn economy'

341

How $45b of tunnels could actually cost $65b+

342

The 'fiscal black hole' talk actually is a joke

343

480 families living in their cars in June, up from 102 in October, 2017

344

Matariki special interview: Danyl McLauchlan on our captured state

345

So this is how the story ends

346

A Green smorgasbord of wealth taxes

347

The holes (still) in National's (not so) new infrastructure policy

348

Dawn Chorus: Conflicting airport interests

349

Dawn Chorus: Call to lower voting age renewed

350

The climate change bill arrives and the grown-ups don't want to pay

351

Brighter signs from our pre-election housing-market-with-bits-tacked-on

352

House prices primed to surge 10-20% if National wins

353

NIMBYs push to dump MDRS totally and stop greenfields' houses too

354

Inside National's housing backflip + twists & rolls

355

Dawn Chorus: National/Act edge ahead

356

Luxon kills the hopes of Townhouse Nation

357

Recycle the ETS cash++ into emissions cuts here

358

Why Budget 2023 is more austere than it appears

359

$140m well spent at $16.20/tonne

360

Dawn Chorus: Interest rate warnings after Budget 2023

361

Budget 2023: Some rabbits, a few more houses and a higher trust tax rate

362

The fire fueled by our housing and poverty crises

363

Dawn Chorus: Luxon painting himself into an unpopular and power-less corner

364

What a bank profits market study should focus on

365

It’s official: our banks are profitability world-beaters

366

Govt throttles rebate scheme for electric cars

367

'It's medicine or food. We can't afford both'

368

PM goes back to the old favourites: high migration, low investment & reigniting the housing market

369

PM to downplay capital tax hole and instead signal post-flood austerity

370

Interview: Inside Wellington's local government democratic deficit

371

Interview: Rod Carr warns Govt is falling behind on climate

372

Govt defends NZ Steel's 25-year extension

373

Councils' staff go rogue on densification

374

Bad weather delays emissions-cutting plan

375

Accelerating our churn and burn economy

376

A financial reckoning of a departing PM's legacy

377

The climate landmine under our economy (a housing market with bits tacked on)

378

RBNZ paying billions to banks in interest, plus lending $19b cheaply to banks

379

Wayne Brown's #Auxit moment

380

Is bundling restricting electricity competition?

381

What the US and European bank rescues mean for us

382

Inside TOP's Teal Card and political strategy

383

Slow consenting could create $16b climate liability by 2050

384

Labour's climate policy bonfire just blew up the ETS

385

Wasn't this the rainy day we saved for?

386

Young prefer wealth tax to fuel tax, while the old oppose such taxes

387

Ford Ranger Man drives over Michael Wood

388

Interview: How to look through inflation shocks

389

National chooses to think just as magically as Labour on water infrastructure, taxes and debt

390

What building back better could look like

391

Will this climate crisis event be wasted too?

392

The week that was to Feb 11

393

Hipkins clears the decks and crouches down low

394

When a $5 fee costs us all $2.65 billion

395

Dawn Chorus: Classic middle class welfare to win 'Ford Ranger Man'

396

Isn't this the rainy day we're supposed to be saving up for?

397

Dawn Chorus: 'Atmospheric River' swamps Auckland, its Mayor and our climate debate

398

Hipkins eyes cheap & fast growth lever

399

Inflation's Wile-E-Coyote moment?

400

The meaning and tragedy of Jacinda Ardern's time as PM

401

Business 'jets' cooled, but consumer spending still warm...for now

402

Dawn Chorus: A looming political choice on LVRs and DTIs

403

CTU wants new Act to cut inflation and lift disposable income

404

Why are we using a blunt and short-term demand lever in response to two long-run supply shocks?

405

Flying blindly back to migration-led growth

406

The week that was to Dec 9

407

A glimmer of hope via inclusionary zoning

408

How to redevelop a golf course for housing properly

409

Wayne Brown should sell the golf courses instead

410

The week that was for the week to Dec 2

411

The week that was for the week to Nov 27

412

Inside the Reserve Bank's (even bigger) rate hikes

413

The RBNZ throws a wet blanket over the economy

414

A chance to close our democratic deficit

415

Hotter dividends and land values now, but an even hotter planet and power bills later

416

A post-mortem on an inter-generational and institutional tragedy

417

RBNZ now a hostage to politics

418

The case for a windfall tax on bank profits

419

PM wags finger at bank profits

420

Incomes are rising faster than prices & bad debts are tiny

421

Dawn Chorus: 'Aspirational for the top 10%'

422

PM drives past Three Waters off ramp

423

Is the RBNZ's fast tightening fair to Covid's losers?

424

A cautionary tale for Christopher Luxon

425

It's a profit-price spiral, rather than a wage-price spiral

426

Dawn Chorus: Overcrowded and under-invested country chooses unlimited migration

427

We're still bargaining when we should already be accepting

428

Boomers lash back to ‘make Niuw Zullund grey again’

429

Inside TOP's new $7b land-tax-for-income tax switch plan, with extras

430

Challenging the priority of a AA+ rating over climate change action

431

Bank of England bails out pension funds and pays for tax cuts for Britain's richest

432

Friday’s Dawn Chorus: Councils quiet quitting on urban densification